TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x173c…52c8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$50.49
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.84
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+163.2%+$86.8
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$61.64
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+244.8%+$58.22
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40.48
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+203%+$36.85
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.95
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.57
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.77
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.2
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+170.3%+$27.09
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$195.52
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.01
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$281.4
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.96
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.95
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.49
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$162.36
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$154.66
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.48
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.9
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+400%+$1,000
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.78
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$51.04
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick55cpaid+67.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$23.12
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$11.5
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$17.68
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.6
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$9.68
Guardians vs. Metsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$10.53
Red Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.22
Mets vs. Rockiesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$3.92
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+71.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.9
Panthers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$26.1
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$6.97
Wild vs. Flamesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.26
Kings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+112.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$42.78
Colorado vs. Houstonbacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.95
TCU vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.69
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Panna Udvardy vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+150%+$93
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$29.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+53.8%+$12.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Murray State Racers vs. Southern Illinois Salukisbacked Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$63.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.