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Wallet 0x3d29…65e7

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$29,930 staked over 501 qualified picks in 26 categories, 14 of 26 below 50.

62

Best category

Asian League

$2,092 staked over 42 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.11 per pick.

See the full Asian League board
55

Second best

Champions League

$661 staked over 16 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.05 per pick.

See the full Champions League board
54

Third best

Serie A

$565 staked over 12 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.04 per pick.

See the full Serie A board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be +$1,063.53 tailing 33 Asian League picks (17 W · 16 L) at $50 each: +64.5% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Asian League picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category26 Categories

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$2,092before 10%in play 90%, over 42 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start2 h 24to the end, median over 43 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled+0.18101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 32 of 42 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)4250%21 W · 21 L+7.3+0.1733c+56%62
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTWill Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)13c$26-100%-$26
Oct 24, 2026, EDTWill Incheon United FC win on 2026-10-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$85+134.5%+$114.7
Oct 23, 2026, EDTSpread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Al Faisaly Saudi ClubLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$46-100%-$46.09
Oct 22, 2026, EDTWill Al Hazem SC win on 2026-10-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$56+170.3%+$94.5
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)33c$66+203%+$134
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)34c$52+190.4%+$98.34
Oct 20, 2026, EDTWill NEOM SC win on 2026-10-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$27-100%-$27
Sep 12, 2026, EDTWill FC Tōkyō win on 2026-09-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$47-100%-$47.31
Sep 12, 2026, EDTWill Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-09-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)30c$30+233.3%+$70
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$63-100%-$63.23
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$39-100%-$39
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$41-100%-$40.6
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$62-100%-$62.4
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$35-100%-$34.5
Aug 28, 2026, EDTWill Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$50-100%-$49.93
Aug 26, 2026, EDTWill Gwangju FC win on 2026-08-26?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$41+244.8%+$99.4
Aug 25, 2026, EDTWill Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$36-100%-$36
Aug 24, 2026, EDTWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$152+163.2%+$248
Aug 22, 2026, EDTWill Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-08-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)25c$38+300%+$112.5
Aug 22, 2026, EDTWill Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-08-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$52+170.3%+$88.2
Aug 22, 2026, EDTWill Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-08-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$54-100%-$54
Aug 22, 2026, EDTWill Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$50-100%-$49.9
Aug 21, 2026, EDTSpread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Al Ittihad Saudi ClubWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$128+96.1%+$122.5
Aug 21, 2026, EDTWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)14c$21+614.3%+$129
Aug 21, 2026, EDTWill Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)30c$30+233.3%+$70
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT$661before 21%in play 79%, over 14 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start1 h 53to the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled+0.13108% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 108% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 16 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.9+0.1226c+2.9%55
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Sporting CP win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$57-100%-$57
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)26c$52+284.6%+$148
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$50-100%-$50
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$38-100%-$37.5
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$53-100%-$52.5
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)35c$53+185.7%+$97.5
Oct 20, 2026, EDTWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$27-100%-$26.6
Aug 25, 2026, EDTWill Sabah FK win on 2026-08-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$54+122.2%+$66
Aug 19, 2026, EDTWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$47+132.6%+$62.7
Aug 19, 2026, EDTWill MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)34c$41+194.1%+$79.2
Aug 18, 2026, EDTWill PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$38-100%-$38.4
May 30, 2026, EDTParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$12-100%-$12
May 28, 2026, EDTWill Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$18-100%-$17.6
Apr 15, 2026, EDTWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$32-100%-$31.5
Nov 26, 2025, ESTWill FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$65-100%-$64.98
Nov 4, 2025, ESTWill Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)44c$26+127.3%+$33.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$565before 0%in play 100%, over 12 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 min after the start1 h 30to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled+0.14115% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 115% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4+0.1230c+16.6%54
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTWill SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)28c$39+257.1%+$100.8
Sep 13, 2026, EDTWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-09-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$40-100%-$40
Sep 12, 2026, EDTWill Genoa CFC win on 2026-09-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$27-100%-$26.6
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$39-100%-$39
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Udinese Calcio win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$46+163.2%+$74.4
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Torino FC win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$40-100%-$40
Aug 24, 2026, EDTWill SS Lazio win on 2026-08-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)33c$66+203%+$134
Aug 23, 2026, EDTWill AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$77+132.6%+$102.6
Aug 23, 2026, EDTWill US Lecce win on 2026-08-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$36-100%-$36.4
Aug 22, 2026, EDTWill Genoa CFC win on 2026-08-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$40-100%-$40.4
Jan 30, 2026, ESTWill SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$90+143.9%+$129.79
Jan 30, 2026, ESTWill Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$24-100%-$24.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$1,541before 13%in play 87%, over 23 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min after the start2 h 20to the end, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled+0.0498% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 22 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.8+0.0435c+30.6%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)23c$35+334.8%+$115.5
