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Wallet 0x64a3…450a

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$141,950 staked over 1,112 qualified picks in 29 categories, 14 of 29 below 50.

66

Best category

Parlays

$5,374 staked over 66 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.14 per pick.

See the full Parlays board
60

Second best

Middle East

$12,222 staked over 70 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.09 per pick.

See the full Middle East board
58

Third best

Tweets

$13,783 staked over 51 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.07 per pick.

See the full Tweets board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Nothing to tail here. This wallet has no qualified Parlays picks that settled in the last 30 days, so there was nothing to put a stake on.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Parlays picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category29 Categories

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Parlayslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT$5,374—no start of play—no market to hold—no market price6659.1%39 W · 27 L+13.2+0.2039c+35.9%66
SettledTicketResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 21, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: EAC Extra vs THE UNIT (BO3) - United21 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Fortress (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)71c$150-100%-$150
Oct 8, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Sökerorg vs SINQU Rehti (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)67c$150+48.3%+$72.43
Oct 7, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: HOTU vs STATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: TheChampionGG vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - United21 Playoffs2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)71c$250+40.3%+$100.68
Oct 7, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Falcons Force vs SINQU (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A AND Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Orion Wanderers (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)67c$250+49.6%+$124.07
Oct 7, 2026, EDTLoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage AND LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)44c$100+127.7%+$127.73
Oct 6, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Galorys vs EXODIA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)13c$10-100%-$10
Oct 6, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Zetta Games (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)10c$35-100%-$35
Oct 4, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Lavked vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND Getafe CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.52 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)33c$10-100%-$10
Oct 2, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs UPGRADE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)43c$30-100%-$30
Sep 20, 2026, EDTLoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)58c$100+73%+$73.03
Sep 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)33c$212+199.5%+$422.86
Sep 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Lavked vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Azuolas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)37c$40+167.3%+$66.91
Sep 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Lavked vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)36c$53+180.8%+$95.81
Sep 20, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs NAVI Junior (+1.5) AND Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)20c$15+410.4%+$61.56
Sep 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Lavked vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.52 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)31c$60+220.6%+$132.37
Sep 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Group C2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)25c$10+295.7%+$29.57
Sep 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: WBT vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Group C2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)28c$10+251.3%+$25.13
Sep 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)56c$192+78.4%+$150.62
Sep 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: BBL vs Infinite (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B AND Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)50c$75+100.2%+$75.14
Sep 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Infinite (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)56c$43+78.6%+$33.82
Sep 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)53c$100+89%+$89.03
Sep 13, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group D2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)51c$60-100%-$60
Sep 10, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs AND Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)24c$80-100%-$80
Sep 10, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B AND Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)8c$30-100%-$30
Sep 10, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B AND Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)13c$31-100%-$31
Sep 10, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)27c$201-100%-$201
Sep 10, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)31c$240-100%-$240
Sep 9, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A AND Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5) AND Games Total: O/U 2.53 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)77c$105-100%-$105
Sep 9, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: HOTU vs K27 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)26c$101-100%-$101
Sep 5, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs AND LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)22c$80-100%-$80
Sep 4, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)52c$90-100%-$90
Sep 4, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: WBT vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs AND LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)28c$110-100%-$110
Sep 3, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Younglings (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffs2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)60c$100-100%-$100
Aug 30, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: ODDIK vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group D2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)53c$15+88.2%+$13.22
Aug 30, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B AND Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group D2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)52c$60+93.9%+$56.34
Aug 30, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group D AND Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.52 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)53c$60+90.3%+$54.2
Aug 30, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: K27 vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group D2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)43c$30+132.6%+$39.79
Aug 22, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Bebop vs Noir Verse (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)25c$51+295.5%+$150.72
Aug 22, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: WBT vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)24c$80+312.8%+$250.22
Aug 22, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: 1WIN vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)26c$31+280.1%+$86.83
Aug 22, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: WBT vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Color (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)25c$40+294.1%+$117.63
