TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb5f7…3c1f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$13.62
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$22.26
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$20.42
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+45.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$15.61
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$23.82
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.92
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Stars vs. Penguinsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.93
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$14.01
Dota 2: AVULUS vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Group Abacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100.4%+$30.12
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$3.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.