Wallet 0x3690…e16f

https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x36901eb0f21519cc9055662a6d2483e96da1e16f

Polymarket

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$277,869 staked over 2,228 qualified picks in 41 categories, 22 of 41 below 50.

Best category

Parlays

$10,436 staked over 86 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.09 per pick.

See the full Parlays board

Second best

Music

$16,449 staked over 46 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.07 per pick.

See the full Music board

Third best

IPO

$4,944 staked over 25 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.05 per pick.

See the full IPO board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Nothing to tail here. This wallet has no qualified Parlays picks that settled in the last 30 days, so there was nothing to put a stake on.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Parlays picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category41 Categories

What these columns mean

Category: The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked: The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets: Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds: How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price: What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks: Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate: How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected: Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge: Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry: The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick: The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score: The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.

Category

Staked

When it bets

Holds

At your price

Qualified picks

Win rate

vs expected

Realizable edge

Avg entry

ROI per pick

Tail Score

Parlayslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT

$10,436

—no start of play

—no market to hold

—no market price

54.7%47 W · 39 L

+9.6

+0.11

43c

+56.1%

Settled	Ticket	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 22, 2026, EDT	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Nuno Borges vs Facundo Acosta AND West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas3 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	45c	$151	-100%	-$151.43
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	Steelers vs. Browns AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves AND Wild vs. Predators3 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	49c	$1,870	-100%	-$1,870.32
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) AND Jaguars vs. Bengals2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	19c	$14	-100%	-$14.3
Oct 10, 2026, EDT	Spread: Michigan (-20.5) AND Texas vs. Tennessee AND Spread: Notre Dame (-41.5) AND Clemson vs. California AND Seahawks vs. Commanders5 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	46c	$174	-100%	-$173.99
Oct 8, 2026, EDT	Portugal vs. Wales: Wales O/U 3.5 Corners AND Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	16c	$48	-100%	-$48.39
Oct 6, 2026, EDT	Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Saint-Martin win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Albania win on 2026-10-06?5 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	34c	$356	+193.2%	+$687.6
Oct 5, 2026, EDT	Jadarian Price: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 AND Montenegro vs. Armenia: 1st Half O/U 1.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	36c	$16	+180.7%	+$28
Oct 5, 2026, EDT	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Operário Ferroviário EC leading at halftime?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	35c	$21	-100%	-$20.64
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	CA Barracas Central vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5 AND Colts vs. Chiefs2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	58c	$10	-100%	-$10.01
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	Bay FC vs. Racing Louisville FC: O/U 0.5 AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$62	-100%	-$62.28
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-09-21?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	36c	$163	-100%	-$163.49
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	Browns vs. Buccaneers AND Dolphins vs. 49ers AND Spread: Michigan (-48.5) AND USC vs. Rutgers AND Spread: Notre Dame (-35.5)5 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	37c	$402	-100%	-$402.11
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) AND UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	61c	$20	+65.2%	+$13.31
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	Delaware State vs. South Florida AND Spread: KC (-5.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	48c	$334	-100%	-$334.04
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	Wagner vs. California AND Spread: KC (-5.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	48c	$95	-100%	-$95.44
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	Kent State vs. Ohio State AND Spread: KC (-5.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	48c	$72	-100%	-$71.58
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	Murray State vs. Oklahoma State AND Spread: KC (-5.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	48c	$77	-100%	-$76.72
Oct 2, 2026, EDT	Tunisia vs. Mali: O/U 4.5 AND Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden: O/U 0.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	35c	$10	+187.5%	+$19.33
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Eastern Michigan vs. Wisconsin2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$10	-100%	-$10.01
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Michigan State vs. Notre Dame AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	44c	$22	-100%	-$22.01
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	USC vs. Rutgers AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$106	-100%	-$105.75
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Buffalo vs. Penn State2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	45c	$290	-100%	-$290.29
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 0.5 AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	43c	$21	-100%	-$21.48
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	Beşiktaş JK vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5 AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	43c	$21	-100%	-$21.48
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	W35 Hurghada: Ann Akasha Ceuca vs Maria Golovina AND M25 Guiyang: Leo Borg vs Chan-Yeong Oh2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	69c	$16	-100%	-$16.24
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees AND Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 AND Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves AND Will England win on 2026-09-29? AND Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?6 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	43c	$16	+131.4%	+$20.67
Sep 29, 2026, EDT	Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	44c	$50	-100%	-$50.05
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	Sao Paulo Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Dominika Salkova AND Guadalajara Open Akron: Carole Monnet vs Sloane Stephens AND Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend3 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	43c	$25	-100%	-$25.34
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	CD Leganés vs. CD Castellón: O/U 5.5 AND Asian Games Men: India vs Afghanistan2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	21c	$11	+383.8%	+$40.83
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Al Ain FC (-2.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	57c	$10	-100%	-$10.22
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 0.5 AND Guangzhou: Jake Delaney vs Hikaru Shiraishi2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$21	-100%	-$20.96
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	Jong PSV Eindhoven vs. Jong AZ Alkmaar: O/U 0.5 AND Guangzhou: Jake Delaney vs Hikaru Shiraishi2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$99	-100%	-$98.96
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	1st Half Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5) AND Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	24c	$14	-100%	-$14.36
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	China Open, Qualification: Rigele Te vs James Duckworth AND Will Club León FC win on 2026-09-27?2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	12c	$10	+725.5%	+$75.89
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Patrick Mahomes: 2+ Touchdowns AND Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-09-13?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	30c	$18	-100%	-$17.65
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Spread: Bills (-1.5) AND Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-09-13?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	57c	$134	-100%	-$133.98
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5) AND LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	54c	$132	-100%	-$132
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5) AND Exact Score: 07 Vestur Sorvagur 3 - 2 KI Klaksvik?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	53c	$10	-100%	-$10.24
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5) AND Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 3 Gil Vicente FC?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	54c	$59	-100%	-$59.19
