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Wallet 0x7be1…200e

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$135,109 staked over 1,211 qualified picks in 20 categories, 12 of 20 below 50.

59

Best category

Other European Leagues

$1,386 staked over 6 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.09 per pick.

See the full Other European Leagues board
57

Second best

Ligue 1

$398 staked over 5 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.07 per pick.

See the full Ligue 1 board
53

Third best

Europa Conference League

$4,473 staked over 45 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.03 per pick.

See the full Europa Conference League board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be +$252.03 tailing 6 Other European Leagues picks (6 W · 0 L) at $50 each: +84% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Other European Leagues picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category20 Categories

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$1,386—too few: 6 picks6 h 11resells, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled+0.44100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)6100%6 W · 0 L+2.6+0.4456c+84%59
Ligue 1last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$398—too few: 5 picks8 h 01resells, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled+0.3999% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)5100%5 W · 0 L+2.0+0.3961c+68.9%57
Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT$4,473before 84%in play 16%, over 45 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 38 before the start10 h 02to the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled+0.04107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 20 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)4557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.8+0.0454c+3.7%53
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 15, 2026, EDTWill Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-10-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$54+85.2%+$46
Oct 15, 2026, EDTWill Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$40+150%+$60
Oct 15, 2026, EDTWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$138+44.9%+$62
Sep 17, 2026, EDTWill Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$674+56.2%+$378.79
Sep 17, 2026, EDTWill FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-09-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$92+117.4%+$108
May 20, 2026, EDTWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$24+63.9%+$15.21
Mar 19, 2026, EDTAC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$64-100%-$64.48
Mar 12, 2026, EDTWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$98-100%-$98
Mar 12, 2026, EDTWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$24-100%-$24
Mar 12, 2026, EDTVfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$106+88.7%+$94
Feb 26, 2026, ESTWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$189+58.7%+$111
Feb 26, 2026, ESTWill Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-02-26?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$192+56.3%+$108
Feb 26, 2026, ESTFC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$150+100%+$150
Feb 26, 2026, ESTSpread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)VfB StuttgartLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$58-100%-$58.24
Feb 19, 2026, ESTWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$178-100%-$178
Feb 19, 2026, ESTWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)34c$70+194.1%+$135.88
Feb 19, 2026, ESTPFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$150+85.2%+$127.78
Feb 19, 2026, ESTCeltic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$150+56.4%+$84.64
Jan 29, 2026, ESTWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$112+122.2%+$136.89
Jan 22, 2026, ESTWill FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$106-100%-$106
Jan 22, 2026, ESTWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$106+75.4%+$79.96
Nov 27, 2025, ESTWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$85+63.9%+$54.34
Nov 27, 2025, ESTWill FC Porto win on 2025-11-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$200+42.9%+$85.71
Nov 27, 2025, ESTWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-11-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$31-100%-$30.88
Sep 24, 2025, EDTWill Real Betis win on 2025-09-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$52-100%-$51.85
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT$32—too few: 1 pick1 h 57resells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.46100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5+0.4654c+85.2%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 5, 2026, EDTWill FC Seoul win on 2026-09-05?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$32+85.2%+$27.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast settled Oct 9, 2024, EDT$15—no start of play20 h 17to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.42100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4+0.4258c+72.4%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 9, 2024, EDTWill the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$15+72.4%+$10.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$8,218before 81%in play 19%, over 36 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 45 before the start7 h 26resells, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled+0.02105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 17 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.8+0.0256c+6.2%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTBV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$195-100%-$195
Oct 24, 2026, EDTFC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$130+53.8%+$70
Apr 10, 2026, EDTWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$16-100%-$16.28
Mar 1, 2026, ESTEintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$163-100%-$162.93
Feb 28, 2026, ESTWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$224-100%-$224
Feb 28, 2026, ESTWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$268-100%-$268
Feb 27, 2026, ESTWill FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)44c$200+127.3%+$254.55
