TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f93…3300

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$208.39
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48%+$144.08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.2%+$131.04
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+102.2%+$102.25
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will Sam Altman say "Trump" or "Election" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Sam Altman say "Nvidia" or "Bubble" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+72.2%+$72.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$105.13
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$90.52
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$24.62
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Grizzlies vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+47.1%+$94.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.