Oct 24, 2026, EDTWill Burnley FC win on 2026-10-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$74-100%-$74
Oct 24, 2026, EDTWill Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$58+244.8%+$142
Oct 24, 2026, EDTWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)35c$27+182.2%+$48.42
Oct 24, 2026, EDTAston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$51+96.1%+$49
Sep 13, 2026, EDTWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$30-100%-$30
Sep 12, 2026, EDTWill Derby County FC win on 2026-09-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$39-100%-$39
Aug 30, 2026, EDTWill Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$82-100%-$82
Aug 30, 2026, EDTWill Fulham FC win on 2026-08-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$56-100%-$56
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)18c$18+455.6%+$82
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$120-100%-$120
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$61-100%-$61.2
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Everton FC win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$33-100%-$33
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$33-100%-$33
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$70-100%-$70
Aug 28, 2026, EDTWill Birmingham City FC win on 2026-08-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$42-100%-$42
Aug 28, 2026, EDTSpread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Manchester City FCWon (open this pick on its own page)31c$31+222.6%+$69
Aug 24, 2026, EDTWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$255+96.1%+$245
Aug 23, 2026, EDTWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$204-100%-$204
Aug 17, 2026, EDTWill Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)23c$23+334.8%+$77
May 12, 2026, EDTWill Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$67+138.1%+$92.8
May 11, 2026, EDTWill Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$67-100%-$67.2
May 11, 2026, EDTWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$65-100%-$65
All 23 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast settled Nov 16, 2025, EST$26—too few: 1 pick10 h 18to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.44100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4+0.4456c+78.6%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Nov 16, 2025, ESTUFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ShevchenkoWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$26+78.6%+$20.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT$1,874before 31%in play 69%, over 35 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 min after the start3 h 06to the end, median over 36 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled+0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 32% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 26 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.9+0.0332c+10.3%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)34c$51+194.1%+$99
Sep 13, 2026, EDTWill Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-09-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$15-100%-$14.72
Aug 30, 2026, EDTWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)21c$34-100%-$33.6
Aug 30, 2026, EDTWill Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$52-100%-$52
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$42-100%-$41.6
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$62-100%-$62
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill CA Talleres win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$60-100%-$60
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$69-100%-$68.6
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$38-100%-$37.7
Aug 26, 2026, EDTWill Independiente del Valle win on 2026-08-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$43-100%-$43.2
Aug 24, 2026, EDTWill CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$33-100%-$33
Aug 24, 2026, EDTWill CA Lanús win on 2026-08-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$35-100%-$34.5
Aug 23, 2026, EDTWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$61-100%-$60.75
Aug 23, 2026, EDTWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$36-100%-$36
Aug 22, 2026, EDTWill Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)18c$22+455.6%+$98.39
Aug 22, 2026, EDTSpread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tigres de la UANLWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$42+163.2%+$68.19
Aug 21, 2026, EDTWill CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-08-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$60-100%-$60
Aug 21, 2026, EDTWill CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$96-100%-$96
Aug 20, 2026, EDTWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)34c$51+194.1%+$99
Aug 20, 2026, EDTWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)44c$57+127.3%+$72.8
Aug 17, 2026, EDTWill CA Independiente win on 2026-08-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$42-100%-$42.5
Aug 17, 2026, EDTWill CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)16c$16+525%+$84
Aug 16, 2026, EDTWill EC Vitória win on 2026-08-16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$49-100%-$49
Aug 16, 2026, EDTWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$104+92.3%+$95.99
Aug 16, 2026, EDTWill CA River Plate win on 2026-08-16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$204+96.1%+$196
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast settled Aug 31, 2025, EDT$13—no start of play48 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.40100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4+0.4060c+66.7%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 31, 2025, EDTWill Google have the top AI model on August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$13+66.7%+$8.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Dec 10, 2025, EST$86—no start of play12 minresells, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled+0.14100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L+0.3+0.1436c-29.6%51
World Politics Inactivelast settled Apr 30, 2025, EDT$48—no start of play25 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.13100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L+0.3+0.1337c-32.4%51
MLB Inactivelast settled Nov 2, 2025, EST$16—no start of play4 dresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.20100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2+0.2080c+25%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Nov 2, 2025, ESTWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$16+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT$95—too few: 3 picks2 h 54to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.02161% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 161% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0+0.0132c-25.9%50
Dota2 Inactivelast settled Aug 21, 2026, EDT$98—too few: 2 picks2 h 38to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 70% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L0.0+0.0149c+16.3%50
Mls Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT$373—too few: 8 picks1 h 57to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)837.5%3 W · 5 L0.00.0038c+17.1%50
Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$460before 9%in play 91%, over 11 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 30 min after the start1 h 31to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled-0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1-0.0128c-18.2%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTWill 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-10-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)25c$38+300%+$112.5