Feb 22, 2026, ESTWill Hannover 96 win on 2026-02-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$469-100%-$469
Feb 21, 2026, ESTWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$50-100%-$50
Feb 21, 2026, ESTRB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$500+51.5%+$257.61
Feb 21, 2026, ESTWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$139-100%-$139
Feb 21, 2026, ESTWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$100-100%-$100
Feb 21, 2026, ESTWill FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)28c$50+257.1%+$128.57
Feb 15, 2026, ESTWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$400-100%-$400
Feb 15, 2026, ESTWill FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$100+92.3%+$92.31
Feb 14, 2026, ESTWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$301+29.9%+$89.9
Feb 14, 2026, ESTWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$400+77.1%+$308.22
Feb 13, 2026, ESTWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$1,400+58.2%+$814.38
Feb 8, 2026, ESTWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$400+110.7%+$442.95
Feb 7, 2026, ESTWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$150-100%-$150
Feb 7, 2026, ESTWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$100-100%-$100
Feb 7, 2026, ESTWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$300+47.1%+$141.18
Feb 7, 2026, ESTWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$300+33.3%+$100
Jan 31, 2026, ESTWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$200-100%-$200
Jan 31, 2026, ESTWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$200+96.1%+$192.16
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast settled Jan 25, 2026, EST$648—too few: 2 picks1 dto the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 43% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1250%6 W · 6 L+0.1+0.0149c-18.2%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jan 25, 2026, ESTUFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GaethjeWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$18+122.2%+$21.99
Oct 11, 2025, EDTOliveira vs. Gamroton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OliveiraWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$31+100%+$31
Nov 9, 2024, ESTMeerschaert vs. de Ridderon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MeerschaertLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$21-100%-$21
Nov 9, 2024, ESTPinheiro vs. Robertsonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PinheiroLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$29-100%-$29
Nov 3, 2024, ESTBarriault vs. Stoltzfuson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)StoltzfusWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$141+32%+$45.06
Nov 3, 2024, ESTMoreno vs. Albazion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AlbaziLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$26-100%-$26.4
Nov 3, 2024, EDTBlanchfield vs. Namajunason Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NamajunasLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$30-100%-$29.7
Nov 2, 2024, EDTMalott vs. Gileson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MalottWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$50+33.3%+$16.5
Oct 26, 2024, EDTTopuria vs. Hollowayon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HollowayLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$25-100%-$25
Oct 26, 2024, EDTWhittaker vs. Chimaevon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ChimaevWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$102+42.9%+$43.71
Oct 26, 2024, EDTMurphy vs. Igeon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)IgeLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$25-100%-$25
Oct 26, 2024, EDTMagomedov vs. Petrosyanon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MagomedovWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$150+51.5%+$77.32
All 12 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast settled Feb 12, 2026, EST$301—too few: 2 picks5 h 54to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.06156% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 156% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L+0.1+0.0446c-31.5%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Feb 12, 2026, ESTMen's Group C - Germany vs. Denmarkon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GermanyWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$251+37%+$92.68
Feb 12, 2026, ESTMen's Group A - Czechia vs. Canadaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CzechiaLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$50-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$9,452before 84%in play 16%, over 118 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 18 before the start9 h 32to the end, median over 133 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 29 of them sold before the market settled-0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 53 of 118 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)11852.5%62 W · 56 L-1.0-0.0153c+1.5%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDTNewcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$66-100%-$66
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)31c$31+222.6%+$69
Sep 16, 2026, EDTWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$110-100%-$110
Sep 16, 2026, EDTWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$94+112.8%+$106
Sep 12, 2026, EDTWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$128-100%-$128
Apr 10, 2026, EDTWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$16+81.8%+$13.14
Feb 27, 2026, ESTWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$250-100%-$250
Feb 18, 2026, ESTWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)77c$400-100%-$400
Feb 11, 2026, ESTWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$201+115.6%+$231.89
Feb 10, 2026, ESTWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$150+69.5%+$104.24
Feb 10, 2026, ESTWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$159-100%-$159.46
Feb 10, 2026, ESTWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$300-100%-$300
Feb 8, 2026, ESTWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$100-100%-$100
