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Wallet 0xaeed…074b

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$68,782 staked over 468 qualified picks in 24 categories, 13 of 24 below 50.

56

Best category

F1

$8,974 staked over 54 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.06 per pick.

See the full F1 board
55

Second best

Music

$7,678 staked over 47 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.05 per pick.

See the full Music board
55

Third best

Ligue 1

$1,663 staked over 6 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.05 per pick.

See the full Ligue 1 board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be -$100 tailing 2 F1 picks (0 W · 2 L) at $50 each: -100% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified F1 picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category24 Categories

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
F1last settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT$8,974before 91%in play 9%, over 23 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 21 h 50 before the start1 dto the end, median over 90 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 31 of them sold before the market settled+0.0894% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 20 of 54 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)5450%27 W · 27 L+4.6+0.0842c+19.2%56
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 25, 2026, EDTWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$128-100%-$127.97
Oct 25, 2026, EDTWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$840-100%-$840
May 3, 2026, EDTWill Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$220-100%-$220
May 3, 2026, EDTWill Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$17-100%-$16.8
May 2, 2026, EDTWill Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$96+34.5%+$33.07
Mar 29, 2026, EDTWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$178+67.1%+$119.2
Mar 15, 2026, EDTWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$308+159.7%+$491.99
Mar 15, 2026, EDTWill George Russell achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$20+59.9%+$12
Mar 15, 2026, EDTWill Ferrari double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$35+40.8%+$14.5
Mar 14, 2026, EDTWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)28c$159+261%+$414.22
Mar 8, 2026, EDTWill George Russell achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$61+133.5%+$81
Mar 8, 2026, EDTWill there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$256+89%+$228.01
Dec 7, 2025, ESTWill there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$45+122.2%+$54.99
Dec 7, 2025, ESTWill Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$1,141+55.3%+$630.41
Dec 7, 2025, ESTWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$19-100%-$19.45
Dec 7, 2025, ESTWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$58-100%-$57.71
Dec 7, 2025, ESTWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$954-100%-$954.3
Nov 30, 2025, ESTWill Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$12+69.5%+$8.2
Oct 26, 2025, EDTWill Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$12-100%-$11.7
Sep 20, 2025, EDTWill Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$36-100%-$35.8
Jul 27, 2025, EDTWill Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$29-100%-$29.28
Jul 27, 2025, EDTWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$483+123.8%+$597.65
Jul 6, 2025, EDTHamilton vs. Russellon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HamiltonWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$122+63.9%+$78
Jul 6, 2025, EDTWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$221+47.1%+$104
Jun 16, 2025, EDTWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$38+56.3%+$21.6
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast settled May 16, 2026, EDT$7,678—no start of play9 h 29to the end, median over 68 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled+0.08105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 21 of 47 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)4746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.5+0.0739c+18.5%55
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)8c$81-100%-$81.1
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$112-100%-$112.14
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$41-100%-$40.8
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$11-100%-$10.8
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$372+84.8%+$314.9
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$150+48.1%+$71.95
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$66+56.3%+$37.15
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$88+37%+$32.4
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$493+156.7%+$772.77
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$57+115.6%+$66.05
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$75+54.8%+$41.04
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$285-100%-$285.26
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)77c$241-100%-$240.88
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$118-100%-$117.76
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)13c$16+651.4%+$105.99
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$475+42.4%+$201.21
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$230-100%-$230.09
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$801+99.6%+$798.49
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$86+132.2%+$113.86
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$77-100%-$77.43
May 14, 2026, EDTWill Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$22-100%-$22.1
May 14, 2026, EDTWill Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$152-100%-$152.17
May 14, 2026, EDTWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$1,145+118.3%+$1,355
May 14, 2026, EDTWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$80-100%-$80.29
May 14, 2026, EDTWill Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)21c$52-100%-$51.58
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Mar 7, 2026, EST$1,663—too few: 6 picks10 h 41to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.24101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4+0.2443c+40.4%55
Champions League Inactivelast settled May 30, 2026, EDT$15,260before 100%in play 0%, over 73 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 57 min before the start7 h 37to the end, median over 110 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled+0.05102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 43 of 86 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)8653.5%46 W · 40 L+4.5+0.0548c+3.8%54
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
May 30, 2026, EDTWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$377-100%-$377.14
May 5, 2026, EDTWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$155-100%-$154.55
May 5, 2026, EDTWill Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$32-100%-$31.9
Apr 14, 2026, EDTWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)13c$473-100%-$472.86
Apr 14, 2026, EDTWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$14+170.3%+$24.25
Apr 7, 2026, EDTWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$789+56.3%+$443.8
Mar 17, 2026, EDTWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)33c$295+203%+$599.65
