TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6070…8a11

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4928.6%14 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.73
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.39
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.39
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.05
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.61
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$3.61
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+127.1%+$77.24
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+328.5%+$68.91
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$7.1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.86
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.91
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+204.2%+$20.6
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$7.18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.72
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$5.95
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.88
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$29.32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$6.48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$12.14
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+147.8%+$17.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$14.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$8.7
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$9.04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$22.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+662.2%+$75.66
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$6.84
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.98
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$19.38
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$9.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.98
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.18
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.13
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.93
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+118.1%+$50.75
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.62
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35%+$5.63
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+130.9%+$38.81
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$9.98
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+541.8%+$59.76
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+71%+$7.26
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$10.99
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.78
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$14.82
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$12.16
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.41
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+128.5%+$15.04
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.49
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.18
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+151.9%+$30.26
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.3%+$9.81
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+387.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+230.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.68
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+422.4%+$84.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$7.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$6.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.