TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x10f7…2289

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Commodities at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.93
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.82
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.84
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$27.07
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$8.87
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.23
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.69
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+168%+$171.84
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+309.7%+$123.65
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.15
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.31
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.1
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29%+$11.1
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.81
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22.72
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.32
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$12.73
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$17.79
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$11.1
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$7.02
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$52.58
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$10.03
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-76.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.95
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.61
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.27
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.96
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$13.49
Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$22.32
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$40.92
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublikbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jaqueline Cristian vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tommy Paulbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Sao Leopoldo: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellienbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+86%+$24.53
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesanabacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Pedro Martinezbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$9.74
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$26.64
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$74.06
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.26
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.72
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$11.5
Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.34
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$9.52
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.53
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.41
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+204.4%+$108.82
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-73.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+189.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+189.5%+$23.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.