TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x066b…b491

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.33
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$104
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wangbacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.98
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wangbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.2
Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$6.04
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$27.08
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+295.3%+$36.14
Roland Garros WTA: Hanyu Guo vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Hanyu Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Roland Garros ATP: Yibing Wu vs Marcos Gironbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$95.29
Roland Garros WTA: Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Wangbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.04
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$44.88
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+117.6%+$118.9
All 15 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$22
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$113.39
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 April 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.3
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+27%+$8.5
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+93%+$24.1
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$53.8
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$102.7
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$30.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.36
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick58cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$27.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$22.86
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$12.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$5.16
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+85.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16.84
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.