TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90c7…4417

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.36
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.28
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.08
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.87
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.94
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.56
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$94.54
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+39%+$18.41
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.44
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+45.1%+$8.77
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+223.6%+$62.39
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25.2%+$8.8
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.6%+$30.78
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45.52
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.11
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22.56
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$118.26
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$53.12
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$66.5
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+31.8%+$4.75
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$21.26
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$92.34
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$120.08
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$10.6
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.3
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$140.07
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$61.55
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+48.6%+$53.46
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$109.46
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+28.6%+$41.27
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$370.8
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+101.8%+$122.54
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.21
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+25.6%+$39.19
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+54.6%+$87.56
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.88
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+102.5%+$84.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$55.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+62.6%+$103.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$37.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.