Feb 8, 2026, ESTWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$100-100%-$100
Feb 7, 2026, ESTWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$397+61.3%+$243.2
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$227-100%-$227.38
Jan 31, 2026, ESTWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$143+28.2%+$40.43
Jan 25, 2026, ESTWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$100+117.4%+$117.39
Dec 30, 2025, ESTWill Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$200-100%-$200
Dec 30, 2025, ESTWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$100-100%-$100
Nov 30, 2025, ESTWill Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$50-100%-$50
Oct 20, 2025, EDTWill West Ham win on 2025-10-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$15-100%-$15
Oct 18, 2025, EDTWill Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$99+81.8%+$81
Oct 18, 2025, EDTWill Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$56+131.4%+$73.05
Sep 20, 2025, EDTWill Wolves win on 2025-09-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$30-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$3,998before 76%in play 24%, over 29 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 53 before the start6 h 46to the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled-0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6-0.0254c-2.4%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTComo 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$96-100%-$96
Oct 23, 2026, EDTTorino FC vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$171+69.5%+$118.51
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$62+61.3%+$38
Apr 17, 2026, EDTWill Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$11-100%-$10.76
Mar 6, 2026, ESTWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$173+63.9%+$110.76
Feb 28, 2026, ESTWill Como 1907 win on 2026-02-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$288+38.9%+$112
Feb 20, 2026, ESTWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$303+81.8%+$247.91
Feb 18, 2026, ESTWill AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$182-100%-$182
Feb 16, 2026, ESTWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$183-100%-$183
Feb 15, 2026, ESTWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$100-100%-$100
Feb 15, 2026, ESTWill Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$100+150%+$150
Feb 14, 2026, ESTWill Juventus FC win on 2026-02-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$50-100%-$50
Feb 14, 2026, ESTWill Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$100+143.9%+$143.9
Feb 8, 2026, ESTWill Juventus FC win on 2026-02-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)69c$300-100%-$300.09
Feb 7, 2026, ESTWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$100+244.8%+$244.83
Feb 3, 2026, ESTWill AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$499+56.3%+$280.41
Jan 25, 2026, ESTWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$100+112.8%+$112.77
Nov 29, 2025, ESTSpread: Juventus FC (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Juventus FCLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$201-100%-$200.62
Nov 3, 2025, ESTWill Lazio win on 2025-11-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$65+66.7%+$43.21
Oct 20, 2025, EDTWill Udinese win on 2025-10-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$20-100%-$20
Oct 19, 2025, EDTWill AC Milan win on 2025-10-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$200+67.4%+$134.88
Oct 18, 2025, EDTWill Inter win on 2025-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$98+35.1%+$34.45
Oct 18, 2025, EDTWill Napoli win on 2025-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$91-100%-$91
Sep 21, 2025, EDTWill Inter win on 2025-09-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$31+33.3%+$10.17
Sep 20, 2025, EDTWill Juventus win on 2025-09-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$165-100%-$165.45
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$34,099before 48%in play 52%, over 372 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 min after the start3 h 29to the end, median over 420 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 150 of them sold before the market settled-0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 224 of 379 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)37950.1%190 W · 189 L-5.8-0.0252c-5.2%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTLyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musettion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Flavio CobolliLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$60-100%-$60
Oct 24, 2026, EDTErste Bank Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonegoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Adolfo VallejoLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$49-100%-$49
Oct 24, 2026, EDTAlmaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Stefanos Tsitsipason Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Nikoloz BasilashviliWon (open this pick on its own page)32c$32+212.5%+$68
Oct 23, 2026, EDTSet Handicap: Lorenzo Musetti (-1.5) vs Luca Van Assche (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Lorenzo MusettiLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$47-100%-$46.73
Oct 23, 2026, EDTGame Spread: Jiri Lehecka (-3.5) vs Tallon Griekspoor (+3.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Jiri LeheckaLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$117-100%-$116.8
Oct 23, 2026, EDTEuropean Open: Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundoloon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Clement ChidekhLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$31-100%-$31.2
Oct 23, 2026, EDTNingbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaideron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Iva JovicLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$54-100%-$54
Oct 23, 2026, EDTJapan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Katie BoulterWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$132+35.1%+$46.2
Oct 23, 2026, EDTNingbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrovaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ekaterina AlexandrovaLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$25-100%-$25
