TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9718…2001

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.81
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.64
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.42
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$22.83
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.93
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Utah vs. Flyersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$13.47
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$36.4
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-62.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.