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Wallet 0x5d55…7cba

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$12,870 staked over 311 qualified picks in 26 categories, 20 of 26 below 50.

71

Best category

Ncaa Basketball

$4,562 staked over 71 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.19 per pick.

See the full Ncaa Basketball board
56

Second best

Lol

$1,732 staked over 10 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.06 per pick.

See the full Lol board
56

Third best

Movies

$541 staked over 26 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.05 per pick.

See the full Movies board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Nothing to tail here. This wallet has no qualified Ncaa Basketball picks that settled in the last 30 days, so there was nothing to put a stake on.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Ncaa Basketball picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category26 Categories

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketballlast settled Apr 20, 2026, EDT$4,562before 80%in play 20%, over 69 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 h 03 before the start10 h 19to the end, median over 328 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 164 of them sold before the market settled+0.2492% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 23 of 71 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)7147.9%34 W · 37 L+18.5+0.2622c+88%71
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Apr 20, 2026, EDTMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecockson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$53-100%-$53.44
Apr 11, 2026, EDTCentral Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama Lionson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)North Alabama LionsLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$120-100%-$119.99
Apr 3, 2026, EDTGeorgia College & State Bobcats vs. South Florida Bullson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)South Florida BullsWon (open this pick on its own page)7c$26+1,246.4%+$318.69
Mar 23, 2026, EDTMississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguarson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Southern JaguarsWon (open this pick on its own page)28c$19+258.7%+$50.13
Mar 21, 2026, EDTWestern Illinois Leathernecks vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagleson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Western Illinois LeathernecksLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$61-100%-$61.02
Mar 20, 2026, EDTHoward Bison vs. Coppin State Eagleson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Howard BisonWon (open this pick on its own page)31c$107+222.9%+$238.06
Mar 4, 2026, ESTKansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona State Sun Devilson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Kansas JayhawksLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$59-100%-$59.49
Mar 4, 2026, ESTKent State Golden Flashes vs. Northern Illinois Huskieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Northern Illinois HuskiesLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$16-100%-$15.57
Feb 22, 2026, ESTTexas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devilson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Texas Southern TigersLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$11-100%-$11
Feb 17, 2026, ESTIndiana State Sycamores vs. UIC Flames (W)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Indiana State SycamoresLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$13-100%-$12.93
Feb 14, 2026, ESTHigh Point Panthers vs. Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)High Point PanthersWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$27+50.9%+$13.85
Feb 14, 2026, ESTFurman Paladins vs. VMI Keydetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Furman PaladinsWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$15+56.3%+$8.21
Feb 14, 2026, ESTClemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devilson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Duke Blue DevilsWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$40+51.1%+$20.3
Feb 13, 2026, ESTLipscomb Bisons vs. Austin Peay Governorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Lipscomb BisonsLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$49-100%-$48.95
Feb 10, 2026, ESTTowson Tigers vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies (W)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)North Carolina A&T AggiesLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$16-100%-$16.17
Jan 31, 2026, ESTGeorgia Southern Eagles vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' CajunsWon (open this pick on its own page)20c$120+400%+$480
Jan 27, 2026, ESTTulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Rice Owlson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Rice OwlsLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$60-100%-$60
Jan 25, 2026, ESTUSC Upstate Spartans vs. Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)USC Upstate SpartansLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$277-100%-$276.96
Jan 25, 2026, ESTHigh Point Panthers vs. Radford Highlanderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Radford HighlandersLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$30-100%-$30
Jan 24, 2026, ESTBellarmine Knights vs. North Florida Ospreyson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)North Florida OspreysWon (open this pick on its own page)30c$90+233.3%+$210
Jan 23, 2026, ESTEast Carolina Pirates vs. North Texas Mean Greenon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)North Texas Mean GreenLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$302-100%-$302
Jan 23, 2026, ESTKennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Louisiana Tech BulldogsWon (open this pick on its own page)20c$17+400%+$69.42
Jan 23, 2026, ESTBakersfield Roadrunners vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Hawaii Rainbow WarriorsWon (open this pick on its own page)30c$95+233.1%+$220.73
Jan 22, 2026, ESTMarist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saintson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Siena SaintsWon (open this pick on its own page)30c$97+233.3%+$226
