Wallet 0x045c…5861

https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x045cd8e01b05b865843a8df13784add60fdd5861

Polymarket

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$18,717 staked over 487 qualified picks in 34 categories, 13 of 34 below 50.

Best category

Fifa International

$1,393 staked over 46 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.15 per pick.

See the full Fifa International board

Second best

Stocks

$222 staked over 3 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.07 per pick.

See the full Stocks board

Third best

College Football

$41 staked over 3 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.05 per pick.

See the full College Football board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be +$997.83 tailing 46 Fifa International picks (33 W · 13 L) at $50 each: +43.4% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Fifa International picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category34 Categories

What these columns mean

Category: The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked: The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets: Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds: How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price: What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks: Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate: How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected: Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge: Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry: The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick: The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score: The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.

Category

Staked

When it bets

Holds

At your price

Qualified picks

Win rate

vs expected

Realizable edge

Avg entry

ROI per pick

Tail Score

Fifa Internationallast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT

$1,393

before 76%in play 24%

3 h 46to the end

+0.2398% kept

71.7%33 W · 13 L

+10.5

+0.23

49c

+43.4%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 26, 2026, EDT	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yamal	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$18	-100%	-$18
Oct 6, 2026, EDT	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$59	+122.2%	+$71.5
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	8c	$51	-100%	-$51.35
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	14c	$99	+629.9%	+$624.56
Jul 15, 2026, EDT	England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$26	+111.5%	+$29
Jul 14, 2026, EDT	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$30	-100%	-$30
Jul 14, 2026, EDT	Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$11	-100%	-$10.91
Jul 12, 2026, EDT	Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$150	+35.1%	+$52.7
Jul 11, 2026, EDT	Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$20	+104.1%	+$20.4
Jul 10, 2026, EDT	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$20	+67.4%	+$13.47
Jul 10, 2026, EDT	Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	44c	$11	+125.2%	+$13.89
Jul 10, 2026, EDT	Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Spain	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$60	+35.1%	+$21.08
Jul 10, 2026, EDT	Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Won (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$17	+78.6%	+$13.2
Jul 9, 2026, EDT	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	31c	$21	-100%	-$20.6
Jul 7, 2026, EDT	Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 3.5 Cornerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$12	-100%	-$11.8
Jul 7, 2026, EDT	Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$15	+92.3%	+$13.85
Jul 5, 2026, EDT	Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 4.5 Cornerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$18	+66.7%	+$12
Jul 4, 2026, EDT	Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$15	+72.4%	+$10.86
Jul 2, 2026, EDT	Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Won (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$63	+58.7%	+$36.74
Jul 1, 2026, EDT	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	0c	$30	-100%	-$30
Jul 1, 2026, EDT	Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$30	-100%	-$30
Jun 30, 2026, EDT	Spread: France (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	France	Won (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$16	+88.7%	+$14.1
Jun 30, 2026, EDT	Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$23	+72.4%	+$16.8
Jun 30, 2026, EDT	Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Won (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$10	+96.1%	+$9.8
Jun 30, 2026, EDT	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	5c	$11	-100%	-$11
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.

Stocks Inactivelast settled Jul 31, 2026, EDT

$222

—no start of play

14 dto the end

+0.6095% kept

100%3 W · 0 L

+1.9

+0.62

38c

+212%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jul 31, 2026, EDT	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	22c	$16	+352.6%	+$56.42
Jul 31, 2026, EDT	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$11	+212.5%	+$23.8
Jun 3, 2026, EDT	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$195	+71%	+$138.35
All 3 picks, newest first.

College Football Inactivelast settled Jan 20, 2026, EST

$41

—too few: 2 picks

17 h 49to the end

+0.54109% kept

100%3 W · 0 L

+1.5

+0.50

50c

+107.9%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jan 20, 2026, EST	Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	37c	$15	+170.3%	+$25.2
Dec 27, 2025, EST	Georgia Tech vs. BYUon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	BYU	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$11	+68.2%	+$7.43
Aug 30, 2025, EDT	Texas vs. Ohio Stateon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Ohio State	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$15	+85.2%	+$12.78
All 3 picks, newest first.

World Politics Inactivelast settled Aug 2, 2026, EDT

$309

—no start of play

2 dresells

+0.38100% kept

100%4 W · 0 L

+1.5

+0.38

62c

+76.6%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Aug 2, 2026, EDT	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	37c	$13	+174%	+$22.22
Jul 6, 2026, EDT	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$186	+29.1%	+$54.13
Jun 19, 2026, EDT	Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$81	+39.5%	+$31.84
Jan 19, 2026, EST	Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$30	+63.9%	+$19.18
All 4 picks, newest first.