Aug 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Jenz vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A AND Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)46c$120-100%-$120
Aug 21, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: GenOne vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Younglings (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffs2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)62c$100+60.7%+$60.7
Aug 21, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: DENDELE CS (-1.5) vs QueenConso (+1.5) AND Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs REVENIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10 AND Counter-Strike: BIG vs z to forward (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 2 AND Counter-Strike: Giant Pandas vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 54 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)1c$25-100%-$25
Aug 21, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs REVENIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10 AND Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs SadFamous (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 112 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)1c$75-100%-$75
Aug 21, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: DENDELE CS (-1.5) vs QueenConso (+1.5) AND Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5) AND Counter-Strike: Giant Pandas vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 5 AND Counter-Strike: Kreazion vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 1 AND Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs SadFamous (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 115 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)1c$75-100%-$75
Aug 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs QueenConso (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 3 AND Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs REVENIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10 AND Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs SadFamous (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 113 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)1c$16-100%-$16
Aug 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs QueenConso (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 3 AND Counter-Strike: Heroic vs REM (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 7 AND Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs SadFamous (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 113 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)2c$23-100%-$23
Aug 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Heroic vs REM (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 7 AND Counter-Strike: Giant Pandas vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 5 AND Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs SadFamous (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 113 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)1c$12-100%-$12
Aug 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: BIG vs z to forward (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 2 AND Counter-Strike: Giant Pandas vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 5 AND Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs SadFamous (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 113 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)2c$15-100%-$15
Aug 20, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs z to forward (+1.5) AND Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs SadFamous (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 112 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)13c$40-100%-$40
Aug 20, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: DENDELE CS (-1.5) vs QueenConso (+1.5) AND Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs Kreazion (+1.5) AND Counter-Strike: Giant Pandas vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 5 AND Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs SadFamous (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 114 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)1c$15-100%-$15
Aug 12, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D AND Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FURIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D AND Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs MOUZ (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)50c$310+99.9%+$309.54
Aug 7, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+1.5) AND Counter-Strike: zeste vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 162 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)68c$84+47.4%+$39.85
Aug 7, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: ECHO vs Passion Chicha (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 9 AND Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+1.5) AND Counter-Strike: zeste vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 163 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)62c$70+61.9%+$43.35
Aug 7, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: ACE (-1.5) vs Vandulken (+1.5) AND Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+1.5)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)62c$30+61.3%+$18.38
Aug 7, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Dhala (+1.5) AND Counter-Strike: Spirit HU vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 14 AND Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+1.5) AND Counter-Strike: zeste vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 164 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)61c$12+64%+$7.68
Aug 7, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: levelONE vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10 AND Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+1.5) AND Counter-Strike: zeste vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 163 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)57c$17+76.7%+$13.05
Aug 7, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: levelONE vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10 AND Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+1.5)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)64c$15+56.8%+$8.52
Aug 7, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: ABT Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 7 AND Map Handicap: DENDELE CS (-1.5) vs QueenConso (+1.5) AND Counter-Strike: Kreazion vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 13 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)59c$50+70.8%+$35.4
Aug 7, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: ABT Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 7 AND Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs QueenConso (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 3 AND Counter-Strike: Kreazion vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 1 AND Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 64 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)63c$50+58.7%+$29.34
Aug 7, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: ABT Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 7 AND Map Handicap: DENDELE CS (-1.5) vs QueenConso (+1.5) AND Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs Kreazion (+1.5)3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)46c$66+117.2%+$77.32
Aug 7, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: ABT Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 7 AND Map Handicap: DENDELE CS (-1.5) vs QueenConso (+1.5) AND Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs lafox (+1.5)3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)56c$100+79.3%+$79.33