Oct 23, 2026, EDTAlmaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarinoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Adrian MannarinoLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$87-100%-$87
Oct 23, 2026, EDTJapan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Lilli Taggeron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ann LiWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$51+75.4%+$38.7
Oct 22, 2026, EDTFort Worth: J.J. Wolf vs Alexander Maarten Jongon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Alexander Maarten JongWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$40+151.1%+$59.99
Oct 22, 2026, EDTGame Spread: Zizou Bergs (-4.5) vs Damir Dzumhur (+4.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Zizou BergsWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$46+117.4%+$54
Oct 22, 2026, EDTGame Spread: Valentin Vacherot (-2.5) vs Luca Van Assche (+2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Valentin VacherotLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$50-100%-$50
Oct 22, 2026, EDTLisbon: Sumit Nagal vs Benjamin Hassanon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Benjamin HassanLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$43-100%-$43
Oct 22, 2026, EDTGame Spread: Jiri Lehecka (-3.5) vs Raphael Collignon (+3.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Jiri LeheckaWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$48+108.3%+$52
Oct 22, 2026, EDTGame Spread: Karen Khachanov (-2.5) vs Tomas Machac (+2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Karen KhachanovWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$46+72.4%+$33.6
Oct 22, 2026, EDTAlmaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanovon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tomas MachacLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$39-100%-$39
Oct 22, 2026, EDTJapan Women's Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Kayla Dayon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Kayla DayLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$27-100%-$27
Oct 21, 2026, EDTEuropean Open: Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnleyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Clement ChidekhWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$51+96.1%+$49
Oct 21, 2026, EDTAlmaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublevon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Adrian MannarinoWon (open this pick on its own page)35c$96+186.8%+$179.1
Oct 21, 2026, EDTAlmaty Open: James Duckworth vs Luciano Darderion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Luciano DarderiLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$49-100%-$49
Oct 21, 2026, EDTJapan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Viktorija Golubicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Viktorija GolubicLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$49-100%-$49
Oct 21, 2026, EDTJapan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Taggeron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tereza ValentovaLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$48-100%-$48.45
Oct 20, 2026, EDTLyon Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Kyrian Jacqueton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Kyrian JacquetWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$46+117.4%+$54
Showing 25 of 379 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$3,101before 77%in play 23%, over 22 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 13 before the start6 h 08to the end, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled-0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.9-0.0460c-8.8%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDTValencia CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$86+75.4%+$64.5
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$50-100%-$50
Apr 22, 2026, EDTFC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$61-100%-$60.59
Mar 6, 2026, ESTRC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$110+81.8%+$90
Mar 2, 2026, ESTReal Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$140+85.2%+$119.6
Mar 1, 2026, ESTGirona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$400+78.6%+$314.28
Feb 16, 2026, ESTWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$200-100%-$200
Feb 15, 2026, ESTWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$254+64%+$162.44
Feb 15, 2026, ESTWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$200-100%-$200
Feb 14, 2026, ESTWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$364+40.8%+$148.68
Feb 8, 2026, ESTWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)68c$442-100%-$442
Nov 30, 2025, ESTSpread: Real Madrid (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Real MadridLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$61-100%-$61.44
Oct 18, 2025, EDTWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$101+37%+$37.22
Oct 18, 2025, EDTWill Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$35-100%-$35
Sep 19, 2025, EDTWill Real Betis win on 2025-09-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$35+96.1%+$33.63
Sep 14, 2025, EDTWill Barcelona win on 2025-09-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$274+31.6%+$86.52
Sep 13, 2025, EDTWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$30-100%-$30
Sep 13, 2025, EDTWill Athletic Club win on 2025-09-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$80-100%-$80
Sep 13, 2025, EDTWill Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$50+61.3%+$30.65
Aug 17, 2025, EDTWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$30-100%-$30
Aug 17, 2025, EDTWill Athletic Club win on 2025-08-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$24+63.9%+$15.34
Aug 16, 2025, EDTWill Barcelona win on 2025-08-16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$45+38.9%+$17.5
Aug 15, 2025, EDTWill Villarreal win on 2025-08-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$30+42.9%+$12.86