Jan 22, 2026, ESTAlbany Great Danes vs. Maine Black Bearson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Maine Black BearsWon (open this pick on its own page)30c$11+233.3%+$26.6
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Lollast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT$1,732before 90%in play 10%, over 10 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 h 43 before the start4 h 12to the end, median over 71 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled+0.1578% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 78% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1050%5 W · 5 L+2.0+0.2030c+26.3%56
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 15, 2026, EDTTotal Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$10-100%-$10
Sep 6, 2026, EDTLoL: CITA Kaizen vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BRUTELost (open this pick on its own page)21c$230-100%-$230
Sep 6, 2026, EDTLoL: CITA Kaizen vs BRUTE - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BRUTELost (open this pick on its own page)21c$230-100%-$230
Sep 6, 2026, EDTLoL: CITA Kaizen vs BRUTE - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BRUTELost (open this pick on its own page)21c$230-100%-$230.3
Sep 2, 2026, EDTLoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team PhantasmaLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$11-100%-$10.79
Sep 1, 2026, EDTLoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PCIFIC Won (open this pick on its own page)43c$751+133.7%+$1,003.43
Sep 1, 2026, EDTLoL: EXILE esports vs CITA Kaizen - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CITA KaizenWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$130+142.7%+$185.2
Aug 31, 2026, EDTLoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)The Ruddy SackWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$78+156.1%+$122.55
Aug 31, 2026, EDTLoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)The Ruddy SackWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$36+147.4%+$53.1
Aug 29, 2026, EDTLoL: Mental Rush vs Vitality Rising Bees - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Vitality Rising BeesWon (open this pick on its own page)35c$26+183%+$47.53
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast settled Aug 4, 2026, EDT$541—no start of play5 dto the end, median over 321 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 109 of them sold before the market settled+0.11101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2623.1%6 W · 20 L+2.8+0.1112c+118.9%56
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 4, 2026, EDTWill "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$12-100%-$11.7
Aug 4, 2026, EDTWill Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$10-100%-$10
Jul 7, 2026, EDTWill "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$11-100%-$10.63
Jul 2, 2026, EDTWill "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$19-100%-$18.87
Jul 2, 2026, EDTWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)3c$21+3,521.8%+$754.32
Jun 22, 2026, EDTWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$10-100%-$10
Jun 15, 2026, EDTWill anyone say "Robot" or "Bot" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$10-100%-$10
Jun 8, 2026, EDTWill "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$11-100%-$10.98
Jun 8, 2026, EDTWill "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$16-100%-$16.26
Jun 8, 2026, EDTWill "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$12-100%-$11.64
Jun 8, 2026, EDTWill "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$14-100%-$13.97
Jun 7, 2026, EDTWill "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)19c$60+433.4%+$260
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$11-100%-$11
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$11-100%-$11
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$10-100%-$10.27
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$104-100%-$104
Jan 12, 2026, ESTWill The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)20c$44+402.5%+$178.27
Jan 1, 2026, ESTWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)36c$27+174.2%+$47.15
Dec 8, 2025, ESTWill Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another) be nominated for Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)18c$11+445.3%+$49.13
Dec 1, 2025, ESTWill 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$13-100%-$13.29
Nov 24, 2025, ESTWill 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$26-100%-$25.76
May 27, 2025, EDTWill 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$14-100%-$13.97
Mar 17, 2025, EDTWill 'Black Bag' gross more than 7m on opening weekend?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$16+115.2%+$18.25
Mar 17, 2025, EDTWill 'Novocaine' gross between 9-11m on opening weekend?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$19-100%-$18.75
Mar 17, 2025, EDTWill 'Novocaine' gross more than 11m on opening weekend?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$16-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFLlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT$215—no start of play3 h 01to the end, median over 50 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled+0.06out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 24% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)540%2 W · 3 L+1.2+0.2317c+170.8%54
NHL Inactivelast settled Apr 25, 2026, EDT$135—too few: 3 picks1 h 31to the end, median over 71 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled+0.18100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5+0.1815c+3,174.8%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Apr 25, 2026, EDTKHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Shanghai DragonsLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$24-100%-$23.5
Jan 10, 2026, ESTOilers vs. Flameson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OilersWon (open this pick on its own page)1c$100+9,724.4%+$9,756.72
Mar 3, 2025, ESTSenators vs. Capitalson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SenatorsLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$11-100%-$11
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT$45—no start of play13 h 47to the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled+0.0780% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 80% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)425%1 W · 3 L+0.3+0.0817c-60.3%51