Sep 26, 2026, EDT	1st Half Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5) AND Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-13?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	27c	$43	-100%	-$42.54
Sep 26, 2026, EDT	Will United States win on 2026-09-26? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26? AND Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-26?3 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	70c	$544	+43.1%	+$234.16
Sep 26, 2026, EDT	England vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26?3 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	54c	$245	+84.3%	+$206.39
Sep 26, 2026, EDT	San Marino vs. Finland: 1st Half O/U 4.5 AND Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 2 Croatia?2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	56c	$16	+78.1%	+$12.67
Sep 26, 2026, EDT	Game Spread: Gabriela Ruse (-2.5) vs Anna Bondar (+2.5) AND San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Andres Andrade2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	69c	$19	+45%	+$8.55
Sep 24, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A AND Counter-Strike: Heroic vs K27 (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group A2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	35c	$10	-100%	-$10.31
Sep 23, 2026, EDT	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen AND US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz AND US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro3 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	29c	$255	-100%	-$255.48
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics AND Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$10	-100%	-$10.18
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner AND LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	35c	$10	-100%	-$10.01
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner AND LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	57c	$20	-100%	-$20.02
Sep 21, 2026, EDT	Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5) AND Giants vs. Rams AND Eagles vs. Titans AND Bengals vs. Texans AND Spread: Bills (-3.5)5 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$692	+137%	+$948.18
Sep 21, 2026, EDT	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien AND US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx AND Set Handicap: Djere (-1.5) vs Cecchinato (+1.5) AND US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina4 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	20c	$86	-100%	-$86.17
Sep 21, 2026, EDT	Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5) AND Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 42.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	44c	$20	+128.1%	+$25.01
Sep 20, 2026, EDT	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	31c	$70	+227.4%	+$158.99
Sep 20, 2026, EDT	Getafe CF vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5 AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	47c	$10	+111.7%	+$11.48
Sep 20, 2026, EDT	Getafe CF vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5 AND Leeds United FC leading at halftime?2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	37c	$30	+167%	+$49.29
Sep 20, 2026, EDT	M25 Guiyang: Yun Seong Chung vs Alibek Kachmazov AND CF América vs. CD Guadalajara: Draw at halftime?2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	68c	$34	+47.4%	+$16.11
Sep 20, 2026, EDT	Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5) AND New England Revolution vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	72c	$109	+39.7%	+$43.2
Sep 19, 2026, EDT	UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) AND UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	70c	$1,396	+43.3%	+$604.5
Sep 19, 2026, EDT	Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres AND San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	13c	$26	+672.6%	+$174.27
Sep 19, 2026, EDT	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	12c	$35	+740%	+$259.22
Sep 17, 2026, EDT	Bristol City FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 3.5 AND Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5 AND Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16?5 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	70c	$96	+43.3%	+$41.71
Sep 14, 2026, EDT	Vikingur Reykjavik vs. Keflavik IF: O/U 1.5 AND Phan Thiet 4: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Sergio Callejon2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	60c	$24	+65.5%	+$16.02
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox AND Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	41c	$16	+144.5%	+$22.41
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Sivasspor vs. Muglaspor: O/U 4.5 AND Szczecin: Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg vs Rudolf Molleker2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	29c	$10	+242.3%	+$25.08
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Guadalajara Open Akron: Darja Vidmanova vs Janice Tjen AND Sao Paulo Open, Qualification: Whitney Osuigwe vs Anastasia Tikhonova2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	28c	$53	+258.4%	+$136.9
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Spread: Bears (-2.5) AND Spread: Steelers (-6.5) AND Spread: JAX (-8.5)3 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	68c	$92	+48.1%	+$44.09
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Spread: HOU (-1.5) AND Orlando City SC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 0.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	45c	$56	+120.5%	+$67.04
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Spread: HOU (-1.5) AND Howard vs. Indiana2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	47c	$41	+112.3%	+$46.12
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Spread: HOU (-1.5) AND Marist vs. Lafayette2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	47c	$45	+112.3%	+$51
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Spread: HOU (-1.5) AND Tennessee-Martin vs. West Virginia2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	46c	$51	+115.1%	+$59.16
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-09-12? AND Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-09-12?2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	16c	$106	+525.8%	+$559.43
Sep 12, 2026, EDT	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) AND Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	35c	$28	+188.9%	+$52.87
Sep 11, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: MORROW vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	38c	$65	+162%	+$105.72
Sep 10, 2026, EDT	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10? AND AS Roma leading at halftime?2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	57c	$758	+76.9%	+$582.35
Sep 10, 2026, EDT	Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5 AND Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	72c	$20	+38.6%	+$7.82
Sep 10, 2026, EDT	Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5) AND Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	52c	$27	+92.1%	+$24.81
Sep 10, 2026, EDT	LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis - Game 2 Winner AND Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stage2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	43c	$19	+130.3%	+$25.34
Sep 10, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A AND Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group B2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$15	+137.6%	+$20.08
Sep 9, 2026, EDT	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? AND Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-09? AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?3 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	33c	$97	+204.9%	+$198.34
Sep 9, 2026, EDT	VfB Stuttgart vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5 AND Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score AND Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Score AND FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5 AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? AND Will FCI Levadia Tallinn win on 2026-09-09? AND Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-09-09? AND Will Italy win on 2026-09-09?8 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	55c	$24	+81.2%	+$19.33
Sep 9, 2026, EDT	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 4.5 AND Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$15	+137.6%	+$20.23
Sep 9, 2026, EDT	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?3 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	24c	$51	+320.5%	+$163.9
Sep 9, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner AND LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 1 Winner2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	26c	$14	+283%	+$40.27
Sep 8, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs AND M25 Sapporo: Kazushi Idogaki vs Seiya Nakanishi2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	17c	$12	+492.8%	+$58.92
Sep 7, 2026, EDT	Will Igdir FK win on 2026-09-07? AND Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-07? AND Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-09-07? AND Will Bursaspor win on 2026-09-07? AND Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-09-07? AND Will Palermo FC win on 2026-09-07?6 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	51c	$12	+94.2%	+$11.58
Sep 7, 2026, EDT	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-07? AND Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-07?2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	62c	$14	+61.8%	+$8.39
All 86 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.