Boxing Inactivelast settled Jul 25, 2026, EDT

$716

—no start of play

14 h 10to the end

+0.1990% kept

66.7%4 W · 2 L

+1.3

+0.21

45c

+35.1%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jul 25, 2026, EDT	La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefgon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	TheGrefg	Won (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$246	+49.1%	+$120.79
Jul 25, 2026, EDT	La Velada del Año 6: Samy Rivers vs RoRoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	RoRo	Won (open this pick on its own page)	44c	$386	+127.7%	+$492.83
Jul 25, 2026, EDT	La Velada del Año 6: La Parce vs Fabiana Sevillanoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Parce	Won (open this pick on its own page)	37c	$24	+170.1%	+$41.34
Jul 25, 2026, EDT	La Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käeron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Käer	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	35c	$15	-100%	-$15.05
Jul 25, 2026, EDT	La Velada del Año 6: Clersss vs Natalia MXon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Clersss	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	28c	$14	-100%	-$14
Feb 16, 2026, EST	Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$31	+63.9%	+$19.5
All 6 picks, newest first.

IPO Inactivelast settled Jun 12, 2026, EDT

$179

—no start of play

1 dto the end

+0.4799% kept

100%2 W · 0 L

+0.9

+0.47

53c

+93.6%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jun 12, 2026, EDT	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	46c	$92	+119.1%	+$109.68
Jun 12, 2026, EDT	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$87	+68.1%	+$59.24
All 2 picks, newest first.

Dota2 Inactivelast settled Jan 4, 2026, EST

$31

—too few: 2 picks

3 h 44to the end

+0.46104% kept

100%2 W · 0 L

+0.9

+0.44

56c

+80.4%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jan 4, 2026, EST	Dota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	REKONIX	Won (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$10	+94.2%	+$9.7
Dec 22, 2025, EST	Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Yellow Submarine (BO3)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yellow Submarine	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$21	+66.7%	+$14
All 2 picks, newest first.

Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT

$177

—too few: 1 pick

4 h 28to the end

+0.51116% kept

100%2 W · 0 L

+0.9

+0.44

56c

+77.2%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$137	+75.4%	+$103.69
May 30, 2026, EDT	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$40	+78.9%	+$31.59
All 2 picks, newest first.

Commodities Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT

$1,477

—no start of play

20 h 51resells

+0.04out of reach

57.1%16 W · 12 L

+1.6

+0.06

52c

+6.7%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$21	+138.1%	+$29
Aug 31, 2026, EDT	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$167	-100%	-$166.82
Aug 4, 2026, EDT	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 4?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Down	Won (open this pick on its own page)	40c	$24	+150%	+$36
Jul 31, 2026, EDT	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$19	-100%	-$19.2
Jul 31, 2026, EDT	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$50	-100%	-$50
Jul 15, 2026, EDT	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Up	Won (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$15	+96.1%	+$14.7
Jul 1, 2026, EDT	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$38	+82.3%	+$31.6
Jun 24, 2026, EDT	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$118	-100%	-$117.87
Jun 21, 2026, EDT	Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$31	-100%	-$30.9
Jun 12, 2026, EDT	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of June 8 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$16	+82.5%	+$13.01
Jun 11, 2026, EDT	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Down	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$15	-100%	-$14.8
Jun 9, 2026, EDT	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 8 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$40	+100%	+$40
Jun 9, 2026, EDT	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	30c	$50	-100%	-$49.88
Jun 8, 2026, EDT	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$58	-100%	-$57.91
Jun 5, 2026, EDT	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$154	+32%	+$49.14
Jun 5, 2026, EDT	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 5?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$25	+73.9%	+$18.48
Jun 3, 2026, EDT	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$26	+96.1%	+$24.5
May 29, 2026, EDT	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$50	+65.2%	+$32.59
May 29, 2026, EDT	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$51	+93.8%	+$47.56
May 28, 2026, EDT	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$32	-100%	-$31.55
May 22, 2026, EDT	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 18 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$57	+100.5%	+$57.61
May 15, 2026, EDT	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$75	+78.2%	+$58.5
May 15, 2026, EDT	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$51	+70.8%	+$36.07
May 15, 2026, EDT	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$97	+77.1%	+$74.9
Mar 13, 2026, EDT	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	35c	$103	-100%	-$103.41
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.

Us Politics Inactivelast settled Mar 1, 2026, EST

$111

—no start of play

3 dresells

+0.1990% kept

75%3 W · 1 L

+0.8

+0.21

54c

+36.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Mar 1, 2026, EST	Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	38c	$12	+166.1%	+$19.93
Feb 20, 2026, EST	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$21	+44.9%	+$9.43
Feb 1, 2026, EST	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$44	+35.1%	+$15.6
Dec 25, 2025, EST	Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	35c	$34	-100%	-$33.7
All 4 picks, newest first.

Ukraine Inactivelast settled Sep 21, 2026, EDT

$196

—no start of play

20 dto the end

+0.27101% kept

66.7%2 W · 1 L

+0.8

+0.26

40c

+22.3%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Sep 21, 2026, EDT	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$152	+66.9%	+$101.76
Aug 1, 2026, EDT	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$25	+100.2%	+$25.06
Dec 28, 2025, EST	Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	11c	$19	-100%	-$19.07
All 3 picks, newest first.

