TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa65b…6f9e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST2766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$73.99
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+110.5%+$105
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+61.8%+$95.6
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+34.2%+$51
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+41.8%+$59
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$126
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+241.9%+$70.75
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$158
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.59
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$52.8
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$34.4
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$53.46
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-36.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$86.4
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+71.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Blues vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+130.1%+$102.82
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Akron vs. Bowlingbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25.2%+$4.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Vietnam (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.