Musiclast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT

$16,449

—no start of play

5 dto the end

+0.0984% kept

58.7%27 W · 19 L

+4.7

+0.10

49c

+44.9%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 9, 2026, EDT	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	9c	$16	+1,011.1%	+$163.8
Oct 2, 2026, EDT	Will "Cleveland! - Taylor Swift" be the #2 US song this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	25c	$30	-100%	-$30.46
Oct 2, 2026, EDT	Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #2 song this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	38c	$23	+163.7%	+$37.2
Oct 2, 2026, EDT	Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$40	+135.8%	+$54.72
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 40k and 50k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	34c	$16	+195.4%	+$31.09
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$71	+27.8%	+$19.78
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$15	+29.9%	+$4.6
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	34c	$10	+194.1%	+$19.8
Sep 25, 2026, EDT	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	35c	$19	-100%	-$18.54
Aug 13, 2026, EDT	Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	15c	$38	+547.3%	+$207.8
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$102	-100%	-$101.76
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$120	+83.6%	+$100.17
May 31, 2026, EDT	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	22c	$580	-100%	-$580.42
May 29, 2026, EDT	Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$42	+76.2%	+$32.06
May 29, 2026, EDT	Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	40c	$30	-100%	-$29.69
May 27, 2026, EDT	Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	3c	$14	-100%	-$14.18
May 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$673	-100%	-$672.58
May 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$558	+65.8%	+$367.18
May 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$349	+39.8%	+$138.92
May 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	14c	$147	-100%	-$147.12
May 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$1,545	-100%	-$1,545.49
May 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$1,508	+52.5%	+$791.99
May 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Ran to Atlanta - Drake, Future & Molly Santana" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$127	+44.7%	+$56.82
May 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	30c	$56	-100%	-$55.77
May 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$40	+34.9%	+$14.14
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.

IPOlast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT

$4,944

—no start of play

3 dto the end

+0.05out of reach

60%15 W · 10 L

+2.3

+0.09

51c

+24.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	25c	$29	+300%	+$88.41
Jun 12, 2026, EDT	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	8c	$29	-100%	-$29.32
Jun 6, 2026, EDT	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	24c	$17	-100%	-$16.99
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$10	+29.6%	+$2.96
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	5c	$20	-100%	-$19.55
May 30, 2026, EDT	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$51	+39.6%	+$20.08
May 14, 2026, EDT	Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$676	-100%	-$676.15
May 14, 2026, EDT	Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $1.75B and $2.0B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$72	+40.8%	+$29.29
May 14, 2026, EDT	Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$77	-100%	-$76.76
May 14, 2026, EDT	Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$76	+33.3%	+$25.25
May 14, 2026, EDT	Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$412	+69.4%	+$285.58
May 14, 2026, EDT	Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	41c	$346	-100%	-$345.97
May 14, 2026, EDT	Will Micware's market cap be between $450M and $550M at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	29c	$40	+240.5%	+$96.06
May 14, 2026, EDT	Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	25c	$470	-100%	-$470.24
May 14, 2026, EDT	Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	33c	$326	+199%	+$648.92
May 9, 2026, EDT	Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $1.1B and $1.4B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$498	+71.9%	+$357.51
May 9, 2026, EDT	Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $0.8B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$442	+97.9%	+$432.93
May 9, 2026, EDT	Will Mobia Medical's market cap be less than $500M at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$650	-100%	-$650.19
May 9, 2026, EDT	Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$315	+215.9%	+$680.67
May 8, 2026, EDT	Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be less than $0.8B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	48c	$78	-100%	-$77.8
May 8, 2026, EDT	Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be between $0.8B and $1B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$92	+76.9%	+$70.7
May 8, 2026, EDT	Will HawkEye 360's market cap be between $3.25B and $4.0B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$11	+31.6%	+$3.6
May 6, 2026, EDT	Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be at least $500M at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$47	+113.2%	+$53.1
May 6, 2026, EDT	Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $400M and $500M at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$73	+52.5%	+$38.22
May 6, 2026, EDT	Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $300M and $400M at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$87	-100%	-$87.38
All 25 picks, newest first.

Commoditieslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$561

—no start of play

17 dto the end

+0.1291% kept

75%6 W · 2 L

+1.1

+0.13

62c

+45.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2900 and $4.2999 on October 24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$13	-100%	-$13.4
Oct 22, 2026, EDT	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2600 and $4.2699 on October 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$22	+38.9%	+$8.4
Oct 14, 2026, EDT	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$14	+37.9%	+$5.45
Oct 14, 2026, EDT	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$12	-100%	-$11.79
Oct 6, 2026, EDT	Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$12	+53.8%	+$6.65
Jul 1, 2026, EDT	Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$158	+39.2%	+$61.9
Jul 1, 2026, EDT	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	23c	$191	+334.9%	+$639.1
Jul 1, 2026, EDT	Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$139	+59.3%	+$82.13
All 8 picks, newest first.

Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT

$6,766

—no start of play

7 dto the end

+0.01out of reach

64.7%22 W · 12 L

+1.6

+0.05

60c

-0.2%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 14, 2026, EDT	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$50	+81%	+$40.28
Oct 14, 2026, EDT	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$54	+49.3%	+$26.4
Oct 14, 2026, EDT	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$55	-100%	-$54.85
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Will China’s CPI increase by at least 1.1% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$86	+26.9%	+$23.2
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$15	+33.3%	+$5
Oct 2, 2026, EDT	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$38	+56.3%	+$21.6
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$64	+56.3%	+$36
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$29	+30.5%	+$8.79
Sep 29, 2026, EDT	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	31c	$11	-100%	-$10.85
Jul 30, 2026, EDT	Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$20	+36.1%	+$7.26
Jun 12, 2026, EDT	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	40c	$18	+147.5%	+$26.82
Jun 12, 2026, EDT	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$34	+31.6%	+$10.8
Jun 10, 2026, EDT	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$789	+72.8%	+$574.64
Jun 10, 2026, EDT	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	41c	$553	-100%	-$552.69
Jun 10, 2026, EDT	Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$976	+43.8%	+$427.29
Jun 10, 2026, EDT	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$1,034	-100%	-$1,034.43
Jun 10, 2026, EDT	Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$851	+64.7%	+$550.35
Jun 10, 2026, EDT	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$64	+57.8%	+$37.01
Jun 10, 2026, EDT	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$61	-100%	-$61.33
May 30, 2026, EDT	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.5% and 1.8%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	26c	$100	-100%	-$99.83
May 30, 2026, EDT	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$66	+82.8%	+$54.85
May 14, 2026, EDT	Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	30c	$39	-100%	-$39.01
May 14, 2026, EDT	Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$100	+28.9%	+$29.07
May 14, 2026, EDT	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$48	+82.4%	+$39.64
May 12, 2026, EDT	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$381	+28.9%	+$110.06
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.

Weatherlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$71,633

before 61%in play 39%

1 dto the end

-0.01out of reach

1,352

58.2%787 W · 565 L

+36.1

+0.03

56c

-2.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$52	-100%	-$52.49
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$45	-100%	-$44.97
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	38c	$21	-100%	-$21
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$12	+61.3%	+$7.4
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$15	-100%	-$15
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$33	+69.5%	+$22.7
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$31	+63.9%	+$19.5
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$11	-100%	-$11.2
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$37	-100%	-$37.19
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$12	-100%	-$11.6
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	46c	$28	+117.4%	+$32.4
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$78	-100%	-$77.82
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$12	+61.3%	+$7.6
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$14	-100%	-$14
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	39c	$23	-100%	-$23.4
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$45	+31.1%	+$14.16
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$29	-100%	-$29.43
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$24	-100%	-$24.28
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$46	+31.6%	+$14.4
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	48c	$14	-100%	-$14.39
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$29	+38%	+$10.94
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$53	+31.3%	+$16.45
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$14	+42.9%	+$6
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	44c	$19	-100%	-$18.53
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$29	+97.5%	+$28.63
Showing 25 of 1,352 picks, newest first.

Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT

$13,881

before 27%in play 73%

31 dto the end

+0.02out of reach

47.7%31 W · 34 L

+2.1

+0.03

45c

-8.1%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 6, 2026, EDT	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$13	-100%	-$13
Oct 6, 2026, EDT	Will Poland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$222	+35.1%	+$77.96
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	Will Norway win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$14	+38.9%	+$5.58
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$173	-100%	-$172.98
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$237	+25.6%	+$60.52
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	7c	$294	-100%	-$294.2
Jul 15, 2026, EDT	Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	30c	$109	+229.1%	+$248.78
Jul 15, 2026, EDT	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	46c	$20	+117.4%	+$23.98
Jul 15, 2026, EDT	Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	30c	$143	-100%	-$142.93
Jul 15, 2026, EDT	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	46c	$42	+118.6%	+$49.64
Jul 15, 2026, EDT	England vs. Argentina: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	England	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$13	-100%	-$13.01
Jul 14, 2026, EDT	Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$231	+28.9%	+$66.66
Jul 14, 2026, EDT	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$13	-100%	-$13.48
Jul 14, 2026, EDT	France vs. Spain: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	France	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	19c	$28	-100%	-$27.74
Jul 14, 2026, EDT	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$154	-100%	-$154.24
Jul 14, 2026, EDT	Will France win on 2026-07-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	19c	$123	-100%	-$123.25
Jul 12, 2026, EDT	Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and ENG vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$36	-100%	-$36.33
Jul 11, 2026, EDT	Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Argentina	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$75	+32.9%	+$24.75
Jul 11, 2026, EDT	Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and NOR vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$76	+35.4%	+$26.79
Jul 11, 2026, EDT	Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and NOR vs SUI at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	10c	$39	-100%	-$38.59
Jul 11, 2026, EDT	Norway vs. England: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	England	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$54	+65.8%	+$35.72
Jul 11, 2026, EDT	Will England win on 2026-07-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	29c	$86	+249.9%	+$214.25
Jul 11, 2026, EDT	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$103	+92.7%	+$95.13
Jul 10, 2026, EDT	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	12c	$54	-100%	-$53.98
Jun 28, 2026, EDT	Will Algeria finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	16c	$12	+545.2%	+$67.6
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT

$352

—no start of play

10 dto the end

+0.54101% kept

100%1 W · 0 L

+0.5

+0.53

47c

+112.8%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$352	+112.8%	+$397.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

Middle East Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2026, EDT

$9,365

—no start of play

9 h 10to the end

+0.05out of reach

40%4 W · 6 L

+0.7

+0.07

33c

+21.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	4c	$50	-100%	-$50.35
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	46c	$197	-100%	-$197.29
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$1,558	-100%	-$1,557.65
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	38c	$93	+163.2%	+$151.26
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	15c	$1,653	+548.9%	+$9,071.44
Jun 21, 2026, EDT	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$5,396	+61.5%	+$3,316.14
Apr 10, 2026, EDT	US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	6c	$181	-100%	-$180.88
Apr 8, 2026, EDT	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	4c	$111	-100%	-$110.54
Feb 23, 2026, EST	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$84	+41.6%	+$34.99
Feb 23, 2026, EST	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	25c	$43	-100%	-$42.88
All 10 picks, newest first.

World Politicslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$24,801

—no start of play

2 dto the end

+0.01out of reach

147

59.9%88 W · 59 L

+3.2

+0.02

58c

+1.4%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$132	+28.6%	+$37.8
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$32	+26.6%	+$8.4
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$13	-100%	-$13.25
Oct 23, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	48c	$36	-100%	-$36.02
Oct 23, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$24	-100%	-$24.4
Oct 22, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	44c	$13	-100%	-$13.2
Oct 20, 2026, EDT	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$281	-100%	-$281.32
Oct 19, 2026, EDT	Curfew in a major French city by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$292	+30.6%	+$89.25
Oct 19, 2026, EDT	Paris curfew by October 24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$190	+47.4%	+$90.02
Oct 19, 2026, EDT	Paris curfew by October 21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$99	-100%	-$99.16
Oct 18, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$27	+47.1%	+$12.8
Oct 18, 2026, EDT	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$10	+92.3%	+$9.42
Oct 18, 2026, EDT	Will Tim Palmer win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$15	+31.6%	+$4.8
Oct 18, 2026, EDT	Will Simon Yu win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$25	+61.3%	+$15.2
Oct 17, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$35	+72.4%	+$25.2
Oct 16, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$35	+42.9%	+$15
Oct 16, 2026, EDT	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	16c	$10	+524%	+$54.55
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on October 14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$13	-100%	-$13
Oct 14, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$15	+98.4%	+$15.03
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$42	+42.9%	+$18
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$14	+28.3%	+$3.93
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$65	+68.7%	+$44.8
Oct 9, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$22	+37%	+$8.1
Oct 9, 2026, EDT	Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 5-10%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	23c	$14	-100%	-$14.29
Oct 9, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 8?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$38	-100%	-$37.91
Showing 25 of 147 picks, newest first.

