TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb8c…60aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5464.8%35 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$53.89
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$49.03
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$73.85
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+103%+$41.22
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$33.78
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$21.74
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$110.28
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$251.31
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.59
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$42.26
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+157%+$78.51
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+421.3%+$210.64
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$32.51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$106.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$33.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.