TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8a3…925e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+503.1%+$301.85
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$13.76
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$13.61
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$13.63
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+77%+$15.4
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.66
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.9
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.26
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$18.52
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6backed BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$16.24
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.