TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2359…f376

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.32
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$55.5
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.26
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.24
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.18
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.11
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$59.5
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.3
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.89
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$44.61
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$48.43
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.58
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$55
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$37.49
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Warriors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+300%+$60
Kings vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$11.95
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+56.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.