TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x700b…06a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$585
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$54
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$32
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.84
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$17.13
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$19.17
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$794.06
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will France win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.56
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.1
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.2
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$416
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$97.2
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$182
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.6
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$80.62
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.9
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.94
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$230
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$60
Bengals vs. Commanders backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.2
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$173.6
Jets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.8
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+125.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Appalachian State vs. Charlottebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$109.8
Boise State vs. South Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.