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Wallet 0xa8a1…2974

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$723,641 staked over 621 qualified picks in 25 categories, 13 of 25 below 50.

62

Best category

WNBA

$6,314 staked over 10 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.10 per pick.

See the full WNBA board
60

Second best

Token Launches

$1,065 staked over 9 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.09 per pick.

See the full Token Launches board
55

Third best

Valorant

$26,172 staked over 11 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.04 per pick.

See the full Valorant board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be +$422.12 tailing 10 WNBA picks (7 W · 3 L) at $50 each: +84.4% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified WNBA picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category25 Categories

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
WNBAlast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT$6,314before 0%in play 100%, over 10 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 after the start1 h 26to the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled+0.3491% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1070%7 W · 3 L+3.7+0.3733c+84.4%62
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 2, 2026, EDTDallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyrieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Golden State ValkyriesWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$213+143.2%+$305.19
Oct 2, 2026, EDTIndiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aceson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Indiana FeverLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$286-100%-$286
Oct 1, 2026, EDTGolden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Dallas WingsWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$244+146.2%+$356.54
Aug 30, 2026, EDTToronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$1,363+103.5%+$1,410.7
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWashington Mystics vs. Los Angeles Sparkson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Los Angeles SparksWon (open this pick on its own page)28c$903+254.5%+$2,297.76
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWashington Mystics vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 167.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$218-100%-$217.5
Aug 28, 2026, EDTPortland Fire vs. Atlanta Dreamon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Atlanta DreamLost (open this pick on its own page)8c$1,820-100%-$1,820.19
Aug 28, 2026, EDTWashington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercuryon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Washington MysticsWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$1,165+132%+$1,538.73
Aug 5, 2026, EDTLos Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Skyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Chicago SkyWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$40+117.4%+$46.96
Jun 21, 2026, EDTNew York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparkson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Los Angeles SparksWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$62+247.4%+$153.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast settled Dec 9, 2025, EST$1,065—no start of play12 h 18to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled+0.3193% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)944.4%4 W · 5 L+3.0+0.3311c+445.8%60
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Dec 9, 2025, ESTStable FDV above $2B one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)8c$28-100%-$27.65
Dec 9, 2025, ESTStable FDV above $4B one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$40-100%-$40
Nov 27, 2025, ESTMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$490-100%-$490.13
Nov 25, 2025, ESTMonad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$60-100%-$60
Nov 18, 2025, ESTOver $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)10c$40+924%+$369.58
Nov 18, 2025, ESTOver $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)14c$70+608.5%+$425.94
Nov 18, 2025, ESTOver $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)4c$20+2,677.8%+$535.56
Nov 18, 2025, ESTOver $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)25c$197+302%+$595
Nov 18, 2025, ESTOver $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$120-100%-$120
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT$26,172before 9%in play 91%, over 11 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 42 after the start1 h 03to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled+0.1184% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 84% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5+0.1432c+40.1%55
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 16, 2026, EDTValorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)G2 EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$5,040-100%-$5,039.99
Oct 16, 2026, EDTValorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)G2 EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$1,443-100%-$1,442.79
Oct 16, 2026, EDTValorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LOUDWon (open this pick on its own page)36c$159+177.3%+$282
Oct 16, 2026, EDTValorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LOUDWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$598+113.9%+$681.4
Oct 16, 2026, EDTValorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team VitalityWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$1,831+116.5%+$2,133.07
Oct 3, 2026, EDTValorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group Don Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Karmine CorpLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$2,526-100%-$2,526
Oct 1, 2026, EDTValorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TYLOOWon (open this pick on its own page)19c$201+418.3%+$840.84
Aug 29, 2026, EDTValorant: MIBR vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Evil GeniusesLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$390-100%-$390
Aug 28, 2026, EDTValorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Leviatán EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$10,025-100%-$10,025
Aug 8, 2026, EDTValorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Inson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Eternal FireWon (open this pick on its own page)32c$3,389+215.3%+$7,297.42
Aug 8, 2026, EDTValorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)JoblifeLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$570-100%-$570.47
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT$1,448—too few: 1 pick1 h 55resells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.61101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6+0.6040c+153.1%53