Aug 7, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: DENDELE CS (-1.5) vs QueenConso (+1.5) AND Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs Kreazion (+1.5) AND Counter-Strike: BIG vs z to forward (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 23 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)51c$34+97.9%+$33.28
Aug 7, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: DENDELE CS (-1.5) vs QueenConso (+1.5) AND Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs Kreazion (+1.5)2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)52c$350+93.2%+$326.33
Aug 7, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs QueenConso (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 3 AND Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Galactik rebels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 4 AND Counter-Strike: BIG vs z to forward (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 2 AND Counter-Strike: Kreazion vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 14 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)80c$180+25.1%+$45.26
All 66 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.
Middle East Inactivelast settled Sep 3, 2026, EDT$12,222—no start of play3 dto the end, median over 202 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 71 of them sold before the market settled+0.1198% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 48 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)7064.3%45 W · 25 L+8.2+0.1253c+17%60
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 3, 2026, EDTIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$138-100%-$138
Aug 18, 2026, EDTIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)44c$202+127.3%+$257.6
Aug 16, 2026, EDTIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$77+96.1%+$73.5
Aug 7, 2026, EDTIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$37+37%+$13.5
Aug 5, 2026, EDTIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$158+26.6%+$42
Aug 4, 2026, EDTIran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$110+81.8%+$90
Aug 3, 2026, EDTIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$412+69.9%+$288
Jul 30, 2026, EDTIran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$141-100%-$141.4
Jul 29, 2026, EDTIran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)32c$77+212.5%+$163.2
Jul 28, 2026, EDTIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$236+35.5%+$83.79
Jul 27, 2026, EDTIran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$82+143.9%+$118
Jul 25, 2026, EDTIran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$13+138.1%+$17.39
Jul 25, 2026, EDTIran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$152+71.5%+$108.4
Jul 21, 2026, EDTIran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$12-100%-$11.6
Jul 19, 2026, EDTIran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$36+150%+$54
Jul 19, 2026, EDTIran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)33c$80+200%+$160
Jul 17, 2026, EDTIran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$14-100%-$13.6
Jul 1, 2026, EDTTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$207+44.9%+$93
Jul 1, 2026, EDT Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$32-100%-$32.4
Jul 1, 2026, EDTIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$490+45%+$220.3
Jul 1, 2026, EDTIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$91-100%-$91
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$156+28.2%+$44
Jun 21, 2026, EDTWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$80+25%+$20
Jun 21, 2026, EDTWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$122+63.7%+$77.8
Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$121-100%-$120.8
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast settled Sep 25, 2026, EDT$13,783—no start of play1 dresells, median over 289 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 146 of them sold before the market settled+0.1092% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 30 of 51 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)5166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.6+0.1156c+25.3%58
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 25, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$96-100%-$96
May 21, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$182+37.6%+$68.25
May 18, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$200+29.9%+$59.8
May 15, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$143-100%-$142.87
May 15, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$38+31.8%+$12.05
May 15, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$838+31.3%+$261.99
May 12, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$925+40.6%+$375.28
May 12, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$80-100%-$80
May 8, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$627+27.7%+$173.38
May 8, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$21-100%-$21.06
May 5, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$234+28.2%+$66
May 5, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$385+29.9%+$115
May 1, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$56-100%-$56.25
May 1, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$375+33.3%+$125
Apr 28, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$771-100%-$770.97
Apr 24, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$408+25%+$101.97
Apr 17, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$468+28.2%+$132
Apr 16, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$560+25%+$140
Apr 16, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$503+41.4%+$208.26
Apr 13, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$560+25%+$140
Apr 13, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$641+35.7%+$229
Apr 7, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$395+26.6%+$105
Apr 3, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)76c$454-100%-$453.98
Mar 31, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$308+29.9%+$92
Mar 19, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$456+31.6%+$143.99
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT$404—too few: 4 picks1 h 30to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.2594% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)580%4 W · 1 L+1.3+0.2654c+59.7%55
World Politicslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT$503—no start of play2 dresells, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled+0.38102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1+0.3763c+61.5%54
La Liga Inactivelast settled Sep 15, 2026, EDT$293—too few: 4 picks1 h 22to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.25100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)475%3 W · 1 L+1.0+0.2550c+25.1%54
Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT$505—too few: 2 picks2 h 57to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.47100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9+0.4753c+95.2%54
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 12, 2026, EDT1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$190+131.7%+$249.54
Aug 15, 2026, EDT1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$315+58.7%+$185
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT$8,687before 14%in play 86%, over 106 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 48 min after the start1 h 52to the end, median over 128 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled+0.04132% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 132% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 102 of 110 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)11052.7%58 W · 52 L+3.2+0.0350c+4%53
