Will Kevin De Bruyne score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f3be098fd76a94aaa73c87f6833ee884bc1b14b4778c4a1845a745c11110d46

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,506 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd572…a526backed No	31c	355.4$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No	35c	212$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.75	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	65c	210$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.06	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	76c	157.09$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.09	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfa…0093backed No	32c	140$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	69c	128.66$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.22	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	66c	121.03$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.05	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	66c	70$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.9	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked No	26c	67.92$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.66	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9834…5fa0backed No	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes	69c	57.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.77	310	46.5%144 W · 166 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	67c	54$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.03	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	66c	51.6$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.51	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	57c	51$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.18	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed Yes	59c	50.93$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.93	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc436…76c9backed No	31c	50.82$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.77	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed No	48c	50.44$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.21	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+31%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b73…e9f3backed Yes	66c	49.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes	67c	47.56$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.7	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa34a…71bbbacked No	34c	44.12$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed No	37c	42.6$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes	71c	40$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.8	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…6b2bbacked No	41c	39.43$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.17	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	71c	36.02$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.49	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3682…5065backed Yes	70c	36$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked No	31c	35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59e4…3130backed Yes	60c	34.88$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.95	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…2009backed No	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes	67c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	104	54.8%57 W · 47 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd0…550abacked Yes	70c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	66c	26.96$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.28	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1e2…9629backed No	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	71c	21$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.09	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d43…80acbacked Yes	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	65cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	70c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c12…91fcbacked Yes	70c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	63	71.4%45 W · 18 L	+9.4wins	+0.15per pick	56cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	71c	18.5$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.37	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f90…8d79backed Yes	69c	17.67$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.48	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	68c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Kevin De Bruyne score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event