UFC Inactivelast settled Dec 13, 2025, EST

$39

—too few: 1 pick

6 h 37to the end

+0.37100% kept

100%2 W · 0 L

+0.7

+0.37

63c

+59.7%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Dec 13, 2025, EST	UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Asplund	Won (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$10	+47.1%	+$4.8
Jun 29, 2025, EDT	UFC 317: Will Topuria To Win By KO/TKO/DQ?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$29	+72.4%	+$21
All 2 picks, newest first.

Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Jul 29, 2026, EDT

$132

—no start of play

10 dresells

+0.35100% kept

100%2 W · 0 L

+0.7

+0.35

65c

+57.6%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jul 29, 2026, EDT	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$115	+30%	+$34.65
Mar 4, 2026, EST	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$16	+85.2%	+$13.8
All 2 picks, newest first.

Serie A Inactivelast settled Jan 23, 2026, EST

$99

—too few: 4 picks

57 minresells

+0.1194% kept

75%3 W · 1 L

+0.5

+0.12

63c

+21%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jan 23, 2026, EST	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$25	+72.4%	+$18.06
Jan 7, 2026, EST	Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$20	-100%	-$19.8
Dec 21, 2025, EST	Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	ACF Fiorentina	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$12	+66.7%	+$8
Dec 14, 2025, EST	Will AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$42	+44.9%	+$18.87
All 4 picks, newest first.

Us Midterms Inactivelast settled May 19, 2026, EDT

$17

—no start of play

6 h 28to the end

+0.40102% kept

100%1 W · 0 L

+0.4

+0.39

61c

+63.9%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
May 19, 2026, EDT	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$17	+63.9%	+$11.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

NHL Inactivelast settled Dec 14, 2025, EST

$33

—too few: 1 pick

7 h 21to the end

+0.40106% kept

100%1 W · 0 L

+0.4

+0.38

62c

+60.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Dec 14, 2025, EST	Hurricanes vs. Flyerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Hurricanes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$33	+60.5%	+$20.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

Valorant Inactivelast settled Jan 23, 2026, EST

$76

—too few: 1 pick

4 h 41to the end

+0.35100% kept

100%1 W · 0 L

+0.4

+0.35

65c

+53.8%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jan 23, 2026, EST	Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	100 Thieves	Won (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$76	+53.8%	+$40.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT

$1,118

—no start of play

3 dresells

+0.0281% kept

52.6%10 W · 9 L

+0.5

+0.03

50c

+3.4%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Aug 1, 2026, EDT	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$25	-100%	-$25.44
Jun 15, 2026, EDT	Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$17	+72.4%	+$12.6
Jun 3, 2026, EDT	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$46	-100%	-$46
Jun 3, 2026, EDT	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$21	-100%	-$20.8
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$26	+96.1%	+$25.14
May 23, 2026, EDT	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$71	-100%	-$70.98
Feb 1, 2026, EST	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	22c	$40	-100%	-$39.6
Feb 1, 2026, EST	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$23	+72.4%	+$16.53
Feb 1, 2026, EST	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$107	+69.9%	+$75
Jan 29, 2026, EST	Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	41c	$150	-100%	-$149.88
Jan 26, 2026, EST	Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$168	+49.3%	+$82.5
Jan 20, 2026, EST	Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 19-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$23	-100%	-$22.5
Jan 13, 2026, EST	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	39c	$20	-100%	-$19.5
Jan 5, 2026, EST	Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 29-January 4?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$14	+112.8%	+$15.9
Jan 1, 2026, EST	Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$35	+73.3%	+$25.42
Jan 1, 2026, EST	Solana all time high before 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$178	-100%	-$177.78
Dec 29, 2025, EST	Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 22-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$103	+55.9%	+$57.4
Dec 29, 2025, EST	Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 22-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	33c	$30	+205.6%	+$61.28
Jun 27, 2025, EDT	Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	39c	$23	+156.4%	+$36.6
All 19 picks, newest first.

Movies Inactivelast settled Jun 1, 2026, EDT

$152

—no start of play

22 h 04resells

+0.01out of reach

50%3 W · 3 L

+0.3

+0.04

46c

+1.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	37c	$25	-100%	-$25
Feb 2, 2026, EST	Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$30	+100%	+$30
Jan 4, 2026, EST	Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$20	-100%	-$19.6
Dec 30, 2025, EST	Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	38c	$15	+163.2%	+$24.8
Dec 22, 2025, EST	Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$10	+45.6%	+$4.69
Dec 22, 2025, EST	Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	31c	$51	-100%	-$51.46
All 6 picks, newest first.