Mar 17, 2026, EDTWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$818-100%-$817.92
Mar 10, 2026, EDTWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$589+56.3%+$331.27
Jan 28, 2026, ESTWill Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$1,299-100%-$1,299.2
Jan 28, 2026, ESTWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$20-100%-$20
Jan 28, 2026, ESTWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)13c$13-100%-$13
Jan 28, 2026, ESTWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)36c$36+177.8%+$64
Jan 28, 2026, ESTWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$379-100%-$378.9
Jan 28, 2026, ESTWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)13c$13-100%-$13
Nov 4, 2025, ESTWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)21c$61-100%-$60.69
Nov 4, 2025, ESTWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$306+72.4%+$221.76
Nov 4, 2025, ESTWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$13+58.7%+$7.4
Nov 4, 2025, ESTWill FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)34c$14+194.1%+$26.4
Oct 22, 2025, EDTWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$93-100%-$93.44
Oct 22, 2025, EDTWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$234+40.8%+$95.7
Oct 22, 2025, EDTWill Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$22+38.9%+$8.4
Oct 22, 2025, EDTWill Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$80+244.8%+$195.96
Oct 22, 2025, EDTWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$139+69.5%+$96.92
Oct 22, 2025, EDTWill Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$181-100%-$181.26
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast settled Feb 23, 2026, EST$190—no start of play6 dto the end, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled+0.2799% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)450%2 W · 2 L+1.1+0.2723c+23.1%54
NBA Inactivelast settled May 27, 2024, EDT$296—too few: 2 picks10 h 09to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.38100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8+0.3863c+62.3%53
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
May 27, 2024, EDTDallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves: Game 3on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MavericksWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$121+81.8%+$99
May 26, 2024, EDTIndiana Pacers vs. Boston Celtics: Game 3on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CelticsWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$175+42.9%+$75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2024, EDT$71—no start of play13 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.55100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5+0.5545c+120.1%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 22, 2024, EDTWill India win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$71+120.1%+$85.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast settled Mar 13, 2026, EDT$1,093before 100%in play 0%, over 10 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 09 before the start10 h 22to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.07104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6+0.0644c-2.9%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Mar 13, 2026, EDTWill Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$41+29.9%+$12.19
Feb 14, 2026, ESTWill Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$41+143.9%+$58.99
Feb 8, 2026, ESTWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$33-100%-$33
Feb 7, 2026, ESTWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$43+132.6%+$57
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill Juventus FC win on 2026-02-01?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$30-100%-$30
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-01?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$23-100%-$23
Jan 11, 2026, ESTWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$373+122.2%+$455.4
Aug 30, 2025, EDTWill AS Roma win on 2025-08-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$193-100%-$193.2
Aug 30, 2025, EDTWill Como win on 2025-08-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$224+42.9%+$96
Aug 24, 2025, EDTWill Juventus win on 2025-08-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$93-100%-$92.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast settled Aug 10, 2024, EDT$31—no start of play4 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.22100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2+0.2278c+28.2%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 10, 2024, EDTWill Nelly Korda win Gold in Women's Golf?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$31+28.2%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Feb 13, 2025, EST$40—no start of play33 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.20100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2+0.2080c+25%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Feb 13, 2025, ESTRFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$40+25%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast settled Apr 6, 2026, EDT$3,402before 100%in play 0%, over 20 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 26 before the start9 h 16to the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled0.00593% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 593% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2040%8 W · 12 L0.00.0040c+1%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Apr 6, 2026, EDTGirona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$83-100%-$83.31
Apr 4, 2026, EDTWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$193+170.3%+$328.86
Feb 28, 2026, ESTWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$30-100%-$30
Feb 21, 2026, ESTWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$254+138.1%+$350.3
Feb 8, 2026, ESTWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$39-100%-$39
Feb 8, 2026, ESTWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)34c$34+194.1%+$66
Feb 8, 2026, ESTWill Athletic Club win on 2026-02-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$41-100%-$41
Feb 7, 2026, ESTWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$15-100%-$15
Dec 7, 2025, ESTWill Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)23c$138+334.8%+$462
Dec 6, 2025, ESTWill Real Betis win on 2025-12-06?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$359+29.9%+$107.11
Sep 25, 2025, EDTWill Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$141-100%-$140.8
Sep 23, 2025, EDTWill Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$246-100%-$245.7
Sep 23, 2025, EDTWill Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)34c$360+194.1%+$699.6
Sep 13, 2025, EDTWill Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$245-100%-$244.72
Aug 24, 2025, EDTWill Villarreal win on 2025-08-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$113-100%-$112.7
May 11, 2025, EDTWill Barcelona beat Real Madrid?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$287-100%-$286.65
Oct 26, 2024, EDTWill Barcelona beat Real Madrid?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$121-100%-$120.96
Oct 26, 2024, EDTWill Real Madrid beat Barcelona?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$439+100.3%+$440.5
