MenuTailMyPicks

Check another

65

Wallet 0xe8ca…cccb

Rebuilt .

Best in Dota2606 qualified picks$222,353 staked5 of 26 categories below 50first seen Dec 27, 2025, EST

Score by category

The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.26 categories, best first

Tennis in detail

61+0.10 edge/pickout of reachSee the full Tennis board
Qualified picksEvery pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
150
Win rateHow often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
54.7% 82 W · 68 L
vs expectedWins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
+17.0
Realizable edgePer qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
+0.11
Avg entryThe average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
43c
ROI per pickThe average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
+45.6%
StakedThe money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
$44,810
When it betsWhether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
before 70%in play 30%, over 149 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 15 before the start
HoldsHow long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. When it bets says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
3 h 17resells, median over 323 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 228 of them sold before the market settled
At your priceWhat a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
+0.08out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 68% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 72 of 150 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)
Last settledThe day this wallet’s latest qualified pick in this category settled. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Oct 28, 2026, EDT

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be +$1,530.43 tailing 43 Tennis picks (24 W · 19 L) at $50 each: +71.2% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Tennis picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Tennis picks

SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 28, 2026, EDTW15 Neuquén: Camila Eluney Kilapi vs Alisa Danilovaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Camila Eluney KilapiLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$92-100%-$91.6
Oct 27, 2026, EDTSet 1 Winner: Tamara Zidansek vs Katrina Scotton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Katrina ScottLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$24-100%-$24
Oct 27, 2026, EDTSet Handicap: Margaret Sohns (-1.5) vs Carlota Moreno (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Carlota MorenoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$501+39.9%+$199.5
Oct 27, 2026, EDTQueretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Carlota Garibayon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tatjana MariaWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$16+52.4%+$8.6
Oct 25, 2026, EDTSet Handicap: Yuki Naito (-1.5) vs Reese Brantmeier (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Reese BrantmeierWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$258+35.4%+$91.34
Oct 22, 2026, EDTSet Handicap: Stefani Webb (-1.5) vs Vivian Wolff (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Vivian WolffWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$264+55.2%+$145.8
Oct 15, 2026, EDTSanta Cruz 2 (Doubles): Hidalgo/Kestelboim vs Roncadelli/Zarateon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Hidalgo/KestelboimWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$53+40.8%+$21.55
Oct 7, 2026, EDTSet 1 Winner: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Dalma GalfiLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$78-100%-$77.75
Oct 1, 2026, EDTM25 Darwin: Philip Sekulic vs Zaharije-Zak Talicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Philip SekulicWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$90+74.5%+$67.41
Sep 28, 2026, EDTAdana: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Anastasia Gasanovaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Anastasia GasanovaLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$13-100%-$12.92
Sep 23, 2026, EDTM15 Monastir: Mert Naci Turker vs Paul Colinon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Paul ColinWon (open this pick on its own page)35c$18+185.7%+$32.5
Sep 23, 2026, EDTM25 Yinchuan: Shanghui Li vs Enzo Aguiardon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Enzo AguiardWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$20+100%+$20
Sep 22, 2026, EDTW15 Constanta: Alexia-Shara Iancu vs Aleksandra Djokicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Alexia-Shara IancuLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$10-100%-$10.2
Sep 16, 2026, EDTM15 Melilla: Vedant Gundu vs Antoni Fabreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Antoni FabreWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$104+96.1%+$99.96
Sep 16, 2026, EDTM15 Tsaghkadzor: Radimir Lutkovskii vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHENon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Martin VAN DER MEERSCHENWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$52+96.1%+$49.98
Sep 16, 2026, EDTM15 Melilla: Carles Rojas vs Michiel De Kromon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Michiel De KromLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$125-100%-$124.8
Sep 10, 2026, EDTM25 Plaisir + H: Mickael Kaouk vs Nicolas Ifion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Mickael KaoukWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$12+96.1%+$11.76
Sep 10, 2026, EDTM15 Tsaghkadzor: Ignacio Monzon vs Daniel Khazimeon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Daniel KhazimeLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$303-100%-$303.26
Sep 10, 2026, EDTM25 Rabat: Maxence Rivet vs Maximilian Figlon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Maxence RivetLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$12-100%-$12.24
Sep 10, 2026, EDTM25 Sintra: Goncalo Marques vs Tomas Curras Abasoloon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Goncalo MarquesWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$12+96.1%+$11.76
Sep 9, 2026, EDTSet Handicap: Siniakova/Townsend (-1.5) vs Mertens/Shnaider (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Mertens/ShnaiderLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$266-100%-$266.34
Sep 3, 2026, EDTBruno vs. Llaverias: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)10c$50+900%+$450
Sep 3, 2026, EDTBruno vs. Llaverias: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$3,632+151.3%+$5,496.37
Aug 26, 2026, EDTITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 28 (Tunisia), hard: Hugo Cardinaud vs Ilya Polonskiyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ilya PolonskiyLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$146-100%-$146.01
Aug 25, 2026, EDTGame Spread: Kecmanovic (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KecmanovicLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$1,155-100%-$1,155.2
Showing 25 of 150 picks, newest first.
About this page

What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry figures of each category tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why this page scores each category on its own rather than as one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.