TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb50…c452

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+48.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.7
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.18
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.7
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$56.67
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.7
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+295.3%+$29.53
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.93
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked Aeterna Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.66
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.54
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.7
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.54
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.54
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.89
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.93
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1492.9%13 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick72cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.69
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$3.37
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$13.65
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.25
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.86
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.54
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.16
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$17.03
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.34
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.16
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.86
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.91
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.96
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.96
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$19.41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.03
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aix en Provence: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.93
Shymkent 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Andrej Nedicbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.89
Madrid Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Madrid Open: Simona Waltert vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.7
Shymkent: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.22
Shymkent: Radu Albot vs Antoine Ghibaudobacked Antoine Ghibaudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$24.8
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dalma Galfi vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.57
Shymkent: Sergey Fomin vs Vladyslav Orlovbacked Vladyslav Orlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.43
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick75cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick77cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$9.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.