TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeeeb…ac32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 55 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$70.8
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$28.8
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.47
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+110.5%+$31.5
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$12
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+102%+$30.3
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.3
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+37.6%+$16.4
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$112.2
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+37%+$54
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.39
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+194.1%+$19.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+94.2%+$58.2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$30.6
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.72
Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$34.37
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$51.52
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$131.38
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+50.4%+$6.7
Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$81.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$17.28
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+60.4%+$33.9
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+54.6%+$31.8
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+89.8%+$14.19
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+143.3%+$29.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$77.94
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+569.9%+$331.79
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$61.82
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.18
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29.1
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.64
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+316.1%+$45.58
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-61.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$24.66
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.7
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
TikTok sale announced before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.5
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$103.7
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$44.76
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$21
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+37.9%+$41.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$58
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+247.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+247.8%+$85.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.