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Wallet 0x41ed…bc89

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$41,692 staked over 211 qualified picks in 27 categories, 14 of 27 below 50.

60

Best category

College Football

$2,457 staked over 8 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.09 per pick.

See the full College Football board
59

Second best

South American Leagues

$3,201 staked over 16 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.08 per pick.

See the full South American Leagues board
58

Third best

NFL

$2,847 staked over 6 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.08 per pick.

See the full NFL board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be +$294.22 tailing 8 College Football picks (7 W · 1 L) at $50 each: +73.6% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified College Football picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category27 Categories

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Footballlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$2,457—too few: 8 picks3 h 38to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled+0.38105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9+0.3651c+73.6%60
South American Leagueslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$3,201before 12%in play 88%, over 16 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start2 h 59to the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled+0.21102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.2+0.2048c+43%59
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 18, 2026, EDTWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$289+92.3%+$266.61
Oct 18, 2026, EDTSpread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CR FlamengoWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$100+244.8%+$244.83
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$38+163.2%+$62
Oct 17, 2026, EDTCA Paranaense vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$200-100%-$200
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$150+100%+$150
Oct 17, 2026, EDTCA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$200+117.7%+$235.33
Oct 2, 2026, EDTSão Paulo FC vs. Santos FC: São Paulo FC O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$293-100%-$292.64
Sep 21, 2026, EDTDeportivo Toluca FC leading at halftime?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$241+69.5%+$167.63
Jan 14, 2026, ESTCF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$375-100%-$374.99
Jan 14, 2026, ESTWill CF Pachuca win on 2026-01-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$260+100%+$260
Jan 14, 2026, ESTWill CF Monterrey win on 2026-01-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$200+163.2%+$326.32
Jan 14, 2026, ESTCF Pachuca vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$260+56.4%+$146.59
Jan 13, 2026, ESTClub Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$100-100%-$100
Jan 13, 2026, ESTClub Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$271+38.9%+$105.39
Dec 4, 2025, ESTWill CA Mineiro vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$124+42.9%+$53.34
Dec 3, 2025, ESTWill Fortaleza EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)13c$100-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT$2,847—too few: 6 picks3 h 35to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled+0.39100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4+0.3944c+93.2%58
Serie Alast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$1,868before 0%in play 100%, over 11 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 min after the start1 h 15resells, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled+0.26121% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 121% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3+0.2143c+39.5%57
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 18, 2026, EDTWill SS Lazio win on 2026-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$168+138.1%+$232
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill AS Roma win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$300+78.6%+$235.71
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill Venezia FC win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$177-100%-$177.37
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$100-100%-$100
Jan 12, 2026, ESTGenoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$178+64.3%+$114.47
Jan 11, 2026, ESTWill AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$98-100%-$97.71
Jan 10, 2026, ESTAtalanta BC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$217+99.5%+$215.38
Jan 10, 2026, ESTWill AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$200+138.1%+$276.19
Jan 10, 2026, ESTComo 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$186+122.3%+$227.49
Jan 8, 2026, ESTWill AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)34c$121+194.1%+$234.88
Jan 8, 2026, ESTWill AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$123-100%-$123
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT$657—too few: 3 picks36 minresells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled+0.4699% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4+0.4654c+86.8%55
Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT$1,768—too few: 7 picks1 h 10resells, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled+0.23103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6+0.2249c+53%55
Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT$3,046before 0%in play 100%, over 13 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min after the start1 h 36resells, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled+0.11104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4+0.1143c+9.3%54
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 2, 2026, EDTWill Hungary vs. Georgia end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$200-100%-$200
Oct 2, 2026, EDTWill Hungary win on 2026-10-02?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)44c$230+127.3%+$292.73
Oct 2, 2026, EDTBelgium vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$190-100%-$190
Oct 2, 2026, EDTBelgium vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$220+132.6%+$291.63
Oct 2, 2026, EDTWill Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$320-100%-$320
Oct 1, 2026, EDTWill Portugal win on 2026-10-01?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$230+170.3%+$391.62
Sep 25, 2026, EDTWill Georgia win on 2026-09-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$222-100%-$221.85
Sep 24, 2026, EDTWill Serbia win on 2026-09-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$289+104.1%+$300.76
Jan 14, 2026, ESTWill Morocco win on 2026-01-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$166-100%-$166.33
Jan 14, 2026, ESTWill Senegal vs. Egypt end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$121-100%-$121.35
Jan 14, 2026, ESTSenegal vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$350+56.3%+$196.88
Jan 9, 2026, ESTWill Morocco win on 2026-01-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$327+48.1%+$157.43
Jan 9, 2026, ESTWill Senegal win on 2026-01-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$180+81.8%+$147.51