Oct 24, 2026, EDTWill FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-10-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$34-100%-$34
Oct 23, 2026, EDTWill VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-10-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$56-100%-$56.45
Sep 13, 2026, EDTWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$15-100%-$15.3
Sep 13, 2026, EDTSpread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Hamburger SVLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$36-100%-$36
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$35-100%-$34.5
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$55-100%-$55.5
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$28-100%-$28
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)36c$72+177.8%+$128
Aug 28, 2026, EDTWill VfL Bochum win on 2026-08-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$69-100%-$69
Nov 1, 2025, EDTWill RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-01?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$22+122.2%+$26.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Parlays Inactivelast settled Sep 4, 2026, EDT$34—no start of play—no market to hold—no market price20%0 W · 2 L-0.2-0.099c-100%49
SettledTicketResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 4, 2026, EDTWill CF América win on 2026-08-21? AND Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-21? AND Will Club León FC vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw? AND Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-22?4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)5c$18-100%-$18
Jun 30, 2026, EDTSpread: Austria (-1.5) AND Spread: Norway (-2.5) AND Spread: France (-1.5) AND Spread: Argentina (-1.5)4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)14c$16-100%-$15.92
All 2 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.
NFL Inactivelast settled Nov 30, 2025, EST$1,881—no start of play4 dresells, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled-0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)30%0 W · 3 L-0.2-0.077c-100%49
Valorant Inactivelast settled Jun 19, 2026, EDT$26—too few: 1 pick3 h 32to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.3-0.2626c-100%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jun 19, 2026, EDTValorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)EDward GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$26-100%-$26.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast settled Aug 21, 2026, EDT$742before 19%in play 81%, over 21 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 11 after the start2 h 38to the end, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled-0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 20 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5-0.0236c-26.2%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 21, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)VitalityLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$60-100%-$60
Aug 21, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpiritLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$23-100%-$22.5
Aug 21, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team FalconsLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$53-100%-$52.8
Aug 21, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team FalconsLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$70-100%-$69.99
Aug 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FaZeLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$35-100%-$35
Aug 14, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MOUZWon (open this pick on its own page)35c$35+188.8%+$65.38
Aug 14, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)VitalityWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$42+138.1%+$57.99
Aug 2, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpiritLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$21-100%-$21
Jul 24, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)VitalityLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$38-100%-$38
Jul 22, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifieron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NemigaLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$17-100%-$16.8
Jul 22, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NemigaLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$25-100%-$25
Jul 21, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MOUZWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$55+81.8%+$45
Jul 21, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Nuclear TigeRESLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$12-100%-$12
Jul 21, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifieron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AstralisWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$49+163.2%+$80.6
Jul 21, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AstralisLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$30-100%-$30
Jun 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Aurora GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$15-100%-$14.91
Jun 19, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpiritWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$41+96.1%+$39.2
Jun 19, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpiritWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$21+92.3%+$19.2
Jun 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9zLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$22-100%-$21.6
May 12, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)G2Won (open this pick on its own page)53c$50+88.7%+$44.34
May 12, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TheMongolzLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$30-100%-$30
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$16,037before 7%in play 93%, over 254 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 06 after the start3 h 01to the end, median over 273 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 60 of them sold before the market settled-0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 246 of 254 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)25431.1%79 W · 175 L-4.1-0.0233c-18.3%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTLoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)T1Lost (open this pick on its own page)57c$57-100%-$57
Oct 24, 2026, EDTLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Invictus GamingWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$54+85.2%+$46
Oct 24, 2026, EDTLoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CTBC Flying OysterLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$64-100%-$64
Oct 24, 2026, EDTLoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Anyone's LegendLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$33-100%-$33
Oct 23, 2026, EDTLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Karmine CorpWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$38+163.2%+$62
Oct 23, 2026, EDTLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Bilibili GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$20-100%-$20
Sep 19, 2026, EDTLoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Karmine CorpLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$16-100%-$16.2
Sep 19, 2026, EDTLoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Karmine CorpLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$26-100%-$26.42
Sep 13, 2026, EDTLoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SentinelsLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$44-100%-$44
Sep 13, 2026, EDTLoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LOUDLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$35-100%-$35
