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Wallet 0xf545…305b
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xf545bd981d2b6bdbbd32a7a4b2b072726255305b
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$128,397 staked over 2,581 qualified picks in 39 categories, 13 of 39 below 50.
Best category
Australian A League
$230 staked over 10 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full Australian A League boardSecond best
Bundesliga
$1,844 staked over 52 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full Bundesliga boardThird best
Crypto Milestones
$675 staked over 3 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Crypto Milestones boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
You’d be +$340.88 tailing 10 Australian A League picks (8 W · 2 L) at $50 each: +68.2% per pick.
A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Australian A League picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.
Record by category39 Categories
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $230 | before 100%in play 0%, over 10 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 min before the start | 4 h 26to the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3098% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0 | +0.30 | 50c | +68.2% | 60 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,844 | before 100%in play 0%, over 52 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 45 min before the start | 4 h 04to the end, median over 351 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.12100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 26 of 52 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +6.5 | +0.12 | 53c | +26.1% | 59 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled May 1, 2026, EDT | $675 | —no start of play | 2 h 20resells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.60100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8 | +0.60 | 40c | +228.3% | 57 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| NHLlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $859 | before 95%in play 5%, over 19 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 min before the start | 4 h 13to the end, median over 61 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.12100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2 | +0.12 | 51c | +23.5% | 56 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,076 | before 100%in play 0%, over 123 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min before the start | 4 h 37to the end, median over 651 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 68 of 123 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 123 | 56.1%69 W · 54 L | +6.9 | +0.06 | 51c | +16.5% | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT | $223 | before 100%in play 0%, over 12 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 52 min before the start | 4 h 41to the end, median over 96 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6 | +0.13 | 45c | +28.7% | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commodities Inactivelast settled Jan 27, 2026, EST | $40 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.5799% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2 | +0.58 | 42c | +303.4% | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $1,083 | before 100%in play 0%, over 43 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min before the start | 4 h 50to the end, median over 256 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0799% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 43 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8 | +0.07 | 49c | +19.8% | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $148 | —too few: 7 picks | 5 h 23to the end, median over 59 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1494% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0 | +0.14 | 57c | +30.8% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled Jan 30, 2026, EST | $67 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.66100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7 | +0.66 | 34c | +198.5% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Jan 30, 2026, EST | $100 | —no start of play | 8 dresells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.64100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6 | +0.64 | 36c | +179.7% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Middle East Inactivelast settled Feb 28, 2026, EST | $1,024 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1695% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7 | +0.16 | 59c | +9.3% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,443 | before 100%in play 0%, over 95 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 min before the start | 4 h 57to the end, median over 457 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0397% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 55 of 95 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.7 | +0.03 | 52c | +3.4% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $698 | before 100%in play 0%, over 25 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 08 before the start | 4 h 04to the end, median over 73 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0495% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1 | +0.04 | 52c | +8.7% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $4,796 | before 99%in play 1%, over 86 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min before the start | 3 h 06to the end, median over 397 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 58 of 86 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +2.0 | +0.02 | 45c | +14.3% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Jan 19, 2026, EST | $101 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.41100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.41 | 59c | +68.1% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| NFLlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $3,283 | before 100%in play 0%, over 102 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 25 min before the start | 4 h 19to the end, median over 212 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0296% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 53 of 102 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +1.9 | +0.02 | 57c | +0.4% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tweets Inactivelast settled Jan 31, 2026, EST | $4,418 | —no start of play | 14 h 31to the end, median over 36 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 50% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 21 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.7 | +0.02 | 15c | -15.7% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled May 1, 2026, EDT | $2,722 | —no start of play | 9 dresells, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07119% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 119% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3 | +0.05 | 45c | +26.4% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Jan 20, 2026, EST | $280 | —too few: 5 picks | 3 h 03to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06115% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 115% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3 | +0.05 | 35c | +18.3% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,522 | before 100%in play 0%, over 102 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min