TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x110a…4a55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT4949%24 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.43
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.19
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
AHL: Providence Bruins vs. Springfield Thunderbirdsbacked Springfield Thunderbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.77
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Rangers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$10.89
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.84
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$6.8
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+669.2%+$80.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.