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 5, 2026, EDTWill Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-09-05?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$1,448+153.1%+$2,216.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast settled Mar 29, 2026, EDT$3,800—too few: 1 pick6 h 01to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.58101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6+0.5743c+133.2%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Mar 29, 2026, EDTIndian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Riderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Mumbai IndiansWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$3,800+133.2%+$5,060.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast settled Apr 5, 2026, EDT$3,974—too few: 7 picks4 h 09to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled+0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 53% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 7 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7+0.1033c+109.1%52
Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$94,927before 8%in play 92%, over 59 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 28 after the start1 h 37to the end, median over 63 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled-0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 57 of 59 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)5932.2%19 W · 40 L+1.7+0.0329c+9.2%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTNingbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkovaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Marie BouzkovaLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$666-100%-$666
Oct 24, 2026, EDTPan Pacific Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Viktorija Golubicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Maya JointWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$1,520+157.3%+$2,391.31
Oct 24, 2026, EDTPan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parkson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ena ShibaharaLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$327-100%-$326.95
Oct 21, 2026, EDTNingbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Aliaksandra SasnovichLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$75-100%-$74.66
Oct 16, 2026, EDTMaia: Marco Trungelliti vs Francesco Passaroon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Marco TrungellitiLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$938-100%-$938
Oct 16, 2026, EDTWuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Iga Swiatekon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ann LiLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$4,431-100%-$4,431.15
Oct 16, 2026, EDTWuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkarion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Maja ChwalinskaWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$1,485+100.6%+$1,493.43
Oct 16, 2026, EDTShanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruudon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Rafael JodarWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$690+154.7%+$1,067.39
Oct 16, 2026, EDTWuhan Tennis Open: Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartalon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Elina SvitolinaLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$1,531-100%-$1,531
Oct 16, 2026, EDTWuhan Tennis Open: Diana Shnaider vs Jelena Ostapenkoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Diana ShnaiderLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$250-100%-$250.44
Oct 15, 2026, EDTWuhan Tennis Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Jelena Ostapenkoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Jelena OstapenkoWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$607+75.3%+$457.11
Oct 15, 2026, EDTWuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Maja Chwalinskaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Maja ChwalinskaWon (open this pick on its own page)26c$2,330+288.4%+$6,717.88
Oct 15, 2026, EDTWuhan Tennis Open: Elina Svitolina vs Hanyu Guoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Hanyu GuoLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$701-100%-$701
Oct 15, 2026, EDTWuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Diana Shnaideron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Karolina MuchovaLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$1,400-100%-$1,400
Oct 9, 2026, EDTShanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wuon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Yibing WuLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$20-100%-$20.24
Oct 3, 2026, EDTChina Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaevaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Alina CharaevaWon (open this pick on its own page)22c$1,188+354.6%+$4,211.24
Oct 3, 2026, EDTChina Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wangon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Xinyu WangLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$2,315-100%-$2,315
Oct 3, 2026, EDTChina Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Xinran SunWon (open this pick on its own page)32c$320+212.5%+$679.95
Oct 3, 2026, EDTChina Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Anna Kalinskayaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Anna KalinskayaLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$275-100%-$275
Oct 2, 2026, EDTChina Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulteron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Katie BoulterLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$302-100%-$301.94
Oct 2, 2026, EDTJingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Yuta ShimizuLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$575-100%-$575
Sep 30, 2026, EDTAdana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Melisa Ercanon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Melisa ErcanLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$974-100%-$973.84
Sep 17, 2026, EDTPhan Thiet 4: Martin Borisiouk vs Florent Baxon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Martin BorisioukLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$238-100%-$238.23
Sep 17, 2026, EDTGuadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonovaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Kayla DayLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$144-100%-$144.45
Sep 16, 2026, EDTValencia: Joelle Steur vs Francesca Curmion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Joelle SteurWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$2,980+97.9%+$2,917.03
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT$10,251—too few: 6 picks3 h 23to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled+0.06out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 70% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 7 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6+0.0934c-11.5%52