Music Inactivelast settled May 16, 2026, EDT$103—no start of play24 dto the end, median over 69 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L0.00.000c-100%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$103-100%-$102.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast settled Jun 15, 2026, EDT$20—no start of play8 h 42to the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled-0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L0.00.000c-100%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jun 15, 2026, EDTWill Trump say "Fight" during UFC 250?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$20-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast settled Jul 25, 2026, EDT$15—no start of play22 h 37to the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L0.00.000c-100%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 25, 2026, EDTOver $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$15-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled May 27, 2026, EDT$12—too few: 1 pick2 h 51to the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L0.0-0.011c-100%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
May 27, 2026, EDTFC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$12-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast settled Jul 31, 2026, EDT$28—no start of play3 dto the end, median over 73 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled-0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L0.0-0.011c-100%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 31, 2026, EDTWill Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$28-100%-$28.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Jun 16, 2026, EDT$30—no start of play3 dto the end, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L0.0-0.011c-100%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jun 16, 2026, EDTWill Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$30-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast settled Aug 4, 2026, EDT$60—too few: 3 picks2 h 02to the end, median over 654 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled-0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)30%0 W · 3 L0.0-0.011c-100%50
Dota2 Inactivelast settled Jul 28, 2026, EDT$69—too few: 1 pick2 h 24to the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled-0.22no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)30%0 W · 3 L0.0-0.011c-100%50
CS2 Inactivelast settled Jul 26, 2026, EDT$239—too few: 7 picks2 h 56to the end, median over 54 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled-0.20no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)70%0 W · 7 L-0.1-0.022c-100%50
Valorant Inactivelast settled Jul 30, 2026, EDT$183—too few: 2 picks2 h 36to the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.26no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)20%0 W · 2 L-0.2-0.1010c-100%49
Middle East Inactivelast settled Jun 19, 2026, EDT$413—no start of play2 dto the end, median over 134 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled-0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)50%0 W · 5 L-0.2-0.055c-100%49
Stocks Inactivelast settled Jun 3, 2026, EDT$185—no start of play13 dresells, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled-0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)20%0 W · 2 L-0.3-0.1313c-100%49
College Football Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT$425—too few: 1 pick14 h 27to the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.39no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.3-0.2727c-100%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 20, 2026, EDTFlorida International vs. Florida Atlantic: 1Q O/U 7.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$425-100%-$425
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT$30—too few: 1 pick23 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.50no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.3-0.3030c-100%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 1, 2026, EDTGlossop North End AFC vs. Tadcaster Albion AFC: 1st Half O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$30-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast settled Aug 15, 2026, EDT$15—no start of play1 dresells, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled-0.25no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.3-0.3030c-100%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 15, 2026, EDTMoscow air traffic suspended by August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$15-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 25, 2026, EDT$342before 0%in play 100%, over 10 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 04 after the start1 h 27to the end, median over 1,016 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled-0.19no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)150%0 W · 15 L-0.8-0.055c-100%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 25, 2026, EDTWill U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$12-100%-$12
Jul 21, 2026, EDTWorld Cup Finals: Coin Toss Resulton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpainLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$71-100%-$71.16
Jul 19, 2026, EDTWill Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$15-100%-$15
Jul 18, 2026, EDTFrance vs. England: Team to Winon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FranceLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$12-100%-$11.76
Jul 10, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$11-100%-$11.4
Jul 10, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$28-100%-$28.18
Jul 10, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$13-100%-$12.8
Jul 9, 2026, EDTFrance vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$16-100%-$15.6
Jul 7, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$31-100%-$31.43
Jul 7, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$31-100%-$31.43
Jul 6, 2026, EDTPortugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$13-100%-$12.87
Jul 6, 2026, EDTWill Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$20-100%-$20
Jul 5, 2026, EDTWill the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$15-100%-$14.6
Jul 1, 2026, EDTBelgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SenegalLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$26-100%-$26.43