Premier League Inactivelast settled Jan 25, 2026, EST

$41

—too few: 3 picks

4 h 55to the end

+0.08104% kept

66.7%2 W · 1 L

+0.2

+0.08

59c

+26.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jan 25, 2026, EST	Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Won (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$20	+75.4%	+$15.09
Jan 7, 2026, EST	Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Won (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$11	+104.1%	+$11.22
Dec 28, 2025, EST	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$11	-100%	-$10.65
All 3 picks, newest first.

Lol Inactivelast settled Jul 26, 2026, EDT

$1,832

before 17%in play 83%

3 h 03to the end

+0.01190% kept

53.3%32 W · 28 L

+0.4

+0.01

53c

+2.2%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jul 26, 2026, EDT	LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	G2 Esports	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	44c	$48	-100%	-$47.8
Jul 26, 2026, EDT	LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Movistar KOI	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$22	-100%	-$22.5
Jul 26, 2026, EDT	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Anyone's Legend	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	40c	$15	-100%	-$15
Jul 25, 2026, EDT	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Invictus Gaming	Won (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$15	+100%	+$15
Jul 25, 2026, EDT	LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team WE	Won (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$15	+100%	+$15
Jul 24, 2026, EDT	LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Karmine Corp	Won (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$15	+100%	+$15
Jul 24, 2026, EDT	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Movistar KOI	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	38c	$12	-100%	-$12.5
Jul 12, 2026, EDT	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Bilibili Gaming	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$30	-100%	-$30
Jul 4, 2026, EDT	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	T1	Won (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$21	+88.7%	+$18.8
Jul 4, 2026, EDT	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	T1	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$11	-100%	-$10.6
May 10, 2026, EDT	LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Movistar KOI	Won (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$12	+88.7%	+$10.31
Jan 31, 2026, EST	LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Karmine Corp	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$161	-100%	-$160.77
Jan 31, 2026, EST	LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Fnatic	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$184	-100%	-$184
Jan 31, 2026, EST	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	T1	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$25	+85.2%	+$21.3
Jan 31, 2026, EST	LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	JD Gaming	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$15	-100%	-$15.3
Jan 31, 2026, EST	LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	JD Gaming	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$15	-100%	-$15
Jan 31, 2026, EST	LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	JD Gaming	Won (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$14	+112.8%	+$15.9
Jan 27, 2026, EST	Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Invictus Gaming	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$15	+85.2%	+$12.78
Jan 26, 2026, EST	LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Movistar KOI	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$15	-100%	-$15
Jan 26, 2026, EST	LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	SK Gaming	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$30	+71.6%	+$21.47
Jan 26, 2026, EST	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	JD Gaming	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$30	+72.4%	+$21.72
Jan 25, 2026, EST	LoL: Team Heretics vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Heretics	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$50	-100%	-$50
Jan 25, 2026, EST	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Invictus Gaming	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$15	-100%	-$15
Jan 25, 2026, EST	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseveranceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Ninjas in Pyjamas	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$19	-100%	-$18.6
Jan 25, 2026, EST	LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	BNK FEARX	Won (open this pick on its own page)	39c	$12	+156.4%	+$18.3
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.

Middle East Inactivelast settled Aug 18, 2026, EDT

$1,329

—no start of play

2 dresells

0.00no edge

52.2%12 W · 11 L

0.0

0.00

52c

-3%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Aug 18, 2026, EDT	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$107	+77.6%	+$83
Aug 3, 2026, EDT	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$40	+78.6%	+$31.43
Jul 29, 2026, EDT	US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$101	-100%	-$101.3
Jul 5, 2026, EDT	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	48c	$36	-100%	-$36.02
Jul 1, 2026, EDT	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	48c	$26	-100%	-$25.77
Jun 21, 2026, EDT	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	30c	$15	-100%	-$15.1
Jun 17, 2026, EDT	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$11	+138%	+$14.76
Jun 17, 2026, EDT	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	35c	$261	+187.8%	+$490.7
Jun 15, 2026, EDT	Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	37c	$11	+173%	+$19.89
Jun 14, 2026, EDT	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$60	-100%	-$60
Jun 14, 2026, EDT	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	39c	$71	-100%	-$71
Jun 13, 2026, EDT	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$29	+37%	+$10.8
Jun 11, 2026, EDT	Iran closes its airspace by June 8?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	37c	$68	-100%	-$68.24
Jun 11, 2026, EDT	Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$15	+69.5%	+$10.25
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$49	+53.8%	+$26.14
Apr 8, 2026, EDT	US forces enter Iran by April 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	38c	$70	-100%	-$70
Apr 3, 2026, EDT	S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$37	-100%	-$36.6
Feb 28, 2026, EST	US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$50	-100%	-$50
Feb 14, 2026, EST	US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$25	+75.4%	+$18.86
Feb 1, 2026, EST	Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$54	+47.1%	+$25.6
Feb 1, 2026, EST	US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$80	+41.8%	+$33.43
Jan 17, 2026, EST	US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$92	+51.5%	+$47.28
Jun 23, 2025, EDT	Iran strike on Qatar today?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	41c	$21	-100%	-$20.5
All 23 picks, newest first.