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 6, 2026, EDTSpread: Argentina (-2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ArgentinaWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$150+33.3%+$50
Oct 6, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Benin: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$161-100%-$161
Oct 6, 2026, EDTSpread: Argentina (-4.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ArgentinaLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$418-100%-$417.6
Oct 4, 2026, EDTAruba vs. Anguilla: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$73+37%+$27
Oct 4, 2026, EDTAruba vs. Anguilla: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$52+92.3%+$48
Oct 4, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$40-100%-$40.29
Oct 4, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 8.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$215+80.1%+$172.21
Oct 4, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 4.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$15+112.8%+$17
Oct 4, 2026, EDTSpread: Argentina (-3.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ArgentinaWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$128+72.4%+$92.39
Oct 1, 2026, EDTAzerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$165-100%-$165
Sep 27, 2026, EDTGuyana vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$30-100%-$30.09
Sep 27, 2026, EDTGuyana vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$120-100%-$120
Sep 27, 2026, EDTGuyana vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 4.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$15-100%-$15
Sep 25, 2026, EDTGrenada vs. Cuba: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$60+66.7%+$40
Sep 25, 2026, EDTGrenada vs. Cuba: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$19+156.4%+$30.49
Sep 24, 2026, EDTLiechtenstein vs. Lithuania: Lithuania O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$165+81.8%+$135
Jul 15, 2026, EDTEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$34-100%-$33.75
Jul 14, 2026, EDTFrance vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$80+100%+$80
Jul 11, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ArgentinaWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$101+29%+$29.25
Jul 11, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$106+108.3%+$114.4
Jul 11, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$51-100%-$51
Jul 11, 2026, EDTWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$26-100%-$25.6
Jul 11, 2026, EDTWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$23-100%-$23
Jul 10, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$30-100%-$30
Jul 9, 2026, EDTWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$290-100%-$290.25
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$40—too few: 1 pick2 h 55to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.65108% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 108% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6+0.6040c+150%53
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDTFenerbahçe SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$40+150%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast settled Jul 11, 2026, EDT$41—too few: 1 pick53 minto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.5999% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6+0.5941c+143.9%53
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 11, 2026, EDTUFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Mario BautistaWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$41+143.9%+$59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT$234—no start of play5 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.28102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6+0.2872c+39.7%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$130+53.8%+$69.99
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$104+25.5%+$26.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast settled Apr 1, 2026, EDT$3,752—no start of play4 dto the end, median over 53 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled+0.06106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6+0.0561c+36.1%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$1,009+41.8%+$421.4
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$1,201+27.4%+$329.5
Feb 25, 2026, ESTWill the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$605+80%+$484.5
Jan 17, 2026, ESTWill Trump and Machado not shake hands?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)16c$16+525%+$84
Jan 15, 2026, ESTWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)8c$13-100%-$13.25
Jan 15, 2026, ESTWill Trump meet with Machado by January 16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$104+25%+$26
Jan 3, 2026, ESTWill Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$78-100%-$77.99
Jan 3, 2026, ESTWill Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$67+49.3%+$33
Jan 3, 2026, ESTMaduro out by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$104-100%-$103.68
Jan 3, 2026, ESTMaduro out by January 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$136+57.9%+$78.88
Jan 3, 2026, ESTUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)79c$316-100%-$316
Nov 26, 2025, ESTUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$103+26.6%+$27.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast settled Sep 14, 2026, EDT$173—too few: 1 pick2 h 26to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.43102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4+0.4258c+73.4%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 14, 2026, EDTBroncos vs. Chiefson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ChiefsWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$173+73.4%+$127
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 21, 2026, EDT$29—too few: 2 picks2 h 42to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.23168% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 168% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L+0.3+0.1337c-5.7%51
Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$647—too few: 7 picks1 h 09to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 61% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 6 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3+0.0453c-5.6%51
Stocks Inactivelast settled Jun 3, 2026, EDT$2,267—no start of play13 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L-0.1-0.0454c-34.7%50
CS2last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$68,658before 17%in play 83%, over 539 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min after the start2 h 42to the end, median over 594 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 47 of them sold before the market settled-0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 475 of 539 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)53951%275 W · 264 L-2.7-0.0152c-3.9%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: 6yuBoJlbl vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CyberClash Closed Qualifier Group Don Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6yuBoJlblLost (open this pick on its own page)68c$136-100%-$136
Oct 18, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: 6yuBoJlbl (-1.5) vs HyperSpirit (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6yuBoJlblLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$38-100%-$38
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs your end - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)your endLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$34-100%-$33.6
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: 6yuBoJlbl vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6yuBoJlblLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$90-100%-$89.59