China Taiwan Inactivelast settled Jun 1, 2026, EDT

$4,930

—no start of play

13 dto the end

+0.0994% kept

66.7%4 W · 2 L

+0.6

+0.10

57c

-1%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$312	+45.6%	+$142.14
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$265	+60%	+$159.17
May 31, 2026, EDT	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$2,689	+30.7%	+$825.77
May 31, 2026, EDT	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	33c	$1,216	-100%	-$1,215.92
May 4, 2026, EDT	Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	39c	$172	-100%	-$171.85
May 4, 2026, EDT	Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$277	+57.7%	+$159.49
All 6 picks, newest first.

South American Leagueslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT

$322

—too few: 2 picks

160 dto the end

+0.12100% kept

66.7%2 W · 1 L

+0.3

+0.12

55c

+8.7%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 23, 2026, EDT	Will Vasco da Gama win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$28	+43.9%	+$12.2
May 25, 2026, EDT	Will Pumas UNAM win Liga MX?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$169	+82.3%	+$138.79
May 25, 2026, EDT	Will Cruz Azul win Liga MX?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	41c	$126	-100%	-$125.65
All 3 picks, newest first.

MLB Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT

$460

—no start of play

142 dto the end

+0.01out of reach

63.6%7 W · 4 L

+0.4

+0.04

60c

+6.7%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Will Corbin Carroll hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$11	-100%	-$10.72
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$31	+55.5%	+$17.13
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Will Aaron Judge hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$28	+69.8%	+$19.73
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$85	+35.4%	+$29.96
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$42	-100%	-$42.19
Sep 24, 2026, EDT	Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$59	+96.3%	+$56.42
Sep 23, 2026, EDT	Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$50	-100%	-$50.49
Sep 23, 2026, EDT	Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$31	+137.6%	+$42.87
Sep 20, 2026, EDT	Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	22c	$34	-100%	-$33.54
Sep 20, 2026, EDT	Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$42	+46.4%	+$19.65
Sep 16, 2026, EDT	Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 AL Central title?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$47	+32.4%	+$15.18
All 11 picks, newest first.

Us Midtermslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$2,277

—no start of play

18 dto the end

+0.03out of reach

37.5%3 W · 5 L

+0.4

+0.05

33c

-32.2%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	2c	$46	-100%	-$45.91
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	4c	$27	-100%	-$27.1
Oct 23, 2026, EDT	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$25	+58.7%	+$14.8
Jun 5, 2026, EDT	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$320	+85.1%	+$272.63
Jun 5, 2026, EDT	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	43c	$257	-100%	-$256.67
May 27, 2026, EDT	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	15c	$244	-100%	-$243.55
May 27, 2026, EDT	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$529	-100%	-$528.91
May 27, 2026, EDT	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$830	+98.8%	+$819.88
All 8 picks, newest first.

Chess Inactivelast settled Jun 5, 2026, EDT

$1,157

—no start of play

7 dto the end

+0.04100% kept

50%2 W · 2 L

+0.2

+0.04

46c

-12.7%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jun 5, 2026, EDT	Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$674	+26.1%	+$175.96
Jun 4, 2026, EDT	Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$390	+123.2%	+$479.96
Jun 4, 2026, EDT	Will Bibisara Assaubayeva win Norway Chess 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	18c	$55	-100%	-$55.25
May 23, 2026, EDT	Will Vincent Keymer win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$38	-100%	-$37.53
All 4 picks, newest first.

Tweetslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT

$37,970

—no start of play

4 dto the end

-0.02out of reach

158

39.9%63 W · 95 L

+0.8

+0.01

39c

-7.6%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 23, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$47	+54.9%	+$26.04
Oct 22, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$138	+37.2%	+$51.28
Oct 21, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$113	-100%	-$113.23
Oct 21, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	33c	$12	-100%	-$12.37
Oct 20, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	37c	$102	+168.1%	+$170.88
Oct 20, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	5c	$18	-100%	-$18.48
Oct 19, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$26	+53.8%	+$14
Oct 18, 2026, EDT	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$33	+51.5%	+$17
Oct 17, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$111	-100%	-$110.65
Oct 16, 2026, EDT	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	17c	$18	-100%	-$18.38
Oct 16, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$123	-100%	-$122.73
Oct 16, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	17c	$11	-100%	-$10.92
Oct 16, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	3c	$14	-100%	-$14.41
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$41	+47.1%	+$19.2
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$53	+31.6%	+$16.8
Oct 14, 2026, EDT	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$21	-100%	-$20.6
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	13c	$13	-100%	-$12.91
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	19c	$50	-100%	-$49.96
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$30	+33.3%	+$10.03
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$115	+47.7%	+$54.88
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$139	+32.8%	+$45.74
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$11	+85.2%	+$9.2
Oct 10, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$79	+52.8%	+$41.44
Oct 9, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$77	+56.3%	+$43.2
Oct 9, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	34c	$31	+191.8%	+$59.13
Showing 25 of 158 picks, newest first.

NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 26, 2026, EDT

$5,743

—no start of play

16 dto the end

+0.01out of reach

50%3 W · 3 L

+0.1

+0.02

48c

-13.4%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jun 26, 2026, EDT	Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	18c	$147	-100%	-$146.84
Jun 11, 2026, EDT	Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$209	-100%	-$209.41
Jun 11, 2026, EDT	Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$140	+95.7%	+$134.31
Jun 2, 2026, EDT	Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	14c	$17	-100%	-$16.88
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$3,114	+34.7%	+$1,079.24
May 31, 2026, EDT	Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$2,115	+89.1%	+$1,885.74
All 6 picks, newest first.

La Liga Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT

$91

—no start of play

1 dto the end

+0.03out of reach

50%1 W · 1 L

+0.1

+0.04

46c

+35.1%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
May 24, 2026, EDT	Will Lamine Yamal lead LaLiga in assists for the 2025-26 season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$54	-100%	-$54.05
May 23, 2026, EDT	Will Luis Milla lead LaLiga in assists for the 2025-26 season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	37c	$37	+170.3%	+$63
All 2 picks, newest first.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled May 28, 2026, EDT

$1,049

—no start of play

17 dto the end

+0.01100% kept

50%1 W · 1 L

0.0

+0.01

49c

-26.9%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
May 28, 2026, EDT	Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$725	+46.2%	+$335.17
May 27, 2026, EDT	Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	31c	$324	-100%	-$324.1
All 2 picks, newest first.

NFL Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT

$256

—no start of play

1 dto the end

-0.09no edge

60%3 W · 2 L

0.0

0.00

60c

-14.2%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Will George Pickens play for Atlanta Falcons in 2026-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$18	+70.6%	+$12.42
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Will George Pickens play for Dallas Cowboys in 2026-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$21	-100%	-$21.3
Jul 12, 2026, EDT	Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$71	+31.6%	+$22.38
Jun 3, 2026, EDT	Will David Njoku play for Los Angeles Chargers in 2026-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	18c	$112	-100%	-$112.31
Apr 24, 2026, EDT	Will Carnell Tate be drafted 7th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$34	+26.6%	+$8.91
All 5 picks, newest first.

Champions League Inactivelast settled May 31, 2026, EDT

$354

—no start of play

25 dto the end

-0.01no edge

50%1 W · 1 L

0.0

-0.01

51c

-35.1%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
May 31, 2026, EDT	Will Vinícius Júnior record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	26c	$87	-100%	-$86.66
May 31, 2026, EDT	Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$267	+29.9%	+$79.83
All 2 picks, newest first.

Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST

$105

—no start of play

6 dto the end

-0.03no edge

50%1 W · 1 L

-0.1

-0.03

53c

-32.4%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Feb 22, 2026, EST	Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$74	+35.2%	+$26.05
Feb 22, 2026, EST	Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$32	-100%	-$31.5
All 2 picks, newest first.

F1 Inactivelast settled May 25, 2026, EDT

$12

—no start of play

1 dto the end

-0.08no edge

0%0 W · 1 L

-0.1

-0.08

-100%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
May 25, 2026, EDT	Will Felix Rosenqvist win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	8c	$12	-100%	-$11.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

Token Launches Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT

$65

—no start of play

49 dto the end

-0.10no edge

0%0 W · 1 L

-0.1

-0.10

10c

-100%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jul 1, 2026, EDT	Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	10c	$65	-100%	-$65.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

UFC Inactivelast settled Aug 16, 2026, EDT

$128

—no start of play

48 dto the end

-0.07no edge

33.3%1 W · 2 L

-0.1

-0.04

38c

-45.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Aug 16, 2026, EDT	Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	17c	$21	-100%	-$20.6
May 17, 2026, EDT	Will Michael Chandler fight Conor McGregor next?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$68	+63.5%	+$43.3
May 17, 2026, EDT	Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	35c	$39	-100%	-$39.28
All 3 picks, newest first.

Premier League Inactivelast settled Jun 29, 2026, EDT

$4,589

—no start of play

22 dto the end

-0.02no edge

28.6%2 W · 5 L

-0.2

-0.02

31c

-53.9%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jun 29, 2026, EDT	Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	6c	$25	-100%	-$25.3
May 24, 2026, EDT	Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	43c	$164	-100%	-$163.66
May 24, 2026, EDT	Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$210	+82.1%	+$172.3
May 22, 2026, EDT	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	2c	$17	-100%	-$16.63
May 17, 2026, EDT	Will Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	11c	$53	-100%	-$52.8
May 16, 2026, EDT	Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	27c	$1,146	-100%	-$1,145.96
May 16, 2026, EDT	Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$2,975	+40.6%	+$1,207.25
All 7 picks, newest first.

Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Jul 29, 2026, EDT

$68

—no start of play

50 dto the end

-0.12no edge

0%0 W · 2 L

-0.2

-0.09

-100%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jul 29, 2026, EDT	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	15c	$15	-100%	-$15.07
Jun 17, 2026, EDT	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	3c	$53	-100%	-$53.13
All 2 picks, newest first.

Golf Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT

$1,268

—too few: 3 picks

3 dto the end

-0.15no edge

40%2 W · 3 L

-0.2

-0.04

44c

-47.1%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
May 24, 2026, EDT	Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$394	+35.3%	+$139.13
May 24, 2026, EDT	Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	33c	$162	-100%	-$161.77
May 18, 2026, EDT	Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	23c	$273	-100%	-$273.27
May 17, 2026, EDT	Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$387	+29%	+$112.32
May 3, 2026, EDT	Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	14c	$52	-100%	-$52.45
All 5 picks, newest first.

Ukrainelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT

$3,632

—no start of play

4 dto the end

-0.03no edge

42.9%3 W · 4 L

-0.2

-0.03

46c

-38.1%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 23, 2026, EDT	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$19	+57.9%	+$11
Sep 25, 2026, EDT	Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$26	+33.3%	+$8.75
Sep 25, 2026, EDT	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	31c	$193	-100%	-$193.32
Sep 25, 2026, EDT	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$65	-100%	-$64.76
Sep 21, 2026, EDT	Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	15c	$15	-100%	-$14.63
Sep 21, 2026, EDT	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$335	+41.8%	+$140.02
Sep 21, 2026, EDT	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	18c	$2,979	-100%	-$2,978.79
All 7 picks, newest first.

