TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xec18…12e2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.76
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.33
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.38
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.25
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.29
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$16.19
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44%+$6.63
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+89.5%+$24.02
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+163.2%+$18.6
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$22.93
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$10.15
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.25
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.92
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.37
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$41.15
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+83.2%+$12.63
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.64
Miami Hurricanes vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+220.5%+$34.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.09
Utah vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$5.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$29.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$10.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.