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs your end - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)your endLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$34-100%-$34
Oct 18, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIALost (open this pick on its own page)55c$177-100%-$177.2
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIAWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$155+74.3%+$115.1
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs RED Canids Academy - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RED Canids AcademyWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$86+132.6%+$114
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 4 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIAWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$51+95.3%+$48.8
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Nuclear TigeRESWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$60+66.7%+$40
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Nuclear TigeRESWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$71+40.8%+$29
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIALost (open this pick on its own page)63c$126-100%-$126
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIALost (open this pick on its own page)53c$112-100%-$111.7
Oct 17, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team FalconsLost (open this pick on its own page)76c$227-100%-$227
Oct 17, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team FalconsLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$73-100%-$73.19
Oct 17, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: NIP vs MIBR - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NIPLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$218-100%-$217.99
Oct 16, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Los Niños (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Procyon GamingWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$104+92.3%+$96
Oct 16, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Sangal (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)100 ThievesWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$86+132.6%+$114
Oct 16, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Voca vs Phantom (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #2 Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)VocaLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$132-100%-$132
Oct 16, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Off Chops - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FlyQuestWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$73+105.5%+$77
Oct 15, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Alianza Lima Esports vs SUKEBAN - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SUKEBANWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$57+75.4%+$43
Oct 15, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIAWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$60+100%+$60
Oct 15, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIALost (open this pick on its own page)53c$148-100%-$148
Oct 15, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PARIVISIONLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$65-100%-$65
Oct 15, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Heroic vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group Don Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HeroicWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$94+38.9%+$36.4
Showing 25 of 539 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast settled Nov 18, 2025, EST$30—no start of play2 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.21no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.2-0.2020c-100%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Nov 18, 2025, ESTWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$30-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast settled Sep 14, 2026, EDT$44—too few: 1 pick1 h 39to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.21no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.2-0.2222c-100%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 14, 2026, EDTFC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$44-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast settled Feb 15, 2026, EST$180—no start of play1 dto the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled-0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3-0.0942c+11.1%49
Tennis Inactivelast settled Jul 7, 2026, EDT$2,944before 96%in play 4%, over 82 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 38 before the start12 h 01to the end, median over 83 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 30 of 82 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)8250%41 W · 41 L-1.1-0.0151c+9.1%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 7, 2026, EDTWimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Felix Auger-AliassimeLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$50-100%-$50
Jul 6, 2026, EDTWimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Feryon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Grigor DimitrovLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$31-100%-$30.6
Jun 19, 2026, EDTHSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humberton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Hamad MedjedovicLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$30-100%-$30.4
Jun 18, 2026, EDTHSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Leheckaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Rinky HijikataWon (open this pick on its own page)26c$31+284.6%+$87.32
Jun 18, 2026, EDTHSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Botic van de Zandschulpon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Botic van de ZandschulpLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$60-100%-$60
Jun 18, 2026, EDTNottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmezon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Viktorija GolubicWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$30+138.1%+$41.76
Jun 18, 2026, EDTNottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Caty McNallyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Karolina PliskovaWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$30+112.8%+$33.92
Jun 18, 2026, EDTGrass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Eva Lyson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Eva LysLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$30-100%-$30.4
Jun 18, 2026, EDTGrass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Diane Parryon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Diane ParryLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$31-100%-$30.8
Jun 17, 2026, EDTBrescia: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Mia Risticon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Sarah RakotomangaWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$30+117.4%+$35.64
Jun 17, 2026, EDTGrass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Ealaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Donna VekicLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$30-100%-$30.25
Jun 17, 2026, EDTNottingham Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Emma Navarroon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Emma NavarroWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$30+44.9%+$13.64
Jun 17, 2026, EDTHalle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuroon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Frances TiafoeWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$30+44.9%+$13.64
Jun 17, 2026, EDTRoyan: Daniel Jade vs Raphael Peroton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Raphael PerotWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$31+96.1%+$29.4
