TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x337d…2e8a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: UFC, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 60 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+46.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$29
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$74.58
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.61
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+206.3%+$60.13
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21.63
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+37%+$8.14
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$23.94
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$116.47
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$33.78
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGheebacked Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$9.91
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.88
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$32.09
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$29.33
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$11.63
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$26.01
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$13.73
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$26.51
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+44.3%+$7.29
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$79.72
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$59.26
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.78
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.88
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$19.38
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$31.6
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$145.02
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$104.47
Will Girona win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$101.76
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-8.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ludogorets win on 2025-08-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$23.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.