TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05a9…93c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT4254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+60%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+74.8%+$14.95
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+149.6%+$44.87
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+50.8%+$31.49
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Over $26M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+98%+$19.61
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+45.2%+$24.27
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+72%+$20.17
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+162.9%+$24.44
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25.2%+$5.03
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+240.1%+$312.1
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+62.3%+$78.15
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST3429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-25.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+90.9%+$45.43
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+830.1%+$323.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC København win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.21
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$14.14
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+72.7%+$39.43
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.08
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+122.2%+$15.89
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+91.1%+$177.62
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$35.48
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$15.19
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+106.3%+$112.59
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
All 20 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BNB reach $950 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+139.1%+$55.65
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.