UFClast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT$3,290—too few: 3 picks1 h 36to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.16126% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 126% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4+0.1221c+96.1%51
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Feb 27, 2026, EST$617—too few: 2 picks1 h 52to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.08out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 59% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L+0.3+0.1436c-7.5%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Feb 27, 2026, ESTUC Irvine Anteaters vs. CSUN Matadorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UC Irvine AnteatersWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$519+85.1%+$441.98
Jan 29, 2026, ESTSan Francisco Dons vs. Santa Clara Broncoson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)San Francisco DonsLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$97-100%-$97.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast settled Aug 29, 2026, EDT$7,911before 27%in play 73%, over 11 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 21 min after the start4 h 08to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled+0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 31% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 11 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3+0.0342c+24.4%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Levante UD win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$1,534-100%-$1,534
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$4,300-100%-$4,300
Apr 5, 2026, EDTWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-05?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$152-100%-$151.74
Apr 5, 2026, EDTWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-05?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)17c$99+491.2%+$485.43
Jan 18, 2026, ESTWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$98-100%-$98.39
Jan 11, 2026, ESTLevante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$218+136.2%+$296.94
Jan 10, 2026, ESTWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$650+98.2%+$638.24
Dec 14, 2025, ESTWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$35+63.9%+$22.38
Nov 30, 2025, ESTWill Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$25-100%-$25
Nov 9, 2025, ESTWill Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$456+78.6%+$358.11
Nov 9, 2025, ESTWill Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$344-100%-$344
All 11 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast settled May 26, 2026, EDT$1,522—too few: 2 picks3 h 10to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.08258% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 258% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L+0.1+0.0347c-10.3%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
May 26, 2026, EDTShanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Zhejiang LionsLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$42-100%-$41.67
Mar 30, 2026, EDTNanjing Monkey King vs. Beijing Duckson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Beijing DucksWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$1,480+79.3%+$1,174.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT$480—no start of play2 dresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.30no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.3-0.3030c-100%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 1, 2026, EDTIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$480-100%-$480
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jun 30, 2026, EDT$10,710before 10%in play 90%, over 21 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 min after the start1 h 48to the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled-0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6-0.0336c-31.7%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jun 30, 2026, EDTNetherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MoroccoWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$10+100%+$10
Jun 30, 2026, EDTWill Morocco win on 2026-06-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$14-100%-$14
Jun 23, 2026, EDTSpread: Algeria (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AlgeriaLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$17-100%-$16.98
Jun 22, 2026, EDTSpread: France (-2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)IraqLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$412-100%-$412
Jun 22, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$212+94.9%+$201.23
Jun 17, 2026, EDTWill Austria win on 2026-06-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$202-100%-$202.06
Jun 16, 2026, EDTWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$364-100%-$364.48
Jun 16, 2026, EDTSpread: Argentina (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AlgeriaLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$15-100%-$14.7
Jun 16, 2026, EDTSpread: France (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FranceWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$109+143.9%+$156.97
Jun 15, 2026, EDTWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$128+95%+$121.58
Jun 15, 2026, EDTSpread: Spain (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpainLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$2,000-100%-$2,000
Jun 15, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$874-100%-$874.3
Jun 15, 2026, EDTWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$160-100%-$160
Jun 15, 2026, EDTSweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$1,123+141.5%+$1,589.88
Jun 15, 2026, EDTSpread: Sweden (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TunisiaLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$88-100%-$88
Jun 14, 2026, EDTWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$557-100%-$557.12
Jun 14, 2026, EDTAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$190-100%-$189.7
Jan 10, 2026, ESTWill Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$485+110.5%+$535.83
Jan 9, 2026, ESTWill Morocco win on 2026-01-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$3,000+49.3%+$1,477.61
Dec 26, 2025, ESTWill Egypt vs. South Africa end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$183-100%-$183.47
Dec 26, 2025, ESTWill South Africa win on 2025-12-26?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$566-100%-$566.12
All 21 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Jan 9, 2026, EST$3,240—too few: 1 pick6 h 49to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.48no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.5-0.4848c-100%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jan 9, 2026, ESTWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$3,240-100%-$3,240
