TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7777…d46d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 61 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$20.08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$5.54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$4.6
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.31
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$122.1
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+266%+$181.73
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$253.93
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+256.6%+$1,414.95
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$57.67
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110.11
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.65
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.43
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$18.09
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$3.68
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.76
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+180.1%+$28.22
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$4.44
Aix en Provence: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$5.31
Rome: Andrea Vavassori vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Andrea Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Savannah: Liam Draxl vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$8.45
Oeiras 3: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Jonas Forejtek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$20.16
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.57
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$19.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$13.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$52.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.