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Wallet 0x32ee…83b0

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$82,430 staked over 580 qualified picks in 20 categories, 11 of 20 below 50.

60

Best category

NFL

$2,337 staked over 12 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.09 per pick.

See the full NFL board
57

Second best

Weather

$416 staked over 12 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.06 per pick.

See the full Weather board
52

Third best

Tweets

$25 staked over 1 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.02 per pick.

See the full Tweets board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be +$352.37 tailing 12 NFL picks (10 W · 2 L) at $50 each: +58.7% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified NFL picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category20 Categories

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT$2,337before 36%in play 64%, over 11 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 30 min after the start2 h 55resells, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled+0.2896% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.5+0.2954c+58.7%60
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCommanders vs. 49erson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49ersWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$252+28.2%+$71.05
Oct 19, 2026, EDTSpread: Cowboys (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PackersWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$121+92.3%+$111.89
Oct 13, 2026, EDTSpread: Bills (-3.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RamsWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$114+63.9%+$72.97
Oct 13, 2026, EDTBills vs. Ramson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BillsWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$280+132.6%+$370.5
Oct 12, 2026, EDTRavens vs. Falconson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FalconsLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$276-100%-$276
Oct 11, 2026, EDTSpread: Seahawks (-3.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49ersWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$276+108.3%+$299.16
Oct 11, 2026, EDTBroncos vs. Chargerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ChargersLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$215-100%-$215
Oct 2, 2026, EDTSpread: Steelers (-3.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BrownsWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$250+72.4%+$181.03
Sep 14, 2026, EDTBroncos vs. Chiefson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ChiefsWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$135+100%+$135.08
Sep 13, 2026, EDTBills vs. Texanson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BillsWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$150+92.3%+$138.46
Sep 9, 2026, EDTPatriots vs. Seahawkson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SeahawksWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$250+61.3%+$153.23
Jul 13, 2026, EDTWill Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$18+153.4%+$27.42
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT$416before 50%in play 50%, over 12 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 55 before the start19 h 49to the end, median over 36 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled+0.18100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.2+0.1865c+32.1%57
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 5, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on September 5?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$20+170.3%+$34.05
Sep 5, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 5?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$25+54.2%+$13.51
Sep 3, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 2?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$11-100%-$11
Aug 6, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 5?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$30+26.6%+$7.97
Aug 5, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$23+31.6%+$7.2
Aug 5, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 4?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$25+33.3%+$8.33
Aug 2, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$125+38.9%+$48.61
Aug 2, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$83+69.5%+$57.67
Aug 2, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$30+49.3%+$14.84
Jul 22, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$10+61.3%+$6.13
Jul 22, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$20-100%-$20
Jul 22, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$14+50.7%+$7.13
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast settled Jul 6, 2026, EDT$25—no start of play10 h 16to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.53100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5+0.5347c+112.8%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 6, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$25+112.8%+$28.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Aug 3, 2026, EDT$131—too few: 3 picks5 h 56to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled+0.17100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5+0.1750c+38.4%52
Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Aug 3, 2026, EDT$25—too few: 1 pick5 h 48to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.29100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3+0.2971c+40.8%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 3, 2026, EDTWill IK Sirius win on 2026-08-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$25+40.8%+$10.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast settled Jul 6, 2026, EDT$10—too few: 1 pick1 h 44to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.2797% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3+0.2872c+38.9%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 6, 2026, EDTValorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NRGWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$10+38.9%+$3.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT$24—no start of play16 h 04to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.25100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3+0.2575c+33.3%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 9, 2026, EDTWill Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$24+33.3%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast settled Aug 3, 2026, EDT$128—too few: 5 picks10 h 15to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled+0.02100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)540%2 W · 3 L+0.1+0.0238c+52.9%50
MLB Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT$774before 52%in play 48%, over 23 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min before the start2 h 49resells, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21 of them sold before the market settled+0.03504% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 504% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 15 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2450%12 W · 12 L+0.1+0.0149c-3.2%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 27, 2026, EDTWill Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$10+42.9%+$4.29
Sep 1, 2026, EDTDetroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Minnesota TwinsWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$25+138.1%+$34.9
Sep 1, 2026, EDTMiami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royalson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Kansas City RoyalsLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$44-100%-$44.1
Sep 1, 2026, EDTSan Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Redson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)San Diego PadresLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$31-100%-$31.5
Sep 1, 2026, EDTToronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardianson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Toronto Blue JaysLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$31-100%-$31.5
Aug 4, 2026, EDTPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioleson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Baltimore OriolesLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$14-100%-$14.35
Aug 3, 2026, EDTLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Chicago CubsWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$25+112.8%+$28.19
