TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa604…a67b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4238.1%16 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.45
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.05
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.75
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.76
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.89
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.24
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.7
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$16.53
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.21
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
MLB All-Star Gamebacked National League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.64
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.1
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.06
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.88
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.57
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.66
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$20.67
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+150.6%+$120.5
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+99.2%+$99.18
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+130.6%+$130.57
Trail Blazers vs. Hawksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+156.4%+$265.87
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$86.52
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$59.8
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$142.9
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$68.64
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$86.4
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$87.78
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.25
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19.49
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$43.18
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$124.15
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$131
Rangers vs. Kingsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.85
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Sharks vs. Lightningbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$300.3
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$185.48
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$39.24
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+94.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$51.19
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$156
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.16
Paris: Yulia Putintseva vs Veronika Podrezbacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+128.3%+$23.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Tommy McMillen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$18.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.