Token Launches Inactivelast settled Jan 10, 2026, EST

$277

—no start of play

7 dresells

-0.05no edge

50%1 W · 1 L

-0.1

-0.05

55c

-19.1%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jan 10, 2026, EST	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	48c	$129	-100%	-$129.45
Dec 31, 2025, EST	Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$147	+61.8%	+$90.9
All 2 picks, newest first.

Tennis Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT

$5,943

before 50%in play 50%

4 h 18to the end

-0.01no edge

153

46.4%71 W · 82 L

-1.2

-0.01

47c

-10.1%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcarazon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Carlos Alcaraz	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$40	-100%	-$40.15
Aug 7, 2026, EDT	National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tiranteon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Alexei Popyrin	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$561	-100%	-$560.74
Aug 6, 2026, EDT	National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Lorenzo Musetti	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	44c	$66	-100%	-$66.11
Aug 6, 2026, EDT	Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Marko Topoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Marko Topo	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$395	-100%	-$395.1
Aug 5, 2026, EDT	Collignon vs. Popyrin: Match O/U 22.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$30	-100%	-$30
Aug 1, 2026, EDT	Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalovon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Cameron Norrie	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$15	-100%	-$15
Jul 26, 2026, EDT	Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Alexander Blockx	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	41c	$22	-100%	-$22.5
Jul 26, 2026, EDT	Set Handicap: Blockx (-1.5) vs Assche (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Blockx	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	34c	$15	-100%	-$15
Jul 26, 2026, EDT	Set Handicap: Giron (-1.5) vs Ilagan (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Giron	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$15	+61.3%	+$9.19
Jul 26, 2026, EDT	Zug: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Thiago Seyboth Wildon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Thiago Seyboth Wild	Won (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$16	+81.8%	+$13.5
Jul 26, 2026, EDT	Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winteron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Edward Winter	Won (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$16	+81.8%	+$13.5
Jul 25, 2026, EDT	Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gastonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Hugo Gaston	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	41c	$29	-100%	-$28.7
Jul 24, 2026, EDT	Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Roman Andres Burruchaga	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$13	-100%	-$12.5
Jul 24, 2026, EDT	Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Oliver Crawfordon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Oliver Crawford	Won (open this pick on its own page)	46c	$12	+117.4%	+$14.67
Jul 24, 2026, EDT	Tampere: Maks Kasnikowski vs Hynek Bartonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Maks Kasnikowski	Won (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$12	+122.2%	+$15.28
Jul 24, 2026, EDT	Segovia: Luka Pavlovic vs Mert Alkayaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Luka Pavlovic	Won (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$12	+96.1%	+$12.01
Jul 23, 2026, EDT	Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Ignacio Buseon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Ignacio Buse	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$15	-100%	-$15
Jul 21, 2026, EDT	Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacqueton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Daniel Merida Aguilar	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$25	-100%	-$25
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Estoril Open, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Timofey Skatovon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Pedro Martinez	Won (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$10	+63.9%	+$6.4
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Estoril Open, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Taro Danielon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Taro Daniel	Won (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$15	+100%	+$15
Jul 18, 2026, EDT	Set Handicap: Collignon (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Cerundolo	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$15	+51.5%	+$7.73
Jul 18, 2026, EDT	Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundoloon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$16	-100%	-$15.82
Jul 16, 2026, EDT	Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Matteo Arnaldi	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$15	-100%	-$15.3
Jul 16, 2026, EDT	Bunschoten: Gerard Campana Lee vs Thijs Boogaardon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Gerard Campana Lee	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	44c	$15	-100%	-$15.4
Jul 13, 2026, EDT	Croatia Open: Vit Kopriva vs Dino Prizmicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Dino Prizmic	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$20	+37%	+$7.4
Showing 25 of 153 picks, newest first.

Music Inactivelast settled Jan 2, 2026, EST

$18

—no start of play

3 dto the end

-0.60no edge

0%0 W · 1 L

-0.3

-0.31

31c

-100%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jan 2, 2026, EST	Will SZA release a new song in 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	31c	$18	-100%	-$18.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