All 13 picks, newest first.
Mlslast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$1,600—too few: 9 picks45 minresells, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled+0.09114% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 114% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7+0.0848c+10.5%52
WNBA Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT$395—too few: 2 picks2 h 48to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.20107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L+0.4+0.1931c-3.8%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 20, 2026, EDTPortland Fire vs. Los Angeles Sparkson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Los Angeles SparksWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$165+92.3%+$152.31
Sep 20, 2026, EDTWashington Mystics vs. Indiana Feveron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Indiana FeverLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$230-100%-$230
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Feb 13, 2025, EST$22—no start of play15 h 52resells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.30100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3+0.3070c+42.1%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Feb 13, 2025, ESTRFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$22+42.1%+$9.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast settled Jan 19, 2026, EST$359—no start of play2 dresells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled+0.16111% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 111% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L+0.3+0.1436c+2%51
Ligue 1last settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$1,319—too few: 4 picks1 h 02to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled+0.06107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)450%2 W · 2 L+0.2+0.0644c+9.8%51
Movies Inactivelast settled Nov 25, 2024, EST$268—no start of play2 h 26resells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled+0.06100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L+0.1+0.0644c-25.6%51
Lol Inactivelast settled Jan 14, 2026, EST$100—too few: 1 pick2 h 36to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.3-0.2727c-100%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jan 14, 2026, ESTLoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Top EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$100-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$1,508—too few: 9 picks2 h 54to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled-0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5-0.0639c-35.1%48
Golf Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT$488—too few: 1 pick1 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.58no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.6-0.5858c-100%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 27, 2026, EDTPresidents Cup 2026 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)InternationalLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$488-100%-$487.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast settled Jan 14, 2026, EST$140—too few: 1 pick2 h 34to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.48no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.6-0.6161c-100%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jan 14, 2026, ESTCounter-Strike: los kogutos vs STATE (BO3)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)los kogutosLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$140-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT$1,430—too few: 8 picks2 h 23to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled-0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8-0.1048c-23.8%47
Tennis Inactivelast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT$2,144before 17%in play 83%, over 12 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 16 after the start1 h 47to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled-0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0-0.0942c-35.1%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 2, 2026, EDTPorto 2: Jerome Kym vs Edas Butvilason Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Jerome KymWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$515+61.5%+$316.74
Oct 2, 2026, EDTChina Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Novak DjokovicWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$200+112.8%+$225.53
Oct 1, 2026, EDTGame Spread: Jaume Munar (-1.5) vs Jaime Faria (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Jaime FariaLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$250-100%-$250
Oct 1, 2026, EDTCuritiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamotoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Pedro SakamotoLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$100-100%-$100
Sep 24, 2026, EDTSan Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorznyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Sebastian GorznyLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$100-100%-$100
Sep 21, 2026, EDTTolentino: Federica Urgesi vs Oksana Selekhmetevaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Federica UrgesiLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$250-100%-$250
Sep 21, 2026, EDTSt. Tropez: David Goffin vs Mark Lajalon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)David GoffinLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$100-100%-$100
Sep 21, 2026, EDTPlovdiv 4: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Oriol Roca Batallaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Diego Dedura-PalomeroLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$53-100%-$53
Jan 16, 2026, ESTAdelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humberton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HumbertWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$113+96.4%+$108.78
Jan 14, 2026, ESTAustralian Open Men's: Giulio Zeppieri vs Rei Sakamotoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SakamotoWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$138+108.3%+$149.5
Jan 12, 2026, ESTAdelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KordaLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$193-100%-$193.37
Jan 10, 2026, ESTASB Classic, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Hugo Gastonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KoprivaLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$132-100%-$132
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT$1,323—too few: 6 picks3 h 06to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0-0.1650c-47.2%46
Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT$3,268before 29%in play 71%, over 21 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min after the start3 h 34to the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled-0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5-0.0750c-9%46
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 19, 2026, EDTWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$280-100%-$280
Oct 18, 2026, EDTLeeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$52-100%-$51.61
