TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x560c…bba8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$7.34
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.1
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$8
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$20.1
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$31.89
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$27.02
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+30.8%+$7.89
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$57.06
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33.33
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+57.5%+$14.15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+27.8%+$8.7
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO5) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.44
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ODDIK Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$13
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Counter-Strike: ex-MINLATE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked ex-MINLATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.85
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.31
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.7%+$19.7
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+52.7%+$6.9
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35.85
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+33.2%+$7.22
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37.5%+$19.1
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34.26
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+57.5%+$7.3
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+30.9%+$37.56
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-42.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$16.1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$28.14
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$42.9
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45.46
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.32
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.4
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$81.64
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.88
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37.66
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+222.6%+$24.15
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.1%+$5.6
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7.06
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stagebacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.67
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Colossal Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 3backed Arctic Pandas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$7.21
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.5
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked EXILE esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72%+$12.44
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.7
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.5
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25%+$10
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.8
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.6
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+55%+$15.97
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$6.61
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+79.1%+$33.13
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$121
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+27.5%+$129.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$72.21
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$21.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$15.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$162.06
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+43.7%+$107.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$23.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Build your own" or "Make your own" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+50.3%+$10.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.8%+$4.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+29.5%+$20.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open, Qualification: Ella Seidel vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UNCW Seahawks vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.