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$18,743before 30%in play 70%, over 20 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min after the start3 h 51to the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled-0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2030%6 W · 14 L-0.9-0.0434c-33.1%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$1,969-100%-$1,969
Oct 24, 2026, EDTWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$700-100%-$700
Sep 6, 2026, EDTWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$40-100%-$39.51
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$340-100%-$340
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$3,647-100%-$3,647.07
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Coventry City FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$185+159.1%+$294.41
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$2,400-100%-$2,400
Aug 29, 2026, EDTCoventry City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$500-100%-$500
Jan 11, 2026, ESTWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$29-100%-$29.43
Jan 10, 2026, ESTManchester City FC vs. Exeter City FC: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$69+170.3%+$117.48
Jan 10, 2026, ESTWill Cheltenham Town FC win on 2026-01-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$41-100%-$41.24
Jan 10, 2026, ESTWill Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$421-100%-$421.49
Jan 10, 2026, ESTWill Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$6,104+79.7%+$4,865.6
Jan 8, 2026, ESTWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$149-100%-$149
Jan 4, 2026, ESTWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$100-100%-$100
Jan 4, 2026, ESTWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$212-100%-$212
Jan 3, 2026, ESTWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$250+58.7%+$146.83
Jan 3, 2026, ESTWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$200+100%+$200
Dec 26, 2025, ESTWill Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$1,280+170.3%+$2,179.46
Nov 9, 2025, ESTWill Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$106-100%-$106
All 20 picks, newest first.
Mlslast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT$1,138—too few: 2 picks4 h 45to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.34no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)20%0 W · 2 L-0.7-0.3434c-100%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 14, 2026, EDTWill St. Louis City SC win on 2026-10-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$430-100%-$430
Aug 30, 2026, EDTWill Austin FC win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$708-100%-$707.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT$1,760—too few: 2 picks2 h 41to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.34no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)20%0 W · 2 L-0.7-0.3535c-100%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 16, 2026, EDTEstudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$1,650-100%-$1,650
Jul 23, 2026, EDTWill CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$110-100%-$109.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Apr 5, 2026, EDT$2,891—too few: 3 picks2 h 40to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.30no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)30%0 W · 3 L-0.9-0.3131c-100%46
Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT$38,402before 3%in play 97%, over 31 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 30 after the start2 h 56to the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled-0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 30 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.2-0.0730c-36.3%46
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 11, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team SpiritLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$1,556-100%-$1,555.97
Oct 3, 2026, EDTDota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifieron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OGLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$619-100%-$619
Oct 3, 2026, EDTDota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifieron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GamerLegionLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$2,010-100%-$2,010
Oct 2, 2026, EDTDota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team LiquidLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$16-100%-$16
Oct 2, 2026, EDTDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group Aon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LGD GamingWon (open this pick on its own page)12c$258+741.2%+$1,913.69
Sep 30, 2026, EDTDota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group Aon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Level UPLost (open this pick on its own page)13c$122-100%-$121.72
Sep 30, 2026, EDTDota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Level UPLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$850-100%-$850
Aug 30, 2026, EDTDota 2: Ice Cream Men vs Execration (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ExecrationWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$54+99.3%+$53.85
Jun 29, 2026, EDTDota 2: Habibis vs summer bear - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HabibisLost (open this pick on its own page)8c$55-100%-$54.87
Jun 16, 2026, EDTDota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Vici GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$240-100%-$240
Jun 5, 2026, EDTDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team LiquidLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$20-100%-$19.87
Apr 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GamerLegionLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$2,286-100%-$2,286.39
Apr 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Vici GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$1,306-100%-$1,306.32
Apr 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Vici GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$6,516-100%-$6,515.72
Apr 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Vici GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$900-100%-$900
Apr 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GamerLegionLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$381-100%-$381.44
Mar 29, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Xtreme GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$3,500-100%-$3,500.03
Mar 29, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team YandexLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$134-100%-$134.49
Mar 28, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team YandexLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$3,165-100%-$3,165.07
Mar 28, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tundra EsportsWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$6,585+96.1%+$6,326.76
