TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x29e5…8b3b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2119%4 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+495.2%+$173.33
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$16.04
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$13.69
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
MegaETH FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$55.98
MegaETH FDV above $1.8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$19.53
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$35.37
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$80.49
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$20.5
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.4%+$56.41
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$56.41
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$30.39
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+45.8%+$48.24
Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$94.27
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$77.14
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.1
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$33.76
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$36.63
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+669.2%+$200.77
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.43
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$60
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$127
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+127.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+80.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Will Usyk win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+49.9%+$78.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$131
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$39.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+86.1%+$41.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.