Aug 3, 2026, EDTToronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astroson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Houston AstrosLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$25-100%-$25
Aug 2, 2026, EDTDetroit Tigers vs. Athleticson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Detroit TigersWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$42+37%+$15.53
Aug 2, 2026, EDTSan Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padreson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)San Francisco GiantsLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$25-100%-$25
Aug 2, 2026, EDTMinnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Minnesota TwinsLost (open this pick on its own page)21c$25-100%-$25
Aug 2, 2026, EDTArizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardianson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Cleveland GuardiansWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$25+58.7%+$14.68
Aug 2, 2026, EDTTexas Rangers vs. Houston Astroson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Houston AstrosWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$25+72.4%+$18.1
Aug 2, 2026, EDTSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jayson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Toronto Blue JaysLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$82-100%-$81.7
Aug 2, 2026, EDTDetroit Tigers vs. Athleticson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Detroit TigersWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$36+63.9%+$23.02
Aug 2, 2026, EDTMilwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Milwaukee BrewersWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$25+85.2%+$21.3
Aug 1, 2026, EDTBoston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Boston Red SoxWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$25+150%+$37.5
Aug 1, 2026, EDTArizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardianson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Arizona DiamondbacksWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$25+156.4%+$39.1
Aug 1, 2026, EDTTexas Rangers vs. Houston Astroson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Houston AstrosWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$43+112.8%+$48.49
Aug 1, 2026, EDTPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioleson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Baltimore OriolesLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$43-100%-$43
Aug 1, 2026, EDTNew York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Chicago CubsWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$25+92.3%+$23.08
Aug 1, 2026, EDTMinnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Minnesota TwinsLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$58-100%-$58
Aug 1, 2026, EDTChicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rayson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Chicago White SoxLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$25-100%-$25
Jul 21, 2026, EDTSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)St. Louis CardinalsLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$39-100%-$39.01
All 24 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast settled Aug 4, 2026, EDT$50—too few: 2 picks32 minresells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L-0.1-0.0757c-31.5%49
Boxing Inactivelast settled Dec 20, 2025, EST$114—no start of play5 h 29to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)20%0 W · 2 L-0.2-0.099c-100%49
Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$44,548before 10%in play 90%, over 275 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 59 min after the start1 h 28to the end, median over 295 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 128 of them sold before the market settled-0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 258 of 275 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)27543.3%119 W · 156 L-4.3-0.0245c-7.7%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PARI Universe Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BetBoom TeamLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$85-100%-$85
Oct 24, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OGLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$189-100%-$188.75
Oct 24, 2026, EDTDota 2: 1win vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GamerLegionWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$190+112.8%+$214.41
Oct 24, 2026, EDTDota 2: 1win vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1winLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$62-100%-$61.57
Oct 23, 2026, EDTDota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Astra InvictaWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$292+124%+$361.83
Oct 23, 2026, EDTDota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BetBoom TeamLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$215-100%-$215
Oct 23, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GamerLegionWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$95+163.2%+$155
Oct 23, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GamerLegionWon (open this pick on its own page)27c$294+264.1%+$776.43
Oct 23, 2026, EDTDota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OGWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$42+138.8%+$58.12
Oct 22, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1winLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$254-100%-$253.67
Oct 22, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team SpiritWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$48+28.2%+$13.68
Oct 22, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team YandexWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$256+37%+$94.5
Oct 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Dawn BullsLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$116-100%-$116.22
Oct 20, 2026, EDTDota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Power RangersLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$170-100%-$169.9
Oct 19, 2026, EDTDota 2: HULIGANI vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Nemiga GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$95-100%-$94.84
Oct 19, 2026, EDTDota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Yellow SubmarineWon (open this pick on its own page)25c$25+300%+$75
Oct 15, 2026, EDTDota 2: PlayTime vs Skyreavers - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PlayTimeLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$64-100%-$64.43
Oct 13, 2026, EDTDota 2: CyberHero vs Shadow Dance - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Shadow DanceLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$116-100%-$115.54
Oct 13, 2026, EDTDota 2: Power Rangers vs The Warriors - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)The WarriorsLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$393-100%-$392.65
Oct 13, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Aon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Zero TenacityLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$124-100%-$123.72
Oct 13, 2026, EDTDota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zenith (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ZenithLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$90-100%-$89.65
Oct 13, 2026, EDTDota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cloud Dawning - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Cloud DawningLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$275-100%-$274.59
Oct 12, 2026, EDTDota 2: Dawn Bulls vs The Warriors (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)The WarriorsLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$75-100%-$75
Oct 11, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team SpiritWon (open this pick on its own page)30c$450+233.3%+$1,050
Oct 10, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team SpiritLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$400-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 275 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast settled Jul 12, 2026, EDT$522—too few: 4 picks42 minto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)450%2 W · 2 L-0.4-0.1161c-10.4%48
CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$26,611before 33%in play 67%, over 165 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 min after the start1 h 42to the end, median over 185 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 80 of them sold before the market settled-0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 150 of 165 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)16544.8%74 W · 91 L-4.8-0.0348c+1.9%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Legacy vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LegacyLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$73-100%-$72.87
Oct 24, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Legacy vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NemigaWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$197+150%+$295.5
Oct 24, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpiritLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$100-100%-$100
Oct 24, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MOUZLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$105-100%-$105
Oct 24, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TheMongolzWon (open this pick on its own page)31c$165+222.6%+$367.26
Oct 24, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Aurora GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$92-100%-$92
Oct 24, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TheMongolzLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$200-100%-$200
Oct 22, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TheMongolzWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$259+59.7%+$154.87
Oct 22, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: BIG vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BIGLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$233-100%-$232.51
Oct 21, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: PRIVATE vs fnatic - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PRIVATEWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$30+156.4%+$46.44
Oct 21, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)magicLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$47-100%-$46.75
Oct 21, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TheMongolzWon (open this pick on its own page)21c$89+371.5%+$330.1
Oct 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Alliance vs PRIVATE - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PRIVATEWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$306+115.6%+$353.48
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team NemesisWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$87+72.4%+$63
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs Ryvex (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab) Phantom AcademyLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$58-100%-$57.75
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: fnatic vs Liquid (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LiquidLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$157-100%-$156.88
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Alliance vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TheMongolzWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$212+61.3%+$129.84
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BetBoom TeamLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$174-100%-$174.09
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team FalconsLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$88-100%-$87.85
Oct 13, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Liquid vs BBL (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LiquidWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$362+56.3%+$203.45
Oct 12, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs Detonate (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Iowa StormboarWon (open this pick on its own page)20c$60+409.4%+$246.44
Oct 10, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MOUZWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$336+138.1%+$464
Oct 10, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Aurora GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$98-100%-$98.3
Oct 9, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpiritWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$96+96.1%+$92.24
Oct 9, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpiritWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$300+75.4%+$226.32
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast settled Aug 2, 2026, EDT$82—no start of play11 h 44resells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.72no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.7-0.7373c-100%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 2, 2026, EDTU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)73c$82-100%-$82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast settled Jul 31, 2026, EDT$80—too few: 2 picks9 h 05to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.39no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)20%0 W · 2 L-0.8-0.3939c-100%47
Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT$388before 100%in play 0%, over 19 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 21 h 01 before the start11 h 59resells, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 35 of them sold before the market settled-0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2045%9 W · 11 L-1.8-0.0954c-31.4%45
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 19, 2026, EDTWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$20+48.4%+$9.67
Jul 11, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$10+56.3%+$5.63
Jul 11, 2026, EDTErling Haaland: 1+ goalson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$10-100%-$10
Jul 11, 2026, EDTWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$10-100%-$10
Jul 11, 2026, EDTNorway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$10+47.1%+$4.71
Jul 10, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$10+46%+$4.6
Jul 10, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$10-100%-$10
Jul 10, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$51+63.4%+$32.63
Jul 9, 2026, EDTFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MoroccoLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$10-100%-$10
Jul 9, 2026, EDTWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$10-100%-$10
Jul 9, 2026, EDTFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$17-100%-$17.5
Jul 7, 2026, EDTWill Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)69c$14-100%-$13.75
Jul 7, 2026, EDTWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$16-100%-$16.24
Jul 6, 2026, EDTUnited States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$29+58.7%+$17.32
Jul 6, 2026, EDTPortugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$10+56.3%+$5.63
Jul 6, 2026, EDTPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpainWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$35+49.3%+$17.07
Jul 5, 2026, EDTMexico vs. England: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$30+47.1%+$14.12
Jul 5, 2026, EDTBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 11.5 Total Cornerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$10-100%-$10
Jul 5, 2026, EDTBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BrazilLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$25-100%-$25
Jul 5, 2026, EDTWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$50-100%-$50
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT$235—too few: 6 picks7 h 40to the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled-0.17no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1040%4 W · 6 L-1.7-0.1757c-38.6%45
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 13, 2026, EDTWill Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$10-100%-$10
Sep 13, 2026, EDTWill Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$23-100%-$23.39
Aug 5, 2026, EDTLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Hanwha Life EsportsWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$25+72.4%+$18.1
Aug 5, 2026, EDTLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Hanwha Life EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$25-100%-$25
Aug 4, 2026, EDTLoL: DOCISK vs Orbit Anonymo - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)DOCISKLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$42-100%-$42
Aug 2, 2026, EDTLoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HANJIN BRIONLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$25-100%-$25
