TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x39d0…5678

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT3675%27 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$218
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,462.79
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$127.78
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$377.32
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$356.92
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$77.35
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$253.25
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28%+$559.93
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$965.93
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$32.43
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$82.7
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.68
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$262.48
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$69.17
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+36.1%+$4.06
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+43.6%+$6.53
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47.6%+$10.15
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+50.5%+$5.78
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.35
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+45.7%+$5.9
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+46.5%+$6.86
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+30.9%+$7.45
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+106.2%+$11.1
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$31.75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+124.3%+$22.56
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+33.5%+$24.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+46.8%+$35.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-64.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$102.11
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+115.5%+$17.32
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.86
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+161.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+423.2%+$45.49
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+150%+$18.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,874Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$938.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.