Jun 18, 2026, EDTMexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$28-100%-$27.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 7, 2026, EDT$979—too few: 8 picks54 minto the end, median over 196 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled-0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8-0.0920c-85.2%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 7, 2026, EDTWill Naomi Osaka advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$725-100%-$725.35
Sep 5, 2026, EDTUS Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertenson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Elise MertensLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$36-100%-$35.95
Sep 3, 2026, EDTUS Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Katerina Siniakovaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Katerina SiniakovaLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$50-100%-$50
Sep 1, 2026, EDTSet Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Zakharova (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ZakharovaLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$50-100%-$50
Aug 25, 2026, EDTAlejandro Garcia Carbajal vs. Javier Barranco Cosano: Total Sets O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Under 2.5Lost (open this pick on its own page)2c$32-100%-$32.22
Aug 25, 2026, EDTCarbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 22.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$23+33.3%+$7.5
Jun 30, 2026, EDTSet Handicap: Perricard (-2.5) vs Hanfmann (+2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PerricardLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$13-100%-$12.74
Jun 30, 2026, EDTSet Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BouzkovaLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$29-100%-$29.22
Jun 25, 2026, EDTSet Handicap: Quinn (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)QuinnLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$21-100%-$21
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBAlast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT$1,151before 25%in play 75%, over 65 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 28 after the start2 h 22to the end, median over 4,439 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 80 of them sold before the market settled-0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 53 of 65 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)654.6%3 W · 62 L-2.8-0.049c-60.2%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 12, 2026, EDTThunder vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 114.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$20-100%-$20
Oct 5, 2026, EDTGrizzlies vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$30-100%-$30
Dec 1, 2025, ESTPelicans vs. Lakerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PelicansLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$11-100%-$11
Nov 30, 2025, ESTThunder vs. Trail Blazerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Trail BlazersLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$30-100%-$30
Nov 26, 2025, ESTPistons vs. Celticson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PistonsLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$10-100%-$10
Nov 25, 2025, ESTRockets vs. Sunson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SunsLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$11-100%-$11
Nov 25, 2025, ESTBulls vs. Pelicanson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BullsLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$10-100%-$10
Nov 24, 2025, ESTLakers vs. Jazzon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)JazzLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$15-100%-$15
Nov 23, 2025, ESTTrail Blazers vs. Thunderon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Trail BlazersLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$22-100%-$21.99
Nov 23, 2025, ESTNets vs. Raptorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NetsLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$20-100%-$20
Nov 23, 2025, ESTMagic vs. Celticson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MagicLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$21-100%-$21
Nov 23, 2025, ESTHeat vs. 76erson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76ersLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$25-100%-$25
Nov 23, 2025, ESTKings vs. Nuggetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NuggetsLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$22-100%-$22.37
Nov 23, 2025, ESTGrizzlies vs. Maverickson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MavericksLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$24-100%-$24
Nov 23, 2025, ESTWizards vs. Bullson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WizardsLost (open this pick on its own page)8c$10-100%-$10
Nov 23, 2025, ESTPistons vs. Buckson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BucksLost (open this pick on its own page)8c$10-100%-$10
Nov 22, 2025, ESTClippers vs. Hornetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HornetsLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$25-100%-$25
Nov 22, 2025, ESTTrail Blazers vs. Warriorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WarriorsLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$28-100%-$27.53
Nov 22, 2025, ESTThunder vs. Jazzon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)JazzLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$21-100%-$21
Nov 22, 2025, ESTNuggets vs. Rocketson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RocketsLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$24-100%-$24
Nov 22, 2025, ESTTimberwolves vs. Sunson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TimberwolvesLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$24-100%-$24.43
Nov 22, 2025, ESTHeat vs. Bullson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BullsLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$24-100%-$24
Nov 22, 2025, ESTNets vs. Celticson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CelticsLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$25-100%-$25.26
Nov 21, 2025, ESTHawks vs. Spurson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HawksLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$21-100%-$21
