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Wallet 0xe361…bf48
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xe361500f7644245559c48a3199f6d8ca7cf7bf48
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$65,769 staked over 1,368 qualified picks in 31 categories, 18 of 31 below 50.
Best category
Ligue 1
$547 staked over 12 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Ligue 1 boardSecond best
World Politics
$1,128 staked over 37 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full World Politics boardThird best
Champions League
$4,419 staked over 70 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Champions League boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
You’d be +$264.16 tailing 12 Ligue 1 picks (7 W · 5 L) at $50 each: +44% per pick.
A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Ligue 1 picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.
Record by category31 Categories
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Ligue 1last settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $547 | before 33%in play 67%, over 12 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min after the start | 1 h 50resells, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2096% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5 | +0.21 | 38c | +44% | 57 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $1,128 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 58 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 39 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1098% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.8 | +0.10 | 22c | +10.6% | 57 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $4,419 | before 10%in play 90%, over 70 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min after the start | 2 h 58to the end, median over 95 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0891% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 65 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +5.8 | +0.08 | 30c | +39.3% | 57 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,174 | before 8%in play 92%, over 106 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 44 min after the start | 3 h 14to the end, median over 214 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 63 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 101 of 107 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +6.1 | +0.06 | 40c | +19.6% | 55 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $737 | before 0%in play 100%, over 11 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min after the start | 1 h 28resells, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1291% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 9 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5 | +0.13 | 41c | +10.5% | 55 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $1,550 | before 0%in play 100%, over 41 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min after the start | 2 h 14resells, median over 71 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 36 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1 | +0.03 | 49c | +4.5% | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Mar 4, 2026, EST | $35 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.22102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4 | +0.22 | 28c | +35.1% | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Apr 1, 2026, EDT | $252 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0699% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5 | +0.06 | 16c | -16.6% | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,569 | before 19%in play 81%, over 124 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min after the start | 4 h 11to the end, median over 269 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 83 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0185% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 85% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 87 of 124 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +2.1 | +0.02 | 39c | +5.9% | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Venezuela Inactivelast settled Dec 24, 2025, EST | $68 | —no start of play | 10 h 08resells, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4 | +0.10 | 15c | -3.8% | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,463 | before 19%in play 81%, over 75 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min after the start | 3 h 38to the end, median over 131 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 55 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 15% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 68 of 76 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.3 | +0.02 | 38c | -6.1% | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Dec 31, 2025, EST | $200 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06112% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 112% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3 | +0.06 | 11c | -49.5% | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,388 | before 11%in play 89%, over 47 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min after the start | 2 h 18to the end, median over 83 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 41 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 40 of 47 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 40c | +5.7% | 50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $1,056 | before 20%in play 80%, over 20 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 min after the start | 4 h 06to the end, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3 | -0.01 | 36c | -20.2% | 49 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Dec 7, 2025, EST | $31 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2 | -0.23 | 23c | -100% | 49 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,546 | before 4%in play 96%, over 50 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 3 h 49to the end, median over 113 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 48 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 41 of 50 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.7 | -0.01 | 41c | +1.6% | 49 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Jan 8, 2026, EST | $33 | —no start of play | 21 h 20resells, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3 | -0.14 | 14c | -100% | 49 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Movies Inactivelast settled Mar 16, 2026, EDT | $23 | —no start of play | 17 h 32to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.37no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4 | -0.36 | 36c | -100% | 48 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Aug 17, 2026, EDT | $232 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5 | -0.07 | 21c | -63% | 48 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $203 | —too few: 6 picks | 1 h 41to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5 | -0.09 | 42c | -31.9% | 48 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $21,060 | before 11%in play 89%, over 428 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min after the start | 2 h 59to the end, median over 903 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 264 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 375 of 429 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 429 | 33.6%144 W · 285 L | -8.9 | -0.02 | 36c | -15.9% | 48 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Jan 31, 2026, EST | $101 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.31no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6 | -0.31 | 31c | -100% | 47 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,502 | before 7%in play 93%, over 95 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 min after the start | 3 h 16to the end, median over 185 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 82 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 89 of 95 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -3.1 | -0.03 | 35c | -10.4% | 47 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Feb 5, 2026, EST | $36 | —too few: 2 picks | 3 h 24to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.43no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7 | -0.35 | 35c | -100% | 47 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $329 | before 0%in play 100%, over 10 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 min after the start | 3 h 53to the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0 | -0.10 | 40c | -18.1% | 47 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Feb 1, 2026, EST | $87 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.24no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9 | -0.23 | 23c | -100% | 46 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $2,897 | before 4%in play 96%, over 46 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min after the start | 3 h 17to the end, median over 67 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 42 of 46 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.4 | -0.05 | 38c | -8.8% | 46 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,517 | before 14%in play 86%, over 36 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 21 min after the start | 4 h 13to the end, median over 69 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 31 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.9 | -0.08 | 38c | -26.6% | 45 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Mar 4, 2026, EST | $480 | before 0%in play 100%, over 12 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min after the start | 3 h 39to the end, median over 32 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.21no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2 | -0.18 | 35c | -61.5% | 43 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $1,566 | before 10%in play 90%, over 52 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 min after the start | 3 h 09to the end, median over 96 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 39 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 48 of 53 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.9 | -0.09 | 38c | -38.7% | 43 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Parlayslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $1,540 | —no start of play | —no market to hold | —no market price | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -11.7 | -0.26 | 30c | -87.3% | 31 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 8
- What they are worth now
- $1,143bought for $1,053
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 47worth $0
Its 8 running positions
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 487.32 | 38c | 62c | $302 |
| Steelers vs. Saints (opens in a new tab)backed Saints | 657.89 | 38c | 38c | $247 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 482.93 | 37c | 36c | $171 |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round by 3%-6%? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 621.83 | 21c | 26c | $159 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 462.02 | 32c | 30c | $136 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 987.5 | 8c | 7c | $64 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 169.23 | 26c | 25c | $42 |
| Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 452.96 | 8c | 5c | $21 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 47. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-16? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 358.33 | 60c | $0 | Counted |
| Mallorca: Laura Pigossi vs Nuria Brancaccio (opens in a new tab)backed Laura Pigossi · settled | 286.96 | 11c | $0 | Counted |
| Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev (opens in a new tab)backed Alexander Blockx · settled | 184.62 | 18c | $0 | Counted |
| Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-21? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 151.68 | 31c | $0 | Counted |
| Cherbourg: Murphy Cassone vs Pavel Kotov (opens in a new tab)backed Murphy Cassone · settled | 140 | 5c | $0 | Never scored |
Do these count towards the record above? 4 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 never will. TailMyPicks scored that market, and this wallet’s position on it did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.