La Liga Inactivelast settled May 14, 2026, EDT

$449

before 60%in play 40%

4 h 53to the end

-0.05no edge

53.3%8 W · 7 L

-0.6

-0.04

58c

-8.2%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
May 14, 2026, EDT	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	43c	$69	-100%	-$69.35
Jan 25, 2026, EST	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$24	-100%	-$23.62
Jan 24, 2026, EST	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$13	-100%	-$12.8
Jan 23, 2026, EST	Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$90	-100%	-$90
Jan 3, 2026, EST	Elche CF vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$15	+75.4%	+$11.61
Dec 22, 2025, EST	Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Won (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$21	+88.7%	+$18.8
Dec 22, 2025, EST	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$15	+66.7%	+$10
Dec 22, 2025, EST	Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$25	-100%	-$25
Dec 21, 2025, EST	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$20	+78.6%	+$15.71
Dec 21, 2025, EST	Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Won (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$10	+56.3%	+$5.63
Dec 21, 2025, EST	Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$20	+78.6%	+$15.71
Dec 21, 2025, EST	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	FC Barcelona	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$17	+66.7%	+$11.2
Dec 21, 2025, EST	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$42	+66.7%	+$28
Dec 14, 2025, EST	Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$50	-100%	-$50
Sep 14, 2025, EDT	Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-09-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$18	-100%	-$18.3
All 15 picks, newest first.

MLB Inactivelast settled Jun 24, 2025, EDT

$15

—too few: 1 pick

6 h 49to the end

-0.62no edge

0%0 W · 1 L

-0.6

-0.62

62c

-100%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jun 24, 2025, EDT	Nationals vs. Padreson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Padres	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$15	-100%	-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

AI Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT

$175

—no start of play

15 dto the end

-0.20no edge

33.3%1 W · 2 L

-0.7

-0.23

56c

-49.4%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jul 1, 2026, EDT	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	46c	$37	-100%	-$37.5
Jun 9, 2026, EDT	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$25	-100%	-$25
Feb 1, 2026, EST	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$112	+51.7%	+$57.95
All 3 picks, newest first.

Venezuela Inactivelast settled Jan 4, 2026, EST

$65

—no start of play

6 dto the end

-0.38no edge

0%0 W · 2 L

-0.8

-0.39

39c

-100%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jan 4, 2026, EST	US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	14c	$14	-100%	-$13.5
Jan 3, 2026, EST	Maduro out by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$51	-100%	-$51.4
All 2 picks, newest first.

Parlayslast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT

$736

—no start of play

—no market to hold

—no market price

34.3%12 W · 23 L

-2.0

-0.06

40c

-23.9%

Settled	Ticket	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 25, 2026, EDT	Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score AND Elche CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score AND Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11?3 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	24c	$21	-100%	-$20.9
Oct 11, 2026, EDT	Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score AND Olbia: Filip Pieczonka vs George Loffhagen AND Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 0.5 AND Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11?5 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	31c	$14	+223.9%	+$30.67
Aug 19, 2026, EDT	National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet AND National Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Botic van de Zandschulp2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	55c	$15	-100%	-$15
Aug 19, 2026, EDT	National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar AND Tsitsipas vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 22.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	39c	$15	-100%	-$15
Aug 12, 2026, EDT	Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Kei Nishikori AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	35c	$45	-100%	-$45
Aug 11, 2026, EDT	Vancouver: August Holmgren vs Hugo Grenier AND Los Cabos Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Rodrigo Pacheco2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$15	-100%	-$15
Aug 9, 2026, EDT	Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Andre Ilagan AND Games Total: O/U 2.5 AND Zug: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Thiago Seyboth Wild AND Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayh AND Set Handicap: Blockx (-1.5) vs Assche (+1.5) AND LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season6 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	7c	$10	-100%	-$10
Aug 9, 2026, EDT	Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockx AND Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) AND Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Andres Martin vs Moez Echargui AND LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season4 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	6c	$10	-100%	-$10
Aug 9, 2026, EDT	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend AND LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season AND Set Handicap: Blockx (-1.5) vs Assche (+1.5) AND LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season4 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	6c	$10	-100%	-$10
Aug 7, 2026, EDT	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend AND Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderi AND Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Oliver Crawford AND Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockx4 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	7c	$10	-100%	-$10
Aug 7, 2026, EDT	Estoril Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Assche AND Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverry2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	55c	$25	-100%	-$25
Aug 7, 2026, EDT	Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova AND Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gaston2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	47c	$25	-100%	-$25
Aug 7, 2026, EDT	Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova AND Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderi AND Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gaston3 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	17c	$10	-100%	-$10.3
Aug 7, 2026, EDT	Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosa AND Estoril Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Assche AND Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverry AND Livesport Prague Open: Dominika Salkova vs Barbora Krejcikova4 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	21c	$10	-100%	-$10.3
Aug 7, 2026, EDT	Burruchaga vs. Blockx: Match O/U 21.5 AND Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Assche (+1.5) AND Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverry AND Livesport Prague Open: Dominika Salkova vs Barbora Krejcikova4 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	21c	$10	-100%	-$10.3
Aug 5, 2026, EDT	National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet AND National Bank Open: Titouan Droguet vs Felix Auger-Aliassime2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	60c	$24	+65.8%	+$15.8
Aug 4, 2026, EDT	Livesport Prague Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Barbora Krejcikova AND Generali Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Raphael Collignon2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	51c	$25	-100%	-$24.99
Aug 3, 2026, EDT	Estoril Open: Hugo Gaston vs Damir Dzumhur AND Segovia: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Ilya Ivashka2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	41c	$16	-100%	-$16.48
Aug 2, 2026, EDT	Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain to score first vs. Argentina?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	47c	$15	-100%	-$14.99
Jul 29, 2026, EDT	Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas AND Los Cabos Open: Aidan Mayo vs James Duckworth2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	35c	$15	+184.9%	+$27.74
Jul 29, 2026, EDT	England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	31c	$15	-100%	-$14.99
Jul 22, 2026, EDT	Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5 AND Liege: Sandro Kopp vs Manoj Dhamne Manas2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	54c	$15	-100%	-$14.76
Jul 21, 2026, EDT	Livesport Prague Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Barbora Krejcikova AND Estoril Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jaime Faria2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	56c	$113	+79.8%	+$90.15
Jul 20, 2026, EDT	Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse AND Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinez2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	31c	$15	+221.7%	+$33.25
Jul 18, 2026, EDT	Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5 AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	56c	$15	-100%	-$14.99
Jul 11, 2026, EDT	Norway vs. England: Team to Advance AND Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	45c	$30	+121.1%	+$36.32
Jul 11, 2026, EDT	Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score AND Will England win on 2026-06-27?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	53c	$25	-100%	-$25
Jul 9, 2026, EDT	France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	51c	$15	+96.3%	+$14.43
Jul 7, 2026, EDT	Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverev AND Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	51c	$15	+94.8%	+$14.22
Jul 4, 2026, EDT	Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) AND Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$15	-100%	-$15.19
Jul 3, 2026, EDT	Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance AND Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	50c	$15	+101.8%	+$15.05
Jun 29, 2026, EDT	Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5 Total Corners AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	44c	$11	+128.7%	+$14.79
Jun 27, 2026, EDT	Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$15	-100%	-$15.19
Jun 18, 2026, EDT	Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	58c	$15	+71.5%	+$10.86
Jun 16, 2026, EDT	France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 AND Will France win on 2026-06-16?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	58c	$66	+72.1%	+$47.46
All 35 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.