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$52,695before 80%in play 20%, over 379 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 43 before the start8 h 24to the end, median over 403 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 68 of them sold before the market settled-0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 245 of 382 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)38251%195 W · 187 L-7.9-0.0253c-1.7%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTHeat vs. Hornetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HeatLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$118-100%-$118
Oct 24, 2026, EDTSpread: Lakers (-5.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LakersWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$122+63.9%+$78
Oct 24, 2026, EDTSpread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Trail BlazersWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$66+51.5%+$34
Oct 24, 2026, EDTSpread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Trail BlazersWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$60+66.7%+$40
Oct 23, 2026, EDTSpread: Raptors (-6.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RaptorsWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$59+69.5%+$41
Oct 23, 2026, EDTRaptors vs. Wizardson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RaptorsWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$188+33.3%+$62.5
Oct 23, 2026, EDTSpread: Magic (-3.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TimberwolvesWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$58+72.4%+$42
Oct 23, 2026, EDTSpread: Thunder (-8.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NuggetsLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$52-100%-$52
Oct 22, 2026, EDTSpread: Cavaliers (-11.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76ersWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$16+156.4%+$24.4
Oct 22, 2026, EDTCavaliers vs. 76erson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76ersWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$59+103.4%+$61
Oct 22, 2026, EDTSuns vs. Trail Blazerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Trail BlazersWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$57+75.4%+$43
Oct 21, 2026, EDTPacers vs. Pelicanson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PacersWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$58+72.4%+$42
Oct 21, 2026, EDTHornets vs. Netson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HornetsWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$45+88.7%+$39.95
Oct 5, 2026, EDTTimberwolves vs. Buckson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TimberwolvesWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$33+53.8%+$17.5
Oct 5, 2026, EDTSuns vs. Pistonson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PistonsWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$29+75.4%+$21.5
Oct 5, 2026, EDTGrizzlies vs. Hawkson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HawksLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$30-100%-$30
May 21, 2026, EDTSpread: Thunder (-6.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpursLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$23-100%-$23
May 1, 2026, EDTSpread: Nuggets (-5.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NuggetsLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$43-100%-$43.2
Apr 30, 2026, EDTSpread: Celtics (-5.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CelticsLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$43-100%-$43.2
Apr 30, 2026, EDTSpread: Knicks (-2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KnicksWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$46+96.1%+$44.1
Apr 23, 2026, EDTSpread: Thunder (-16.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ThunderLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$86-100%-$86.38
Apr 21, 2026, EDTSpread: Celtics (-13.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CelticsLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$26-100%-$25.75
Apr 21, 2026, EDTSpread: Nuggets (-6.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NuggetsLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$43-100%-$42.81
Apr 19, 2026, EDTSpread: Pistons (-8.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PistonsLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$19-100%-$19.19
Apr 19, 2026, EDTSpread: Thunder (-13.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ThunderWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$18+66.7%+$11.71
Showing 25 of 382 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT$8,222before 90%in play 10%, over 69 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 00 before the start13 h 18to the end, median over 79 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled-0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 41 of 71 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)7149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.3-0.0352c+2.7%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$26-100%-$25.5
Oct 21, 2026, EDTClub Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$83+44.9%+$37.2
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$20+150%+$30
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)34c$17+194.1%+$32.99
Mar 11, 2026, EDTFK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$189-100%-$189
Mar 11, 2026, EDTWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$144-100%-$144
Mar 11, 2026, EDTReal Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$122-100%-$122
Mar 11, 2026, EDTParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$124+61.3%+$76
Mar 11, 2026, EDTSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Arsenal FCLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$117-100%-$116.92
Mar 10, 2026, EDTWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$300+50.4%+$151.19
Mar 10, 2026, EDTNewcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$253+48.8%+$123.56
Feb 25, 2026, ESTWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$240+66.7%+$160
Feb 25, 2026, ESTJuventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$244-100%-$244
Feb 25, 2026, ESTJuventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$295+49.3%+$145.2
Feb 25, 2026, ESTAtalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$244+63.9%+$156
Feb 24, 2026, ESTWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$289-100%-$289