Mar 28, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tundra EsportsWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$202+111.7%+$226.23
Mar 27, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team FalconsLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$2,201-100%-$2,201
Mar 27, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team FalconsLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$3,921-100%-$3,921.48
Mar 27, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team FalconsLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$137-100%-$137
Mar 27, 2026, EDTDota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MOUZLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$352-100%-$352.25
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$151,462before 12%in play 88%, over 152 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 13 after the start3 h 08to the end, median over 167 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled-0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 148 of 152 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)15225.7%39 W · 113 L-7.5-0.0531c-21.1%45
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Hanwha Life EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$2,000-100%-$2,000
Oct 24, 2026, EDTLoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LOSLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$4,175-100%-$4,175
Oct 24, 2026, EDTLoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Movistar KOIWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$1,894+46.8%+$886.36
Oct 24, 2026, EDTLoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Top EsportsWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$2,861+157.1%+$4,494.18
Oct 23, 2026, EDTLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Top EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$8,318-100%-$8,318.24
Oct 23, 2026, EDTLoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Invictus GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$7,516-100%-$7,516.46
Oct 15, 2026, EDTLoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MVK EsportsWon (open this pick on its own page)30c$929+233.3%+$2,167.59
Oct 15, 2026, EDTLoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-Inon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIA EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$400-100%-$400
Oct 15, 2026, EDTLoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIA EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$1,414-100%-$1,413.68
Oct 15, 2026, EDTLoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team WEWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$1,774+108.1%+$1,918.13
Oct 15, 2026, EDTLoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 4 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team WELost (open this pick on its own page)36c$2,391-100%-$2,391
Oct 15, 2026, EDTLoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team WEWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$905+108.7%+$983.44
Oct 15, 2026, EDTLoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team WELost (open this pick on its own page)47c$1,342-100%-$1,342
Sep 30, 2026, EDTLoL: G2 NORD vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BOMBA TeamLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$662-100%-$662
Sep 30, 2026, EDTLoL: G2 NORD vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BOMBA TeamLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$370-100%-$369.86
Sep 19, 2026, EDTLoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)JD GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$16-100%-$16
Sep 8, 2026, EDTLoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LGD GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$2,336-100%-$2,336
Sep 7, 2026, EDTLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Anyone's LegendLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$33-100%-$32.63
Sep 7, 2026, EDTLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Anyone's LegendLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$540-100%-$540
Sep 6, 2026, EDTLoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ninjas in PyjamasLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$1,459-100%-$1,459.28
Sep 6, 2026, EDTLoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LGD GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$158-100%-$157.73
Sep 6, 2026, EDTLoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ninjas in PyjamasLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$320-100%-$320
Sep 6, 2026, EDTLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team WELost (open this pick on its own page)22c$2,600-100%-$2,600
Sep 6, 2026, EDTLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team WELost (open this pick on its own page)45c$500-100%-$500
Sep 6, 2026, EDTLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team WEWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$2,298+150%+$3,447.74
Showing 25 of 152 picks, newest first.
NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$172,538before 13%in play 87%, over 183 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 19 after the start3 h 03to the end, median over 217 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled-0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 167 of 183 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)18331.1%57 W · 126 L-9.3-0.0536c-21.4%45
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTHeat vs. Hornetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HeatLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$1,781-100%-$1,781
Oct 24, 2026, EDTRockets vs. Spurson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RocketsWon (open this pick on its own page)36c$120+177.8%+$213.33
Oct 16, 2026, EDTTimberwolves vs. Bullson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TimberwolvesLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$176-100%-$176.28
Oct 15, 2026, EDTThunder vs. Rocketson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ThunderLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$1,872-100%-$1,871.66
Oct 15, 2026, EDTThunder vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$843-100%-$842.53
Oct 15, 2026, EDTNuggets vs. Clipperson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NuggetsLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$1,925-100%-$1,925
Oct 15, 2026, EDTNuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 217.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$629+88.7%+$558.38
Oct 14, 2026, EDTNets vs. Heaton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NetsLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$365-100%-$364.7
Oct 12, 2026, EDTBulls vs. Nuggetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BullsLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$22-100%-$22.41
May 30, 2026, EDTSpurs vs. Thunderon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ThunderLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$1,087-100%-$1,087