Oct 17, 2026, EDTNewcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$150-100%-$150
Oct 17, 2026, EDTSwansea City AFC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$100-100%-$99.8
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$170+138.1%+$234.76
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$300-100%-$300
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWatford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$111-100%-$111
Oct 16, 2026, EDTWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-10-16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)26c$140+284.6%+$398.46
Jan 10, 2026, ESTSpread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Chelsea FCWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$177+163.2%+$288.79
Jan 8, 2026, ESTWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$119-100%-$118.76
Dec 3, 2025, ESTWill Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$239-100%-$239.1
Dec 3, 2025, ESTWill Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$157+42.9%+$67.4
May 19, 2025, EDTWill Brighton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$100+32.8%+$32.87
Apr 20, 2025, EDTWill Fulham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$52-100%-$51.74
Apr 12, 2025, EDTWill Arsenal win on 2025-04-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$250-100%-$249.84
Apr 12, 2025, EDTWill Everton win on 2025-04-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)79c$250-100%-$250
Apr 12, 2025, EDTWill Aston Villa win on 2025-04-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$160+56.8%+$90.57
Apr 12, 2025, EDTWill Manchester City win on 2025-04-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$259+58.7%+$152.4
Apr 6, 2025, EDTWill Manchester City win on 2025-04-06?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$48-100%-$47.77
Apr 5, 2025, EDTWill Ipswich win on 2025-04-05?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)35c$66+186.1%+$122.37
Apr 3, 2025, EDTWill Chelsea win on 2025-04-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$89+47.1%+$42.01
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Jan 10, 2026, EST$401—too few: 2 picks4 h 27to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.59no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)20%0 W · 2 L-1.2-0.5959c-100%45
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jan 10, 2026, ESTMontana Grizzlies vs. Eastern Washington Eagleson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Montana GrizzliesLost (open this pick on its own page)68c$300-100%-$300
Dec 4, 2025, ESTUtah State Aggies vs. South Florida Bullson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Utah State AggiesLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$101-100%-$100.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBAlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT$3,230before 5%in play 95%, over 22 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 00 after the start3 h 21to the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled-0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 19 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2-0.1046c-27.6%45
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 20, 2026, EDTCeltics vs. Pistonson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CelticsLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$110-100%-$110
Jan 15, 2026, ESTSuns vs. Pistonson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PistonsWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$60+88.7%+$53.02
Jan 12, 2026, ESTHawks vs. Warriorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WarriorsLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$77-100%-$76.86
Jan 12, 2026, ESTBucks vs. Nuggetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BucksLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$84-100%-$84
Jan 11, 2026, EST76ers vs. Raptorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RaptorsWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$271+85.5%+$231.78
Jan 11, 2026, ESTKnicks vs. Trail Blazerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Trail BlazersLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$100-100%-$100
Jan 11, 2026, ESTNets vs. Grizzlieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GrizzliesWon (open this pick on its own page)23c$100+334.8%+$334.78
Jan 11, 2026, ESTPelicans vs. Magicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MagicWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$702+61.8%+$434.07
Jan 10, 2026, ESTSpread: Heat (-6.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HeatLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$159-100%-$159
Jan 10, 2026, ESTHawks vs. Nuggetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NuggetsLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$175-100%-$175
Jan 10, 2026, ESTHawks vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneylineon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NuggetsLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$129-100%-$128.75
Jan 9, 2026, EST76ers vs. Magicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76ersWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$200+104.1%+$208.16
Dec 7, 2025, ESTCeltics vs. Raptorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RaptorsLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$221-100%-$221
May 18, 2025, EDTNuggets vs. Thunderon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NuggetsLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$79-100%-$79.04
May 1, 2025, EDTWarriors vs. Rocketson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WarriorsLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$64-100%-$64.32
Apr 19, 2025, EDTPistons vs. Knickson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PistonsLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$84-100%-$83.94
Apr 12, 2025, EDTGrizzlies vs. Nuggetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NuggetsWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$163+59.5%+$96.92
Apr 5, 2025, EDTThunder vs. Rocketson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ThunderLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$33-100%-$33.37
Mar 31, 2025, EDTKings vs. Pacerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KingsLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$90-100%-$89.87
Nov 17, 2024, ESTSpurs vs. Maverickson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MavericksWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$22+25.8%+$5.74
Nov 16, 2024, ESTGrizzlies vs. Warriorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WarriorsWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$17+33.3%+$5.66
Nov 16, 2024, ESTNuggets vs. Pelicanson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NuggetsLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$290-100%-$289.98
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast settled Jun 20, 2025, EDT$484—too few: 5 picks6 h 22to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.28no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)520%1 W · 4 L-1.4-0.2848c-53.5%45