Nov 20, 2025, ESTWarriors vs. Heaton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WarriorsLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$21-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT$939before 42%in play 58%, over 43 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 min after the start1 h 15to the end, median over 1,788 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 87 of them sold before the market settled-0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 49 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)494.1%2 W · 47 L-5.3-0.1115c-90.4%42
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 8, 2026, EDTWill A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$30-100%-$30
Oct 8, 2026, EDTWill Paige Bueckers win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$23-100%-$23.14
Sep 29, 2026, EDTJackie Young: Assists O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$11-100%-$10.79
Sep 28, 2026, EDTWill Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$11-100%-$10.55
Sep 25, 2026, EDTA'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$25+100%+$25
Aug 28, 2026, EDTSpread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Phoenix MercuryLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$13-100%-$13.48
Aug 8, 2026, EDTShakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$29-100%-$29.26
Jul 25, 2026, EDTTeam Spoon vs. Team Coopon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team CoopLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$17-100%-$17
Jul 25, 2026, EDTTeam Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$14-100%-$14
Jul 14, 2026, EDTPortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sunon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PortlandFireLost (open this pick on its own page)8c$12-100%-$11.65
Jul 13, 2026, EDTSpread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Los Angeles SparksLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$20-100%-$20.02
Jul 12, 2026, EDTIndiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aceson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Las Vegas AcesLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$13-100%-$13
Jul 12, 2026, EDTChicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Chicago SkyLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$91-100%-$90.66
May 25, 2026, EDTWill the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$10-100%-$10.1
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by Mar. 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$135+169.9%+$229.12
Sep 29, 2025, EDTWill the Minnesota Lynx win the 2025 WNBA Championship?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$22-100%-$22.27
Sep 19, 2025, EDTStorm vs. Aceson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)StormLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$34-100%-$33.8
Aug 23, 2025, EDTLiberty vs. Dreamon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LibertyLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$10-100%-$10.5
Aug 3, 2025, EDTValkyries vs Aceson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ValkyriesLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$11-100%-$11
Jul 26, 2025, EDTWings vs Valkyrieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WingsLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$16-100%-$16.11
Jul 26, 2025, EDTMercury vs Libertyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MercuryLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$13-100%-$13
Jul 26, 2025, EDTAces vs Lynxon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AcesLost (open this pick on its own page)8c$13-100%-$13
Jul 25, 2025, EDTStorm vs Skyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SkyLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$15-100%-$15
Jul 24, 2025, EDTAces vs Feveron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AcesLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$12-100%-$12
Jul 24, 2025, EDTSparks vs Sunon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SunLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$13-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast settled Jul 23, 2026, EDT$402before 21%in play 79%, over 19 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 25 after the start11 h 56to the end, median over 960 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled-0.32no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)230%0 W · 23 L-6.0-0.2626c-100%36
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 23, 2026, EDTNYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$17-100%-$16.6
Jul 20, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$13-100%-$12.7
Jul 19, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$54-100%-$54
Jul 14, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$10-100%-$10
Jul 13, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$10-100%-$10
Jul 13, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$10-100%-$10
Jul 12, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$10-100%-$10
Jul 12, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$10-100%-$10
Jul 12, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$10-100%-$10
Jul 12, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$10-100%-$10
Jul 12, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$10-100%-$10
Jul 11, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$10-100%-$10
Jul 11, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$10-100%-$10
Jul 11, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$10-100%-$10
Jul 9, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 9?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$25-100%-$25.11
Jul 9, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 8?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$15-100%-$14.85
Jul 7, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$10-100%-$10.31
Jun 29, 2026, EDTWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$12-100%-$12.21
Jun 29, 2026, EDTWill there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$13-100%-$12.74
Jun 3, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 3?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$12-100%-$12
Jun 2, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$10-100%-$10.2
Jun 1, 2026, EDTWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$11-100%-$11
May 17, 2026, EDTWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$100-100%-$100
All 23 picks, newest first.
What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.