Feb 24, 2026, ESTWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)80c$727-100%-$726.51
Feb 24, 2026, ESTWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$575+42.9%+$246.27
Feb 18, 2026, ESTWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)36c$100+177.8%+$177.78
Feb 18, 2026, ESTWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$200-100%-$200
Feb 17, 2026, ESTWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$200+122.2%+$244.44
Feb 17, 2026, ESTWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$200+117.4%+$234.78
Dec 10, 2025, ESTWill Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$175-100%-$175.09
Dec 9, 2025, ESTWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$149-100%-$149
Dec 9, 2025, ESTWill Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$101-100%-$100.66
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast settled Nov 14, 2024, EST$50—no start of play8 h 17to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.65no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.6-0.6565c-100%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Nov 14, 2024, ESTWill Brazil beat Venezuela?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$50-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast settled Mar 8, 2026, EST$260—too few: 1 pick9 h 16to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.64no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.7-0.6565c-100%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Mar 8, 2026, ESTColumbus Crew vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$260-100%-$259.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Parlayslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT$1,534—no start of play—no market to hold—no market price3122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.6-0.0831c-41.2%45
SettledTicketResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 21, 2026, EDTVillena: Daniel Rincon vs Pedro Martinez AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Nuno Borges vs Facundo Acosta AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Jenson Brooksby AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Nicolas Mejia7 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)4c$10-100%-$10
Oct 21, 2026, EDTShanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Nicolas Mejia3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)27c$24-100%-$24
Oct 21, 2026, EDTShanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Jenson Brooksby AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)45c$150-100%-$150
Oct 18, 2026, EDTWuning 3: Beibit Zhukayev vs Yaroslav Demin AND Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Liam Draxl AND Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili AND Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Jie Cui vs Aleksandar Vukic AND Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz5 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)17c$25-100%-$25
Oct 18, 2026, EDTChina Open: Donna Vekic vs Iga Swiatek AND Villena: Daniel Rincon vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez AND Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tianhui Zhang AND Wuning 3: Semen Pankin vs Marat Sharipov AND Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau AND China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun AND China Open: Iva Jovic vs Kamilla Rakhimova AND Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Pavel Kotov AND Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rio Noguchi vs Alexandre Muller9 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)18c$25-100%-$25
Oct 18, 2026, EDTWill Malta win on 2026-10-04? AND Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?4 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)16c$39-100%-$39
Oct 17, 2026, EDTChina Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev AND China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)33c$150-100%-$150
Oct 16, 2026, EDTChina Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik AND Japan Open Tennis Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Jiri Lehecka2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)43c$150-100%-$150
Oct 16, 2026, EDTBosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score AND Will France win on 2026-10-02?2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)46c$75-100%-$75
Oct 14, 2026, EDTChina Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech AND Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar AND China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Mariano Navone AND Japan Open Tennis Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ugo Humbert AND Japan Open Tennis Championships: Holger Rune vs Kyrian Jacquet AND Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe6 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)13c$83-100%-$83
Oct 14, 2026, EDTChina Open: Anna Bondar vs Renata Zarazua AND China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)53c$147-100%-$147
Oct 3, 2026, EDTChina Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys AND Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)43c$150+131.7%+$197.54
Sep 30, 2026, EDTTiburon: Braden Shick vs J.J. Wolf AND Tiburon: Patrick Maloney vs Michael Mmoh AND Szczecin: Laslo Djere vs Luka Mikrut3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)41c$100-100%-$100
Sep 11, 2026, EDTUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton AND Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anna Blinkova2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)50c$33+101.7%+$33.54
Sep 3, 2026, EDTCancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Moez Echargui AND Quebec City: Zizou Bergs vs Andrea Pellegrino AND Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz AND Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Rodrigo Pacheco4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)25c$14-100%-$14
Sep 2, 2026, EDTCincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul AND Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensik AND Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashima AND Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Tyler Zink AND Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobolli AND Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti6 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)12c$22-100%-$22