May 30, 2026, EDTSpread: Thunder (-3.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ThunderLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$294-100%-$294.17
May 21, 2026, EDTSpread: Knicks (-8.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CavaliersLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$24-100%-$23.86
May 19, 2026, EDTSpurs vs. Thunderon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ThunderLost (open this pick on its own page)13c$30-100%-$29.72
May 18, 2026, EDTSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$13+134%+$17.42
May 9, 2026, EDTSpread: Spurs (-4.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TimberwolvesLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$90-100%-$90
May 8, 2026, EDTLakers vs. Thunderon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LakersLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$49-100%-$49
May 7, 2026, EDTSpread: Spurs (-10.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TimberwolvesLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$20-100%-$20
Apr 28, 2026, EDTSpread: Thunder (-10.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SunsWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$118+108.3%+$127.85
Apr 22, 2026, EDTSpread: Rockets (-4.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RocketsLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$10-100%-$10.37
Apr 22, 2026, EDTRockets vs. Lakerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RocketsLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$521-100%-$521.06
Apr 21, 2026, EDTTrail Blazers vs. Spurson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpursLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$336-100%-$336.25
Apr 21, 2026, EDT76ers vs. Celticson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CelticsLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$12,658-100%-$12,658.06
Apr 18, 2026, EDTWarriors vs. Sunson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WarriorsLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$2,799-100%-$2,799.08
Apr 6, 2026, EDTRockets vs. Warriorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WarriorsLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$43-100%-$42.95
Apr 2, 2026, EDTPacers vs. Bullson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BullsLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$12,806-100%-$12,806.04
Showing 25 of 183 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast settled Apr 18, 2026, EDT$2,742—too few: 5 picks4 h 15to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.34no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)50%0 W · 5 L-1.7-0.3434c-100%44
CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$135,888before 9%in play 91%, over 70 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 after the start2 h 07to the end, median over 73 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled-0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 69 of 71 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)7115.5%11 W · 60 L-7.9-0.1127c-37.4%41
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)G2Lost (open this pick on its own page)29c$1,847-100%-$1,847.01
Oct 24, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)G2Lost (open this pick on its own page)23c$1,412-100%-$1,411.81
Oct 24, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BetBoom TeamWon (open this pick on its own page)26c$500+284.6%+$1,423.08
Oct 24, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Aurora GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$1,900-100%-$1,900
Oct 16, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AstralisLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$1,021-100%-$1,021
Oct 16, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9zLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$4,397-100%-$4,396.99
Oct 16, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9zLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$3,601-100%-$3,601.11
Oct 16, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LiquidLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$536-100%-$536
Oct 15, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PARIVISIONLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$4,700-100%-$4,700
Oct 15, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Heroic vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BC.Game EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$3,313-100%-$3,312.83
Oct 15, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group Aon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9zLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$1,250-100%-$1,249.93
Oct 15, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9zLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$1,427-100%-$1,427.5
Oct 14, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PARIVISIONLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$1,898-100%-$1,898.22
Oct 11, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MOUZLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$132-100%-$132
Oct 11, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MOUZLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$4,235-100%-$4,234.84
Oct 4, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIALost (open this pick on its own page)42c$247-100%-$247.3
Oct 4, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIALost (open this pick on its own page)24c$20-100%-$19.5
Sep 26, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Bounty Hunters EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$417-100%-$417
Sep 10, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: G2 vs 5star - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5starLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$66-100%-$66.33
Sep 8, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TYLOOLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$47-100%-$46.59
Sep 6, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MOUZLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$191-100%-$191
Sep 6, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MOUZLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$2,100-100%-$2,099.99
Sep 6, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MOUZWon (open this pick on its own page)30c$1,325+237.5%+$3,146.43
Sep 5, 2026, EDTWill Vitality Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$1,335-100%-$1,335.48
Sep 5, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)VitalityLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$2,981-100%-$2,981.28
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast settled May 31, 2026, EDT$22,355—too few: 6 picks6 h 18to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.42no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)60%0 W · 6 L-2.6-0.4444c-100%41
What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.