NBA Inactivelast settled Jul 26, 2026, EDT

$476

before 73%in play 27%

4 h 46to the end

-0.09no edge

47.1%8 W · 9 L

-1.6

-0.09

57c

-17.3%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jul 26, 2026, EDT	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$53	+87.4%	+$46.64
May 30, 2026, EDT	Spurs vs. Thunderon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Thunder	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$30	-100%	-$30
Feb 5, 2026, EST	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$20	+47.1%	+$9.41
Jan 17, 2026, EST	Cavaliers vs. 76erson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Cavaliers	Won (open this pick on its own page)	43c	$35	+132.6%	+$46.4
Jan 17, 2026, EST	Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$34	-100%	-$34
Jan 15, 2026, EST	Spread: Magic (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Magic	Won (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$17	+81.8%	+$13.5
Jan 14, 2026, EST	Spread: Heat (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Suns	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$16	-100%	-$15.9
Dec 28, 2025, EST	Spread: Celtics (-7.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Celtics	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$38	-100%	-$37.89
Dec 28, 2025, EST	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Celtics	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$37	-100%	-$36.92
Dec 21, 2025, EST	Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$32	+69.8%	+$22.2
Dec 21, 2025, EST	Heat vs. Knickson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Knicks	Won (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$28	+45.5%	+$12.5
Dec 21, 2025, EST	Bulls vs. Hawkson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Bulls	Won (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$14	+44.9%	+$6.2
Dec 14, 2025, EST	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Thunder	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$41	-100%	-$41.4
Dec 13, 2025, EST	Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 225.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$15	-100%	-$15
Dec 13, 2025, EST	Spread: Warriors (-4.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Timberwolves	Won (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$22	+96.1%	+$21.52
Dec 12, 2025, EST	Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 245.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$22	-100%	-$22.4
Dec 12, 2025, EST	Spread: Pistons (-7.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Hawks	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$23	-100%	-$22.6
All 17 picks, newest first.

Tweets Inactivelast settled Jan 9, 2026, EST

$56

—no start of play

10 h 30to the end

-0.64no edge

0%0 W · 2 L

-1.1

-0.55

55c

-100%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jan 9, 2026, EST	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$22	-100%	-$22.45
Jun 20, 2025, EDT	Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 13–20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$34	-100%	-$33.5
All 2 picks, newest first.