Ncaa Basketballlast settled Jun 23, 2026, EDT

$396

—no start of play

50 dto the end

-0.21no edge

0%0 W · 1 L

-0.2

-0.21

21c

-100%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jun 23, 2026, EDT	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	21c	$396	-100%	-$395.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

CS2last settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT

$7,649

—no start of play

7 dto the end

-0.04no edge

50%5 W · 5 L

-0.3

-0.03

53c

+7.2%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDT	Will Falcons Win the Thunderpick World Championship 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$269	+51.5%	+$138.72
Oct 11, 2026, EDT	Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$885	-100%	-$885.46
Oct 10, 2026, EDT	Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$628	+35.7%	+$224.04
Sep 20, 2026, EDT	Will Vitality Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	39c	$63	-100%	-$63.27
May 24, 2026, EDT	Will Team Falcons win CS Asia Championships 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	33c	$271	+203.3%	+$550.98
May 17, 2026, EDT	Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$2,517	-100%	-$2,516.83
May 17, 2026, EDT	Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$796	+59%	+$469.32
May 17, 2026, EDT	Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$785	-100%	-$784.69
May 16, 2026, EDT	Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	31c	$869	+223%	+$1,937.04
May 3, 2026, EDT	Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	23c	$566	-100%	-$565.86
All 10 picks, newest first.

Euroleague Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT

$600

—no start of play

5 dto the end

-0.29no edge

0%0 W · 1 L

-0.3

-0.29

29c

-100%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
May 24, 2026, EDT	Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	29c	$600	-100%	-$599.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

Valorantlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT

$644

—no start of play

10 dto the end

-0.08no edge

60%3 W · 2 L

-0.4

-0.08

68c

-18%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 18, 2026, EDT	Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$153	+27.9%	+$42.58
Oct 18, 2026, EDT	Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$95	-100%	-$95.3
Oct 17, 2026, EDT	Will 100 Thieves win VALORANT Champions 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$247	+46.5%	+$114.77
May 25, 2026, EDT	Will Leviatán win VCT 2026: Americas League Stage 1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$86	+35.6%	+$30.45
May 25, 2026, EDT	Will G2 Esports win VCT 2026: Americas League Stage 1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$63	-100%	-$63.33
All 5 picks, newest first.

Stocks Inactivelast settled May 22, 2026, EDT

$758

—no start of play

8 h 02to the end

-0.04no edge

36.4%4 W · 7 L

-0.5

-0.05

41c

-45.4%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
May 22, 2026, EDT	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	27c	$14	-100%	-$14.31
May 22, 2026, EDT	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$38	+38.9%	+$14.84
May 15, 2026, EDT	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	16c	$10	-100%	-$10.39
May 15, 2026, EDT	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $300-$305 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	33c	$66	-100%	-$66.49
May 8, 2026, EDT	Will Google (GOOGL) close at $400-$405 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	14c	$25	-100%	-$25.08
May 8, 2026, EDT	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	39c	$98	-100%	-$98.09
May 8, 2026, EDT	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$156	+61.4%	+$95.47
May 8, 2026, EDT	Will Google (GOOGL) close at $395-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$208	+37.1%	+$77.07
May 8, 2026, EDT	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $410-$420 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	14c	$43	-100%	-$42.95
Feb 20, 2026, EST	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$61	+62.9%	+$38.28
Feb 20, 2026, EST	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	38c	$38	-100%	-$37.9
All 11 picks, newest first.

NBA Inactivelast settled Jul 6, 2026, EDT

$3,122

—no start of play

33 dto the end

-0.10no edge

50%7 W · 7 L

-0.7

-0.05

55c

-8.3%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jul 6, 2026, EDT	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$46	-100%	-$46.2
Jun 23, 2026, EDT	Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	40c	$40	-100%	-$40
Jun 23, 2026, EDT	Will Cameron Boozer be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$16	+26.6%	+$4.2
Jun 23, 2026, EDT	Will Darryn Peterson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$80	+25%	+$20
Jun 14, 2026, EDT	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$470	-100%	-$469.97
Jun 14, 2026, EDT	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$345	+83.5%	+$287.93
Jun 14, 2026, EDT	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$177	+99.6%	+$176.6
May 31, 2026, EDT	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$999	-100%	-$998.73
May 31, 2026, EDT	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	43c	$694	+134.6%	+$934.73
May 31, 2026, EDT	Will Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New York Knicks be the 2026 NBA Finals matchup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	36c	$18	+177.8%	+$31.62
May 31, 2026, EDT	Will San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks be the 2026 NBA Finals matchup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$31	-100%	-$31.13
May 26, 2026, EDT	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	6c	$32	-100%	-$31.77
May 10, 2026, EDT	Will Indiana Pacers receive the first overall pick at the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$79	+36.2%	+$28.78
May 10, 2026, EDT	Will Washington Wizards receive the first overall pick at the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$94	-100%	-$94.46
All 14 picks, newest first.

AIlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$24,315

—no start of play

5 dto the end

-0.06no edge

37.8%31 W · 51 L

-2.3

-0.03

41c

-40.6%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	13c	$22	-100%	-$22.4
Oct 23, 2026, EDT	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$293	-100%	-$293.43
Oct 22, 2026, EDT	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	26c	$130	-100%	-$130.31
Oct 19, 2026, EDT	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$14	+47.1%	+$6.4
Oct 19, 2026, EDT	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	13c	$40	-100%	-$40.29
Oct 18, 2026, EDT	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$150	-100%	-$150.22
Oct 17, 2026, EDT	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	25c	$31	-100%	-$30.66
Oct 16, 2026, EDT	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	19c	$25	-100%	-$24.88
Oct 16, 2026, EDT	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	10c	$19	-100%	-$19
Oct 16, 2026, EDT	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$232	+27.3%	+$63.27
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$97	-100%	-$96.51
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$27	+49.3%	+$13.2
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	13c	$39	-100%	-$38.76
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Gemini Argon released by October 12, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$23	+31.6%	+$7.2
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$14	-100%	-$13.5
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$15	+37%	+$5.4
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	10c	$15	-100%	-$15.11
Oct 6, 2026, EDT	OpenAI resumes training by October 5, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$12	+66.7%	+$8
Oct 5, 2026, EDT	Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 170T tokens the week of September 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$29	-100%	-$29.2
Oct 2, 2026, EDT	Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$56	+64.6%	+$36.15
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$18	+66.7%	+$12
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	8c	$15	-100%	-$15.22
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$277	+28.5%	+$78.91
Sep 23, 2026, EDT	OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$36	+25%	+$9
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$126	+35.3%	+$44.45
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.

Movieslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT

$14,987

—no start of play

4 dto the end

-0.02no edge

35.9%28 W · 50 L

-2.6

-0.03

39c

-43.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 19, 2026, EDT	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$49	+42.9%	+$20.92
Oct 19, 2026, EDT	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$275	+30.6%	+$84.26
Oct 19, 2026, EDT	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$183	+75.3%	+$137.48
Oct 19, 2026, EDT	Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$36	+40.8%	+$14.5
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	46c	$51	-100%	-$51.1
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$111	+35.1%	+$39
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$479	+25%	+$119.91
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$268	-100%	-$268.29
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$126	+29.6%	+$37.41
Oct 5, 2026, EDT	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 34m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$35	-100%	-$35
Oct 5, 2026, EDT	Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$15	-100%	-$14.6
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$316	+124%	+$391.8
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$32	-100%	-$31.84
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$169	-100%	-$169.46
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$29	+56.3%	+$16.2
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	44c	$19	-100%	-$18.88
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$282	+25.8%	+$72.53
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$36	+70.9%	+$25.72
Jul 1, 2026, EDT	Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$1,098	+48.5%	+$532.01
Jul 1, 2026, EDT	No one announced as next James Bond?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	28c	$455	-100%	-$454.74
May 26, 2026, EDT	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11.5m and 12.5m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$204	+36.1%	+$73.76
May 26, 2026, EDT	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 13.5m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$30	+77.6%	+$23.6
May 26, 2026, EDT	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9.5m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$303	+45.8%	+$138.82
May 26, 2026, EDT	Will "The Boroughs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	13c	$59	-100%	-$59.1
May 26, 2026, EDT	Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	9c	$61	-100%	-$61.02
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.

Serie A Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT

$29

—no start of play

5 dto the end

-0.68no edge

0%0 W · 1 L

-0.7

-0.68

68c

-100%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
May 24, 2026, EDT	Will Lecce place 17th for the 2025-26 Serie A season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$29	-100%	-$29.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT

$345

—no start of play

7 dto the end

-0.29no edge

33.3%1 W · 2 L

-0.8

-0.26

59c

-35.1%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 11, 2026, EDT	Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VIII?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$24	-100%	-$23.6
Oct 11, 2026, EDT	Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VIII?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$98	+94.8%	+$92.45
May 25, 2026, EDT	Will PARIVISION win DreamLeague Season 29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$224	-100%	-$224.3
All 3 picks, newest first.

Tennis Inactivelast settled Jun 3, 2026, EDT

$829

—too few: 1 pick

11 h 05to the end

-0.29no edge

33.3%1 W · 2 L

-0.9

-0.29

62c

-42.2%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jun 3, 2026, EDT	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Matteo Berrettini	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$630	-100%	-$630
May 2, 2026, EDT	Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$107	-100%	-$106.56
May 2, 2026, EDT	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$93	+73.3%	+$68.08
All 3 picks, newest first.

Lollast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT

$533

—no start of play

22 dto the end

-0.15no edge

50%5 W · 5 L

-1.5

-0.15

65c

-27%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDT	Will BNK FEARX win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$44	-100%	-$44.4
Oct 14, 2026, EDT	Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$126	+26.7%	+$33.72
Oct 10, 2026, EDT	Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$16	+25%	+$4
Oct 10, 2026, EDT	Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$92	-100%	-$91.56
Jun 14, 2026, EDT	Will LYON win LCS 2026 Spring?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$13	-100%	-$13.4
Jun 14, 2026, EDT	Will Team Liquid win LCS 2026 Spring?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$15	+31.6%	+$4.8
Jun 14, 2026, EDT	Will Bilibili Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$48	-100%	-$48.29
Jun 13, 2026, EDT	Will Cloud9 win LCS 2026 Spring?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$14	+40.8%	+$5.8
Jun 2, 2026, EDT	Will KaBuM! IDL win CD 2026 Split 1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$79	+106.1%	+$83.8
Jun 2, 2026, EDT	Will Keyd Stars Academy win CD 2026 Split 1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$85	-100%	-$84.75
All 10 picks, newest first.

What this wallet holds right now

Last asked 2 hours ago.

Positions on running markets: 2
What they are worth now: $37bought for $54
Settled, not yet cashed: at least 50worth $0

Its 2 running positions

What these columns mean

Position: How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
Paid: Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
Now: What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
Worth: What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.

Market	Position	Paid	Now	Worth
Will Harry Kane be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? (opens in a new tab)backed No	40	91c	47c	$19
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed No	40	45c	45c	$18

Settled bets it has not cashed in

The 5 largest of at least 50 (we keep the 50 biggest per wallet, so a wallet at exactly that number is holding more than we counted). These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.

What these columns mean

Position: How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
Paid: Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
Worth: What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.

Market	Position	Paid	Worth	In the record?
Will Portugal finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled Jun 23, 2026, EDT	221.96	0c	$0	Never scored
Market 0x0113…28d1backed outcome 0	200	9c	$0	Not read yet
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 20? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled Sep 21, 2026, EDT	200	9c	$0	Never scored
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 19? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT	200	9c	$0	Never scored
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled Sep 17, 2026, EDT	200	9c	$0	Never scored

Do these count towards the record above? 4 never will. TailMyPicks scored those markets, and this wallet’s position on them did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away. 1 is not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.

These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.

What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
The position was at least $10.
The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.

Wallet 0x3690…e16f

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Record by category41 Categories

What this wallet holds right now

Its 2 running positions

Settled bets it has not cashed in

Wallet 0x3690…e16f

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Record by category41 Categories

What this wallet holds right now

Its 2 running positions

Settled bets it has not cashed in