Jun 15, 2026, EDTGrass Court Championships, Qualification: Rebeka Masarova vs Mia Pohankovaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Rebeka MasarovaWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$40+72.4%+$28.98
Jun 12, 2026, EDTHSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimovaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Iva JovicWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$40+117.4%+$47.52
Jun 12, 2026, EDTStuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublikon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$40-100%-$40.28
Jun 12, 2026, EDTHSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulteron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Jaqueline CristianLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$40-100%-$39.6
Jun 11, 2026, EDTStuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgioson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Nick KyrgiosLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$40-100%-$40.2
Jun 11, 2026, EDTLibema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Benjamin BonziWon (open this pick on its own page)34c$41+194.1%+$79.2
Jun 11, 2026, EDTLibema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertenson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Gabriela RuseWon (open this pick on its own page)25c$40+300%+$120
Jun 5, 2026, EDTRoland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Jakub MensikLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$40-100%-$40.32
Jun 5, 2026, EDTHeilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio Navaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Guy Den OudenLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$40-100%-$40.25
Jun 5, 2026, EDTBirmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Mark Lajalon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Mark LajalLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$41-100%-$40.5
Jun 5, 2026, EDTBirmingham: Rebeka Masarova vs Mary Stoianaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Rebeka MasarovaWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$40+38.9%+$15.68
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Lollast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$5,764before 12%in play 88%, over 33 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 49 min after the start3 h 24to the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled-0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 30 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.6-0.0556c-3.3%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDTGame Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MVK EsportsWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$100+29.9%+$29.9
Oct 16, 2026, EDTGame Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIA EsportsWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$110+81.8%+$90
Oct 15, 2026, EDTGame Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIA EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$116-100%-$116
Oct 15, 2026, EDTLoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIA EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$64-100%-$64
Oct 15, 2026, EDTLoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIA EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$14-100%-$13.6
Oct 15, 2026, EDTLoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-Inon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Karmine CorpWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$196+104.1%+$204
Oct 15, 2026, EDTLoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Karmine CorpWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$112+78.6%+$88
Oct 5, 2026, EDTGame Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Maryville UniversityWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$157+72.4%+$113.4
Oct 5, 2026, EDTGame Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Maryville UniversityLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$507-100%-$506.99
Oct 5, 2026, EDTGame Handicap: KBM (-2.5) vs 9z Globant (+2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KaBuM! Ilha das LendasLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$594-100%-$594.41
Oct 5, 2026, EDTGame Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs 9z Globant (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KaBuM! Ilha das LendasWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$392+78.6%+$308
Oct 5, 2026, EDTLoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KaBuM! Ilha das LendasWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$140+42.9%+$60
Oct 5, 2026, EDTLoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Maryville UniversityWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$158+26.6%+$42
Oct 5, 2026, EDTLoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant - Game 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KaBuM! Ilha das LendasWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$258+55%+$142
Oct 5, 2026, EDTLoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KaBuM! Ilha das LendasWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$138+44.9%+$62
Oct 5, 2026, EDTLoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KaBuM! Ilha das LendasLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$122-100%-$122
Oct 4, 2026, EDTLoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 4 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LYONLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$114-100%-$114
Sep 26, 2026, EDTGame Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LYONLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$71-100%-$70.8
Sep 23, 2026, EDTLoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)The Otter SideWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$218+37.6%+$81.99
Sep 23, 2026, EDTLoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Con Polymarket (opens in a new tab)VerdantLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$58-100%-$58
Sep 23, 2026, EDTLoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)The Otter SideWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$589+86.8%+$511
Sep 23, 2026, EDTLoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CITA KaizenWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$280+42.9%+$120
Sep 21, 2026, EDTLoL: Pyramid IV Esports vs Lodis - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LodisWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$309+36.1%+$111.4
Aug 6, 2026, EDTLoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Anyone's LegendLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$98-100%-$98
Aug 5, 2026, EDTLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Hanwha Life EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$134-100%-$134.4
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT$366—too few: 3 picks1 h 10to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.22no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8-0.2760c-38.3%47
Token Launches Inactivelast settled Jul 17, 2026, EDT$2,609—no start of play2 dto the end, median over 36 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled-0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5-0.1243c-17.7%45
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 17, 2026, EDTOver $35M committed to the Credible public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$156+28.2%+$44
Jul 17, 2026, EDTOver $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$70-100%-$70.4
Jul 4, 2026, EDTOver $90M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$15-100%-$14.85
Jul 4, 2026, EDTOver $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)8c$37-100%-$37