Sep 2, 2026, EDTSet Handicap: Royer (-1.5) vs Zink (+1.5) AND Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5) AND Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashima AND Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)7c$14-100%-$14
Sep 2, 2026, EDTCincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensik AND Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Tyler Zink AND Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobolli3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)38c$30-100%-$30
Sep 1, 2026, EDTCincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges AND Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5) AND Set Handicap: Royer (-1.5) vs Miguel (+1.5) AND Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)13c$12-100%-$12
Aug 28, 2026, EDTCincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakis AND Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzak AND Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksby3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)27c$20-100%-$20
Aug 28, 2026, EDTCincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakis AND Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzak2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)45c$16-100%-$16
Aug 28, 2026, EDTCincinnati Open: Vit Kopriva vs Quentin Halys AND Cincinnati Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Assche AND Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzak AND Cincinnati Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Adolfo Vallejo AND Todi: Marco Cecchinato vs Juan Bautista Torres AND Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti6 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)8c$12-100%-$12
Aug 28, 2026, EDTSet Handicap: Halys (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5) AND Set Handicap: Jacquet (-1.5) vs Vallejo (+1.5)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)22c$20-100%-$20
Aug 28, 2026, EDTTodi: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Agustin Gomez AND Hamburg: Carlos Taberner vs Jan Kumstat2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)44c$15-100%-$15
Aug 28, 2026, EDTCincinnati Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Lucrezia Stefanini AND Cincinnati Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Assche AND Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)20c$20-100%-$20
Aug 28, 2026, EDTCincinnati Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hubert Hurkacz AND Cincinnati Open: Valentin Royer vs Stefanos Tsitsipas AND Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)39c$20-100%-$20
Aug 18, 2026, EDTSet Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5) AND Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)62c$50+61.8%+$30.91
Aug 17, 2026, EDTCincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo AND Cincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Jakub Mensik2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)52c$30+90.5%+$27.16
Aug 14, 2026, EDTSet Handicap: Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Shimabukuro (+1.5) AND Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Royer (+1.5)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)30c$15+237.6%+$35.64
Aug 13, 2026, EDTNational Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima AND Cincinnati Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Terence Atmane2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)48c$40+106.8%+$42.74
Aug 13, 2026, EDTSet Handicap: Atmane (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5) AND Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)20c$23+393.3%+$90.47
All 31 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.
NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$4,586before 89%in play 11%, over 35 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 30 before the start5 h 47to the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled-0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.9-0.0863c-9.3%45
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTKHL: Torpedo vs. Dinamo Minskon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TorpedoLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$115-100%-$115.18
Oct 21, 2026, EDTKHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Torpedoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TorpedoWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$43+85.2%+$36.79
Oct 21, 2026, EDTKHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Metallurg MagnitogorskLost (open this pick on its own page)71c$142-100%-$142
Oct 18, 2026, EDTKHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Metallurg MagnitogorskWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$69+44.9%+$30.99
Oct 18, 2026, EDTKHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Traktoron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Avangard OmskWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$67+49.3%+$33
Oct 18, 2026, EDTKHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CSKA MoscowWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$73+37%+$27
Oct 16, 2026, EDTKHL: Torpedo vs. HC Dynamo Moscowon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TorpedoWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$147+69.6%+$102.6
Oct 14, 2026, EDTKHL: Barys Astana vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Barys AstanaWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$27+100%+$27.28
Oct 14, 2026, EDTKHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Sibir Novosibirskon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Salavat Yulaev UfaLost (open this pick on its own page)68c$27-100%-$27.2
Oct 8, 2026, EDTKHL: Torpedo vs. Severstal Cherepovetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TorpedoLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$124-100%-$124
Oct 8, 2026, EDTKHL: Traktor vs. Amur Khabarovskon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TraktorLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$129-100%-$128.85
Oct 6, 2026, EDTKHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Torpedoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TorpedoWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$47+111.7%+$52.76
