Will Mohamed Salah score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x933636452a36d1c6162c9a00c6ca6412225c6f03bf17f2e385f4d77f46dc5efe

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,747 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x89f7…1ec0backed Yes	78c	636.23$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.97	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	75cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	23c	569.84$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.88	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes	72c	451.23$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.21	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+6.6wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	71c	286$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.54	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	73c	212.87$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.82	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5254…891bbacked No	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No	25c	206.06$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.91	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes	71c	186.75$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.16	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	74c	174.99$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1da…0370backed No	24c	166.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed No	26c	124.25$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.7	208	41.3%86 W · 122 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	71c	109.59$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.78	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	22c	99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.78	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked No	32c	98.24$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.68	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	21c	80.57$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaef0…b68abacked No	28c	80.28$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.37	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064f…e6b8backed Yes	77c	72$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.56	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed No	27c	70$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	82	18.3%15 W · 67 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	26c	70$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	28c	60$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes	57c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes	58c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No	23c	48.86$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.24	125	34.4%43 W · 82 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…d4b9backed Yes	79c	44.3$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.3	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b30…100fbacked No	25c	43.8$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.95	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed Yes	70c	40$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.81	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	73c	39$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.53	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	76c	33$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed No	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes	75c	21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.25	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Mohamed Salah score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event