Mar 23, 2026, EDTWill Backpack launch a token by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$511+37%+$189
Feb 7, 2026, ESTOver $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$132-100%-$132
Feb 7, 2026, ESTOver $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$593-100%-$592.89
Feb 7, 2026, ESTOver $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$200-100%-$200
Jan 10, 2026, ESTOver $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$100+72.4%+$72.41
Nov 18, 2025, ESTOver $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)71c$190-100%-$189.76
Nov 18, 2025, ESTOver $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)16c$104+532.9%+$555.72
Nov 18, 2025, ESTOver $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$273-100%-$273
Nov 18, 2025, ESTOver $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$228-100%-$228
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast settled Aug 17, 2026, EDT$466—too few: 4 picks4 h 45to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.40no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)425%1 W · 3 L-1.4-0.3661c-66.2%44
Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT$558—too few: 7 picks2 h 45to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.22no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7-0.2453c-43.3%44
NBAlast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT$1,035—too few: 7 picks2 h 01to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.27no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0-0.2857c-34.6%43
Commodities Inactivelast settled Aug 4, 2026, EDT$2,505—no start of play8 dto the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled-0.25no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1520%3 W · 12 L-3.9-0.2646c-70.5%39
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 4, 2026, EDTStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$110-100%-$109.8
Jul 27, 2026, EDTWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$26-100%-$25.95
Jul 21, 2026, EDTStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$156-100%-$156
Jul 7, 2026, EDTStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$307-100%-$306.64
Jul 2, 2026, EDTWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$10-100%-$10
Jun 24, 2026, EDTWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$333+58.8%+$195.86
Jun 23, 2026, EDTStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$82-100%-$81.82
Jun 2, 2026, EDTWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$56-100%-$56.27
May 29, 2026, EDTWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$181-100%-$181.01
May 29, 2026, EDTWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$228-100%-$227.58
May 28, 2026, EDTWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$93-100%-$93.42
May 18, 2026, EDTWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$92-100%-$92.25
May 12, 2026, EDTStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$753+34.1%+$256.61
May 8, 2026, EDTWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 8?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$51-100%-$51
Apr 30, 2026, EDTWill gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$27+49.3%+$13.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$7,839before 5%in play 95%, over 65 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 36 after the start2 h 37to the end, median over 68 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled-0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 62 of 65 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)6533.8%22 W · 43 L-8.9-0.1448c-31.7%39
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 18, 2026, EDTDota 2: salamit vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Aon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Power RangersLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$114-100%-$114
Oct 18, 2026, EDTDota 2: salamit vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Power RangersLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$69-100%-$68.6
Oct 15, 2026, EDTDota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Skyreavers - Game 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Amaru GamingWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$58+72.4%+$42
Oct 14, 2026, EDTDota 2: Kalmychata vs HULIGANI (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KalmychataWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$59+122.2%+$71.5
Oct 14, 2026, EDTDota 2: Kalmychata vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KalmychataWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$80+75.4%+$60.2
Oct 9, 2026, EDTDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AuroraWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$174+49.6%+$86.2
Oct 6, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Yellow SubmarineLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$245-100%-$245.01
Sep 25, 2026, EDTDota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team YandexWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$74+49.3%+$36.3
Sep 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Yellow SubmarineWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$76+31.4%+$23.9
Sep 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Pibbles Corp vs Hokori (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Pibbles CorpLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$110-100%-$110
Sep 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Pibbles Corp vs Hokori - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Pibbles CorpLost (open this pick on its own page)68c$122-100%-$122.4
Aug 20, 2026, EDTDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team FalconsLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$106-100%-$106
Aug 13, 2026, EDTDota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team FalconsLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$82-100%-$82
Aug 13, 2026, EDTDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team ResilienceLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$51-100%-$51
Aug 7, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Jenz vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Aon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Nemiga GamingWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$59+28.5%+$16.92
Aug 7, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Jenz vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Nemiga GamingWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$182+37%+$67.5
Aug 6, 2026, EDTDota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RE.AriseWon (open this pick on its own page)44c$15+127.3%+$18.76
Aug 5, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team FalconsLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$354-100%-$354
Aug 5, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team FalconsLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$120-100%-$120
Aug 5, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1winLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$37-100%-$37
Aug 5, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1winLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$236-100%-$236
Aug 5, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1winLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$94-100%-$94.4
Aug 4, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team LiquidLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$169-100%-$169.2
Aug 4, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team LiquidLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$108-100%-$107.99
Aug 4, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team LiquidLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$105-100%-$105.3
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.