Oct 3, 2026, EDTKHL: CSKA Moscow vs. HC Dynamo Moscowon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CSKA MoscowWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$122+64.1%+$78.14
Oct 2, 2026, EDTKHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Traktoron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ak Bars KazanLost (open this pick on its own page)69c$137-100%-$137.01
Oct 2, 2026, EDTKHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Sibir Novosibirskon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Salavat Yulaev UfaLost (open this pick on its own page)68c$205-100%-$205.41
Oct 1, 2026, EDTKHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Admiral Vladivostokon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Severstal CherepovetsLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$297-100%-$297.36
Sep 30, 2026, EDTKHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Sibir Novosibirskon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Lokomotiv YaroslavlWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$150+33.3%+$50
Sep 30, 2026, EDTKHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Metallurg MagnitogorskLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$98-100%-$98.18
Sep 30, 2026, EDTKHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Barys Astanaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ak Bars KazanWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$114+52.3%+$59.61
Sep 19, 2026, EDTKHL: Amur Khabarovsk vs. HC Dynamo Moscowon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HC Dynamo MoscowLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$194-100%-$194
Sep 19, 2026, EDTKHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Severstal Cherepovetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Admiral VladivostokWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$203+96.9%+$196.9
Sep 18, 2026, EDTKHL: Torpedo vs. CSKA Moscowon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TorpedoLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$130-100%-$130.45
Sep 18, 2026, EDTKHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omskon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Lokomotiv YaroslavlWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$238+67.8%+$161.6
Sep 18, 2026, EDTKHL: HC Sochi vs. Ak Bars Kazanon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ak Bars KazanLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$288-100%-$288
Sep 18, 2026, EDTKHL: Traktor vs. Spartak Moscowon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Spartak MoscowWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$106+88.7%+$94
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast settled Nov 16, 2024, EST$148—no start of play3 h 50to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.29no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)50%0 W · 5 L-1.5-0.3030c-100%45
Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2025, EDT$1,495before 93%in play 7%, over 28 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 32 before the start9 h 21to the end, median over 32 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled-0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.7-0.1053c-27.8%44
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 12, 2025, EDTWill Denmark win on 2025-10-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$100+65.4%+$65.39
Oct 11, 2025, EDTWill Serbia win on 2025-10-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$25-100%-$25
Sep 8, 2025, EDTWill Sweden win on 2025-09-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$25-100%-$25
Sep 8, 2025, EDTWill Italy win on 2025-09-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$25+40.8%+$10.24
Sep 7, 2025, EDTWill Georgia win on 2025-09-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$19+37%+$7.01
Sep 4, 2025, EDTWill United Arab Emirates win on 2025-09-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$10+53.8%+$5.65
Nov 17, 2024, ESTWill Belgium beat Israel?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$108-100%-$108
Nov 17, 2024, ESTWill Italy beat France?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$30-100%-$30
Nov 16, 2024, ESTWill Sweden beat Slovakia?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$100+74.1%+$74.11
Nov 16, 2024, ESTWill Turkey beat Wales?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$100-100%-$100
Nov 15, 2024, ESTWill Spain beat Denmark?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$50+104.1%+$52.04
Nov 15, 2024, ESTWill Switzerland beat Serbia?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$50-100%-$50
Nov 15, 2024, ESTWill Croatia beat Scotland?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$50-100%-$50
Nov 15, 2024, ESTWill the match between Cyprus and Lithuania end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$15-100%-$15
Nov 14, 2024, ESTWill the match between Belgium and Italy end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$32-100%-$32
Oct 15, 2024, EDTWill Spain beat Serbia?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$176+35.2%+$62.03
Oct 15, 2024, EDTWill Croatia beat Poland?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$65-100%-$65
Oct 15, 2024, EDTWill Portugal beat Scotland?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$166-100%-$165.6
Oct 14, 2024, EDTWill France beat Belgium?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$16+138.1%+$22.1
Oct 14, 2024, EDTWill Turkey beat Iceland?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$15+100%+$15
Oct 14, 2024, EDTWill Germany beat Netherlands?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$75+78.6%+$58.93
Oct 13, 2024, EDTWill England beat Finland?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$85+28.2%+$24.03
Oct 12, 2024, EDTWill the match between Poland and Portugal end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$15-100%-$15
Oct 12, 2024, EDTWill Switzerland beat Serbia? on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$14-100%-$14.4
Oct 12, 2024, EDTWill Croatia beat Scotland?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$20-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.