TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x99b8…bf67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 27.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L-9.7wins-0.44per pick67cpaid-68.1%equal weight27-0.21 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.29
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$19.66
Pistons vs. Kingsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.83
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+170.3%+$25.54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+257.1%+$38.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+203%+$30.56
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$21.59
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+35.4%+$10.01
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.86
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$3
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Bruinsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+67.3%+$13.47
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Devils vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-48.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+285%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$125.37
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+49.3%+$12.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$26.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.