Euroleague Inactivelast settled Jun 24, 2026, EDT

$151

—too few: 8 picks

4 h 41to the end

-0.41no edge

12.5%1 W · 7 L

-3.2

-0.40

53c

-74.1%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jun 24, 2026, EDT	Barcelona vs. Valenciaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Barcelona	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$20	-100%	-$19.75
Jun 22, 2026, EDT	Barcelona vs. Valenciaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Barcelona	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$12	-100%	-$12.3
Jan 2, 2026, EST	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Maccabi Tel Avivon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Maccabi Tel Aviv	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$32	-100%	-$32.13
Dec 30, 2025, EST	ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Paris Basketballon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Paris Basketball	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$20	-100%	-$20
Dec 30, 2025, EST	Barcelona vs. Monacoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Barcelona	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$21	-100%	-$21.2
Dec 23, 2025, EST	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Panathinaikoson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Panathinaikos	Won (open this pick on its own page)	48c	$13	+107.5%	+$14.29
Dec 11, 2025, EST	Olimpia Milano vs. Panathinaikoson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Panathinaikos	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$17	-100%	-$17.4
Oct 11, 2025, EDT	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Zalgiris Kaunason Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	FC Bayern Munchen	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$15	-100%	-$15
All 8 picks, newest first.

CS2 Inactivelast settled Jul 24, 2026, EDT

$634

before 36%in play 64%

3 h 20to the end

-0.23no edge

30.4%7 W · 16 L

-5.0

-0.22

52c

-44.7%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jul 24, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifieron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Sharks	Won (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$12	+78.6%	+$9.82
Jul 5, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	BIG	Won (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$15	+112.8%	+$16.96
Jun 20, 2026, EDT	Games Total: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$18	-100%	-$17.53
Jan 31, 2026, EST	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Aon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	FURIA	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$70	-100%	-$70
Jan 31, 2026, EST	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Aon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	PARIVISION	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$15	-100%	-$15
Jan 31, 2026, EST	Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Aon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	TheMongolz	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	43c	$15	-100%	-$15
Jan 31, 2026, EST	Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	TheMongolz	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$15	-100%	-$15
Jan 29, 2026, EST	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	G2	Won (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$25	+53.8%	+$13.46
Jan 25, 2026, EST	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	PARIVISION	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$15	+72.4%	+$10.86
Jan 23, 2026, EST	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Spirit	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$25	-100%	-$25
Jan 23, 2026, EST	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	BetBoom Team	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$15	-100%	-$15
Jan 17, 2026, EST	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifieron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Aurora Gaming	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$48	-100%	-$48.5
Jan 16, 2026, EST	Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group Con Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	ARCRED	Won (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$14	+81.8%	+$11.69
Jan 14, 2026, EST	Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs STATE (BO3)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	los kogutos	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$25	-100%	-$25
Jan 6, 2026, EST	Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	MASONIC	Won (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$26	+96.1%	+$24.5
Dec 22, 2025, EST	Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs FORZE Reload (BO3)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	los kogutos	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	28c	$22	-100%	-$22.2
Dec 22, 2025, EST	Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	GenOne	Won (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$11	+76.8%	+$8.29
Dec 21, 2025, EST	Counter-Strike: Phantom vs MINLATE (BO3)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	MINLATE	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	39c	$23	-100%	-$22.51
Dec 21, 2025, EST	Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Tricked (BO3)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	ALGO Esports	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$16	-100%	-$15.6
Dec 14, 2025, EST	Counter-Strike: 500 vs ex-Betera Esports - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	ex-Betera Esports	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$66	-100%	-$65.95
Dec 13, 2025, EST	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Natus Vincere	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$22	-100%	-$22
Sep 14, 2025, EDT	CS: GamerLegion vs Liquidon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Liquid	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$83	-100%	-$82.5
Sep 7, 2025, EDT	Will Vitality win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	46c	$39	-100%	-$38.84
All 23 picks, newest first.

What this wallet holds right now

Last asked 42 minutes ago.

Positions on running markets: 0
What they are worth now: $0bought for $0
Settled, not yet cashed: at least 50worth $0

This wallet holds nothing on a market that is still running. Everything below is settled and waiting to be cashed.

Settled bets it has not cashed in

The 5 largest of at least 50 (we keep the 50 biggest per wallet, so a wallet at exactly that number is holding more than we counted). These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.

What these columns mean

Position: How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
Paid: Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
Worth: What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.

Market	Position	Paid	Worth	In the record?
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (opens in a new tab)backed Alexei Popyrin · settled Aug 7, 2026, EDT	1,001	56c	$0	Counted
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled Jul 29, 2026, EDT	179.29	56c	$0	Counted
Market 0x8b08…5ba2backed outcome 1	177.44	66c	$0	Not read yet
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti (opens in a new tab)backed Lorenzo Musetti · settled Aug 6, 2026, EDT	150.25	44c	$0	Counted
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season (opens in a new tab)backed G2 Esports · settled Jul 26, 2026, EDT	108.04	44c	$0	Counted

Do these count towards the record above? 4 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 is not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.

These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.

What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
The position was at least $10.
The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.

Wallet 0x045c…5861

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Record by category34 Categories

What this wallet holds right now

Settled bets it has not cashed in

Wallet 0x045c…5861

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Record by category34 Categories

What this wallet holds right now

Settled bets it has not cashed in