TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f1e…64b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst Music at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT3865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$29.2
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.98
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.4
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.57
Nets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Knicks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+68.9%+$10.2
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+41.5%+$4.4
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+31%+$3.55
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Cavaliers vs. Netsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Kenny's Young Stars vs. Chuck's Global Starsbacked Chuck's Global Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+172.4%+$41.14
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.47
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.59
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$11.99
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.3
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue vs. Houstonbacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.68
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$14.4
UCLA vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos Ulbergbacked Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Gaethje vs. Fizievbacked Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+69%+$9.91
Cannonier vs. Rodriguesbacked Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$45
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$7.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+46.6%+$9.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.