TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeb5a…0dc3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Mls, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.45
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$61.64
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+125%+$75.01
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$207
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$147
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.1%+$145.68
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$30.75
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$60.49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.6%+$55.18
All 19 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$24.73
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.77
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.7
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Hyderabad Kingsmenbacked Hyderabad Kingsmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$35.76
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$15.34
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kingsbacked Karachi Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$14.14
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Rawalpindi Pindizbacked Rawalpindi Pindiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30.43
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+77.8%+$45.92
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$34.4
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.02
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.03
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$49.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$45.17
Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 1 - 1 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+185.7%+$68.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$89.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$57
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.53
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.62
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.27
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$47.45
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$27.89
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$45.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.