Will Nick Woltemade score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac28c7c1690d42ca16bbf74f5e416406ef3cbdea5fa84e35fdcdaf4427bb0e9a

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,946 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1f1a…7a49backed Yes	10c	999.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked No	49c	459.96$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.18	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+5.8wins	+0.26per pick	42cpaid	+81.3%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	55c	446.76$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.93	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e4…3130backed Yes	60c	346.38$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.66	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	74c	290.28$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes	60c	285.77$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	50c	265.26$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.24	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes	33c	264.74$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.33	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8635…003ebacked Yes	24c	263.42$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.84	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc67b…b024backed Yes	44c	221.99$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.67	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed No	37c	200$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	39c	193.15$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.82	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	51c	182.14$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.9	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	52c	154.98$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.98	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed No	47c	151$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.53	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	63c	150$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.5	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f5b…b598backed Yes	61c	110$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.81	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Yes	63c	110$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.4	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc049…d4b9backed No	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	29c	100$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.07	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No	66c	91.39$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.39	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3578…8c5fbacked Yes	58c	86.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-8.9wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	53c	84$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.92	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	58c	77.7$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.31	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa74…78b9backed Yes	57c	70$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.8	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-9.0wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked No	43c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad1b…1d65backed No	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	92	59.8%55 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	62c	42$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.86	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3de2…d073backed No	47c	33.44$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Yes	60c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	129	33.3%43 W · 86 L	-8.0wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf51…b295backed Yes	58c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked No	42c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.4	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe4…2a32backed No	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No	65c	27.79$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	85	42.4%36 W · 49 L	-11.7wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-25%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No	41c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.75	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	70c	24.36$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	54c	23.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.46	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed No	67c	20.01$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d43…80acbacked Yes	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	65cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3b8…dd8bbacked Yes	58c	18.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Nick Woltemade score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event