TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff6b…62ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.92
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+112%+$55.99
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$14.66
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.49
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
Flames vs. Starsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.65
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.