Jul 31, 2026, EDTLoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HANJIN BRIONLost (open this pick on its own page)71c$41-100%-$41
Jul 21, 2026, EDTLoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HANJIN BRIONWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$14+53.8%+$7.54
Jul 12, 2026, EDTWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$10+42.9%+$4.29
Jul 12, 2026, EDTWill Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$20+44.9%+$8.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$5,494before 45%in play 55%, over 20 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 37 min after the start3 h 19to the end, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled-0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.9-0.1447c-38.8%43
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTSpread: Grizzlies (-15.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GrizzliesLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$100-100%-$100
Oct 24, 2026, EDTGrizzlies vs. Warriorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GrizzliesWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$119+143.9%+$171.06
Oct 23, 2026, EDTKnicks vs. Celticson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KnicksLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$250-100%-$250
Oct 23, 2026, EDTHawks vs. Hornetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HawksWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$250+78.6%+$196.43
Oct 23, 2026, EDTBulls vs. Buckson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BucksLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$260-100%-$260
Oct 23, 2026, EDTNuggets vs. Thunderon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ThunderWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$469+42.9%+$201.59
Oct 22, 2026, EDTSpread: 76ers (-6.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CavaliersLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$100-100%-$100
Oct 21, 2026, EDTThunder vs. Spurson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpursLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$500-100%-$500
Oct 20, 2026, EDTSpread: 76ers (-5.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KnicksLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$152-100%-$151.65
Oct 20, 2026, EDT76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$150+63.9%+$95.9
Oct 20, 2026, EDTSpread: Knicks (-2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76ersWon (open this pick on its own page)44c$200+127.3%+$254.55
Oct 20, 2026, EDTSpread: Celtics (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PistonsWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$319+96.1%+$306.95
Jul 26, 2026, EDTWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$58-100%-$58.38
Jan 31, 2026, ESTPistons vs. Warriorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WarriorsLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$10-100%-$10.11
Jan 31, 2026, ESTNets vs. Jazzon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)JazzLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$277-100%-$276.69
Jan 31, 2026, ESTCavaliers vs. Sunson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CavaliersLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$34-100%-$33.7
Jan 31, 2026, ESTRaptors vs. Magicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RaptorsLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$736-100%-$736.3
Jan 30, 2026, ESTHornets vs. Maverickson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HornetsWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$476+31.7%+$150.84
Dec 21, 2025, ESTLakers vs. Clipperson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LakersLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$296-100%-$296.43
Dec 20, 2025, ESTBulls vs. Cavalierson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CavaliersLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$100-100%-$100
Dec 20, 2025, EST76ers vs. Knickson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KnicksLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$637-100%-$637.12
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast settled Aug 4, 2026, EDT$435before 6%in play 94%, over 18 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 07 after the start29 minresells, median over 26 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled-0.20no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.1-0.2345c-46.8%39
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 4, 2026, EDTNational Bank Open: Donna Vekic vs Viktorija Golubicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Donna VekicLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$36-100%-$36
Aug 4, 2026, EDTPlovdiv 2: Franco Ribero vs Radu Mihai Papoeon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Franco RiberoLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$24-100%-$23.57
Aug 3, 2026, EDTNational Bank Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Bianca Andreescuon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Bianca AndreescuLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$25-100%-$25
Aug 3, 2026, EDTNational Bank Open: Katie Boulter vs Kayla Crosson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Katie BoulterLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$25-100%-$25
Aug 3, 2026, EDTPlovdiv 2: Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batallaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Yanaki MilevWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$25+138.1%+$34.52
Aug 3, 2026, EDTHagen: Guy Den Ouden vs Alexandre Mulleron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Alexandre MullerLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$25-100%-$25
Aug 3, 2026, EDTWarsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Linda Fruhvirtovaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Katarzyna KawaWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$25+163.2%+$40.79
Aug 2, 2026, EDTThe Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Darja Vidmanovaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Darja VidmanovaLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$25-100%-$25
Aug 2, 2026, EDTITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Isaac Becrofton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Sam Ryan ZiegannLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$18-100%-$17.64
Aug 1, 2026, EDTNational Bank Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Ana Gruboron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ana GruborLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$25-100%-$24.99
Aug 1, 2026, EDTCanadian Open, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Titouan Drogueton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Titouan DroguetWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$25+92.3%+$23.08
Aug 1, 2026, EDTCanadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweenyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Dane SweenyLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$25-100%-$25
Aug 1, 2026, EDTMubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Ealaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Alexandra EalaWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$25+163.2%+$40.79
Aug 1, 2026, EDTNational Bank Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Lucrezia Stefaninion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Sofia KeninLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$25-100%-$25
Aug 1, 2026, EDTCanadian Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Duncan Chanon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Hugo GastonLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$27-100%-$27
Aug 1, 2026, EDTThe Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Elvina Kalievaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Elvina KalievaLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$27-100%-$27
Aug 1, 2026, EDTCanadian Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Tomas Barrioson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tomas BarriosLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$11-100%-$11.02
Jul 10, 2026, EDTSet Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)DjokovicLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$17-100%-$17.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.