Bundesligalast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$2,190before 9%in play 91%, over 11 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start3 h 14to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled-0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9-0.1744c-57.3%44
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 18, 2026, EDTBayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$331+53.8%+$178.23
Oct 17, 2026, EDTHannover 96 vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$125-100%-$125
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$44+80.6%+$35.81
Oct 17, 2026, EDTSpread: 1. FC Heidenheim (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1. FC HeidenheimLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$100-100%-$100
Oct 16, 2026, EDTFC Energie Cottbus vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: 1st Half O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$190-100%-$190
Oct 16, 2026, EDTWill Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$320-100%-$320
Oct 16, 2026, EDTHolstein Kiel vs. Hertha BSC: Hertha BSC O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$100-100%-$100
Oct 16, 2026, EDTHolstein Kiel vs. Hertha BSC: 1st Half O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$200-100%-$200
Oct 16, 2026, EDTSpread: Hertha BSC (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Hertha BSCLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$100-100%-$100
Oct 16, 2026, EDTHolstein Kiel vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$300-100%-$300
Jan 14, 2026, ESTWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$380+35.1%+$133.51
All 11 picks, newest first.
Parlays Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT$2,374—no start of play—no market to hold—no market price90%0 W · 9 L-3.7-0.4141c-100%38
SettledTicketResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 11, 2026, EDTNorway vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5 AND Germany vs. Greece: O/U 0.52 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)52c$406-100%-$405.59
Oct 9, 2026, EDTClemson vs. California: 1H O/U 20.5 AND Clemson vs. California AND Spread: Navy (-7.5)3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)45c$251-100%-$250.7
Oct 5, 2026, EDTGiants vs. Rams AND San Diego 2: Aidan Mayo vs Sebastian Gorzny2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)39c$294-100%-$293.7
Oct 4, 2026, EDTWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-20? AND Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)27c$300-100%-$300
Oct 4, 2026, EDTOlympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 AND Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5 AND FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.53 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)42c$225-100%-$225
Oct 4, 2026, EDTWill Lille OSC win on 2026-09-20? AND Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-09-20?2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)19c$142-100%-$141.9
Oct 4, 2026, EDTWill Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-09-20? AND Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-20?2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)39c$300-100%-$300
Oct 4, 2026, EDTParma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5 AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)56c$250-100%-$249.54
Oct 4, 2026, EDTManchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5 AND Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5 AND Will PSV win on 2026-09-20?3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)52c$208-100%-$208
All 9 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.
NHL Inactivelast settled Jan 30, 2026, EST$2,804before 16%in play 84%, over 19 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 48 min after the start4 h 11to the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled-0.32no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1921.1%4 W · 15 L-6.3-0.3354c-63.3%34
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jan 30, 2026, ESTDucks vs. Canuckson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)DucksLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$91-100%-$91.13
Jan 30, 2026, ESTCapitals vs. Red Wingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Red WingsLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$100-100%-$100
Jan 29, 2026, ESTJets vs. Lightningon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LightningWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$119+61.3%+$72.7
Jan 17, 2026, ESTLightning vs. Blueson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LightningLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$222-100%-$221.59
Jan 15, 2026, ESTKraken vs. Devilson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KrakenLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$185-100%-$185
Jan 14, 2026, ESTOilers vs. Predatorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PredatorsWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$362+106.8%+$387.27
Jan 12, 2026, ESTBlue Jackets vs. Utahon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UtahLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$300-100%-$300
Jan 10, 2026, ESTKings vs. Jetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KingsLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$200-100%-$200
Dec 4, 2025, ESTAvalanche vs. Islanderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AvalancheLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$182-100%-$182
Dec 3, 2025, ESTStars vs. Rangerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)StarsLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$147-100%-$146.58
Nov 11, 2025, ESTCapitals vs. Hurricaneson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HurricanesLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$123-100%-$123.07
Nov 10, 2025, ESTIslanders vs. Devilson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)DevilsLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$117-100%-$117.21
Apr 5, 2025, EDTPenguins vs. Starson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)StarsLost (open this pick on its own page)69c$70-100%-$70.12
Apr 4, 2025, EDTLightning vs. Senatorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LightningLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$131-100%-$131.14
Apr 3, 2025, EDTPanthers vs. Maple Leafson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Maple LeafsWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$100+78.6%+$78.24
Mar 16, 2025, EDTGolden Knights vs. Red Wingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Golden KnightsLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$90-100%-$89.92
Mar 2, 2025, ESTBruins vs. Wildon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BruinsLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$95-100%-$95.45
Mar 2, 2025, ESTMaple Leafs vs. Penguinson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Maple LeafsWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$63+51.5%+$32.49
Mar 2, 2025, ESTFlyers vs. Jetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)JetsLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$107-100%-$107.29
All 19 picks, newest first.
What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.