Sep 12, 2026, EDTLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Anyone's LegendLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$33-100%-$33
Sep 12, 2026, EDTLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Invictus GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)8c$16-100%-$16
Sep 12, 2026, EDTLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Invictus GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$24-100%-$24
Sep 12, 2026, EDTLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Anyone's LegendLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$38-100%-$38
Sep 12, 2026, EDTLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)T1Lost (open this pick on its own page)8c$24-100%-$24
Sep 12, 2026, EDTLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)T1Lost (open this pick on its own page)15c$59-100%-$59
Sep 12, 2026, EDTLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)T1Lost (open this pick on its own page)21c$21-100%-$21
Sep 11, 2026, EDTLoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GIANTXLost (open this pick on its own page)21c$21-100%-$21
Sep 11, 2026, EDTLoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GIANTXLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$24-100%-$24
Aug 30, 2026, EDTLoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)JD GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$144-100%-$143.6
Aug 30, 2026, EDTLoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)JD GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$76-100%-$76
Aug 30, 2026, EDTLoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)JD GamingWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$50+101.4%+$50.35
Aug 30, 2026, EDTLoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)JD GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$51-100%-$51
Aug 30, 2026, EDTLoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)JD GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$95-100%-$95.4
Aug 30, 2026, EDTLoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Dplus KIALost (open this pick on its own page)14c$21-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 254 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast settled Jun 14, 2026, EDT$262—too few: 3 picks8 h 36to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)425%1 W · 3 L-0.4-0.1136c-41.9%48
Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$81—too few: 2 picks3 h 21to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.24no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)20%0 W · 2 L-0.5-0.2424c-100%48
Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Aug 29, 2026, EDT$357—too few: 8 picks1 h 27to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)825%2 W · 6 L-0.7-0.0934c-31.2%48
Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT$444—too few: 9 picks2 h 33to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8-0.0931c-46%47
WNBA Inactivelast settled Aug 25, 2026, EDT$104—too few: 2 picks7 h 17to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.34no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)20%0 W · 2 L-0.8-0.3838c-100%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 25, 2026, EDTSpread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Atlanta DreamLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$48-100%-$48
Jun 1, 2026, EDTLas Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyrieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Golden State ValkyriesLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$56-100%-$55.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT$624—too few: 9 picks7 h 47to the end, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3-0.1127c-66%46
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 19, 2026, EDTWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$42-100%-$41.5
Jul 11, 2026, EDTWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$81-100%-$81
Jun 30, 2026, EDTWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$146-100%-$145.6
Jun 29, 2026, EDTWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$102-100%-$102.4
Jun 24, 2026, EDTExact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Canada?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$17-100%-$17.08
Jun 20, 2026, EDTWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$64-100%-$63.8
Jun 19, 2026, EDTUnited States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$20+100%+$20
Jun 18, 2026, EDTWill Czechia win on 2026-06-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$14+108.3%+$15.59
Jun 1, 2026, EDTWill Senegal win on 2026-05-31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$32-100%-$32
Jun 1, 2026, EDTGermany vs. Finland: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$75-100%-$75
May 31, 2026, EDTWill Brazil win on 2026-05-31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)8c$17-100%-$16.8
Jun 8, 2025, EDTWill Spain beat Portugal?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$14-100%-$14
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$1,390before 8%in play 92%, over 24 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 min after the start1 h 23to the end, median over 26 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled-0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 24 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2420.8%5 W · 19 L-3.4-0.1435c-43.6%42
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTValencia CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$47-100%-$46.8
Oct 23, 2026, EDTWill Málaga CF win on 2026-10-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$46-100%-$46
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$59-100%-$58.5
Sep 13, 2026, EDTWill RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-09-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$55-100%-$54.53
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$130-100%-$130.4
Aug 28, 2026, EDTWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$99-100%-$99
Aug 28, 2026, EDTWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$52-100%-$52
Aug 25, 2026, EDTWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$73+242.5%+$177
Aug 24, 2026, EDTWill Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$87-100%-$87
Aug 24, 2026, EDTWill Levante UD win on 2026-08-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$17-100%-$16.5
Aug 22, 2026, EDTWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$68+92.3%+$62.4
Aug 21, 2026, EDTWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$96-100%-$96
Aug 20, 2026, EDTWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$13-100%-$12.74
Aug 20, 2026, EDTWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$85-100%-$85
Aug 17, 2026, EDTWill Elche CF win on 2026-08-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)21c$56-100%-$56.3
Aug 17, 2026, EDTWill RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$29+244.8%+$71
Aug 15, 2026, EDTWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$14-100%-$14
May 13, 2026, EDTWill Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$48-100%-$48.1
May 13, 2026, EDTWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$101-100%-$101.2
May 13, 2026, EDTWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$51-100%-$50.7
May 13, 2026, EDTWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$70-100%-$70
May 12, 2026, EDTWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$38+244.8%+$92.3
May 11, 2026, EDTWill Girona FC win on 2026-05-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$36-100%-$36.4
Sep 14, 2025, EDTWill Barcelona win on 2025-09-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$22+30.2%+$6.53
All 24 picks, newest first.
What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.