before the start | 4 h 20to the end, median over 690 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0199% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 54 of 102 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +1.1 | +0.01 | 53c | +7.1% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Weather Inactivelast settled Feb 23, 2026, EST | $220 | —no start of play | 13 dresells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2 | +0.10 | 40c | -29.9% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,112 | before 100%in play 0%, over 115 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min before the start | 4 h 29to the end, median over 718 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 70 of 115 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +0.9 | +0.01 | 51c | -1.4% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT | $35 | —too few: 2 picks | 4 h 58to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.13159% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 159% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2 | +0.08 | 42c | 0% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,673 | before 98%in play 2%, over 47 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 min before the start | 3 h 06to the end, median over 267 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.0076% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 76% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 26 of 47 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.2 | 0.00 | 53c | -2.2% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $709 | before 100%in play 0%, over 36 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 49 min before the start | 3 h 43to the end, median over 141 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 8% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 28 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 50c | -2.7% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Token Launches Inactivelast settled Jan 20, 2026, EST | $10 | —no start of play | 11 h 13to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0c | -100% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Jan 21, 2026, EST | $20 | —no start of play | 4 h 18to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0 | -0.02 | 2c | -100% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,525 | before 97%in play 3%, over 91 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 39 min before the start | 3 h 22to the end, median over 267 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 52 of 91 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.4 | 0.00 | 50c | -2.2% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $66,092 | before 94%in play 6%, over 1,062 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 09 before the start | 5 h 03to the end, median over 3,427 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 475 of 1,071 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,071 | 47.9%513 W · 558 L | -4.3 | 0.00 | 48c | -0.2% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT | $13 | —too few: 1 pick | 5 h 03to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.32no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3 | -0.32 | 32c | -100% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,605 | before 100%in play 0%, over 124 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 39 min before the start | 4 h 35to the end, median over 480 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 57 of 124 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.0 | -0.02 | 53c | -7.5% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,845 | before 97%in play 3%, over 64 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 min before the start | 4 h 29to the end, median over 361 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 64 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.6 | -0.02 | 49c | -0.6% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $1,050 | before 100%in play 0%, over 26 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min before the start | 3 h 09to the end, median over 148 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.9 | -0.04 | 38c | +4.9% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Feb 28, 2026, EST | $1,106 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.64no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6 | -0.64 | 64c | -100% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,612 | before 100%in play 0%, over 94 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min before the start | 3 h 23to the end, median over 358 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 56 of 94 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -3.9 | -0.04 | 53c | -11.3% | 46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT | $39 | —too few: 2 picks | 5 h 17to the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.60no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2 | -0.59 | 59c | -100% | 45 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $4,320 | before 100%in play 0%, over 151 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 min before the start | 4 h 48to the end, median over 605 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 91 of 151 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 151 | 39.7%60 W · 91 L | -8.4 | -0.06 | 45c | -15.6% | 45 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $776 | before 100%in play 0%, over 24 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min before the start | 5 h 10to the end, median over 58 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.5 | -0.10 | 56c | -8% | 44 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 118
- What they are worth now
- $798bought for $752
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 32worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 118, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 450 | 62c | 56c | $252 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 150 | 55c | 69c | $103 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 3 Athletic Club? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 101 | 3c | 50c | $51 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 150 | 32c | 31c | $47 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 73 | 11c | 28c | $20 |
| Glentoran FC vs. Ballymena United: O/U 4.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 23 | 83c | 55c | $13 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score (opens in a new tab)backed No | 16 | 47c | 71c | $11 |
| Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan: AC Milan O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 10 | 76c | 75c | $7 |
| Will FK Obolon Kyiv win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 8 | 31c | 75c | $6 |
| Will FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 7 | 60c | 81c | $6 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 32. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0xeb4f…67f7backed outcome 1 | 38 | 18c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xa5e8…fe6bbacked outcome 0 | 27.99 | 86c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x02dc…594dbacked outcome 1 | 27 | 88c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x70b7…ec56backed outcome 0 | 25 | 36c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xf2eb…2d6dbacked outcome 0 | 25 | 40c | $0 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.