TailMyPicks
Wallet0x24e05919521fb0b2b199ccd6b23ecb7b551e6177Check another

Wallet 0x24e0…6177

Rebuilt .

Summary

Where its weight is

Middle East

22 of its 55 qualified picks

55out of 100

Above the line at +0.05 per pick.

Its best Category

Middle East

which is also where its weight is

55out of 100

Above the line at +0.05 per pick.

1 below 50 · 7 at or above · 8 Categories scored

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Music at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$24.92
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+162.3%+$142.81
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+278.4%+$82.14
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21.27
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.87
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$42.57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.72
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$16.11
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+224.6%+$44.32
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$29.98
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 22 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+128%+$14.69
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.95
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+129.1%+$25.81
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$27.14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.63
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$38.39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.72
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$30.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.65
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+120.6%+$32.8
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump x Putin talk before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+48.1%+$6.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.