TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa97f…c88f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$14.27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+102%+$10.2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+146.5%+$43.95
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$26.71
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$77.91
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31%+$6.19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3066.7%20 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$29.38
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$34.77
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.03
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.