Sep 29, 2024, EDTWill Atletico Madrid beat Real Madrid?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$29-100%-$28.77
Sep 29, 2024, EDTWill Real Madrid beat Atletico Madrid?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$237+58.7%+$139
All 20 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Mar 21, 2026, EDT$4,732before 92%in play 8%, over 39 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 13 before the start7 h 30to the end, median over 41 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 23 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.4-0.0145c-13%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Mar 21, 2026, EDTWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$133-100%-$132.99
Mar 21, 2026, EDTWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$37+170.3%+$63
Mar 21, 2026, EDTWill SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$216-100%-$215.62
Mar 14, 2026, EDTWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)31c$31+222.6%+$69
Mar 14, 2026, EDTWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$39-100%-$39
Mar 14, 2026, EDTWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$36-100%-$36
Feb 28, 2026, ESTWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$43+132.6%+$57
Feb 28, 2026, ESTWill SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-02-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$41-100%-$41
Feb 28, 2026, ESTWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$37+170.3%+$63
Feb 21, 2026, ESTWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$52+92.3%+$48
Feb 21, 2026, ESTWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$11-100%-$11
Feb 21, 2026, ESTWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$59+69.5%+$41
Feb 14, 2026, ESTWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$35-100%-$35
Feb 14, 2026, ESTVfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$240+122.2%+$293.15
Feb 14, 2026, ESTWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$45-100%-$45
Feb 14, 2026, ESTWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$36-100%-$36
Feb 8, 2026, ESTWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$51-100%-$51
Feb 7, 2026, ESTWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$45+122.2%+$54.99
Feb 7, 2026, ESTWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$43-100%-$43
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$128-100%-$127.65
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-01?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$42-100%-$42
Dec 7, 2025, ESTWill Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$273+123.9%+$338.36
Dec 6, 2025, ESTWill RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-06?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$191-100%-$190.67
Dec 6, 2025, ESTWill 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-06?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$242+92.3%+$223.2
Dec 6, 2025, ESTWill Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$146-100%-$145.86
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast settled Oct 17, 2024, EDT$533—no start of play4 dresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.27no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.3-0.2727c-100%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 17, 2024, EDTWill Trump launch a coin before the election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$533-100%-$532.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Apr 6, 2026, EDT$529before 100%in play 0%, over 13 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 33 before the start8 h 53to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4-0.0342c-13.1%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Apr 6, 2026, EDTCasa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)36c$80+177.8%+$142.16
Mar 21, 2026, EDTWill PEC Zwolle win on 2026-03-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$58-100%-$58
Mar 21, 2026, EDTWill Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-03-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$33-100%-$33
Mar 21, 2026, EDTWill FC Twente '65 win on 2026-03-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$35-100%-$35
Feb 14, 2026, ESTWill FC Groningen win on 2026-02-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$51+96.1%+$49
Feb 14, 2026, ESTWill AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$25-100%-$25
Feb 8, 2026, ESTWill PSV win on 2026-02-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$39-100%-$39
Feb 8, 2026, ESTWill Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-02-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$49+104.1%+$51
Feb 7, 2026, ESTWill FC Twente '65 win on 2026-02-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$40-100%-$40
Feb 7, 2026, ESTWill PEC Zwolle win on 2026-02-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$41+143.9%+$59
Feb 7, 2026, ESTWill NEC win on 2026-02-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$16-100%-$16
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill SC Heerenveen win on 2026-02-01?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$48+108.3%+$52
Oct 26, 2025, EDTWill Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-10-26?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$14-100%-$13.75
All 13 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast settled Sep 18, 2024, EDT$314—no start of play2 dresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.36no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.4-0.3636c-100%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 18, 2024, EDTBlonde Broker vs Ashleyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AshleyLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$314-100%-$313.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT$41—no start of play59 dresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.41no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.4-0.4141c-100%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$41-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast settled May 19, 2026, EDT$13,782before 97%in play 3%, over 79 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 39 before the start8 h 07to the end, median over 138 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled-0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 36 of 99 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)9943.4%43 W · 56 L-2.2-0.0246c-1.8%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
May 19, 2026, EDTWill Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$21-100%-$20.5
May 19, 2026, EDTWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$99-100%-$99
May 19, 2026, EDTWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$43-100%-$43.2
May 3, 2026, EDTWill Aston Villa finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$13-100%-$13.26
Mar 21, 2026, EDTWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$360+75.4%+$271.76
Mar 21, 2026, EDTWill Portsmouth FC win on 2026-03-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$63+58.7%+$37
Mar 21, 2026, EDTWill Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$58-100%-$58
Mar 21, 2026, EDTWill West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$64-100%-$64
Mar 21, 2026, EDTWill Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$37-100%-$37
Mar 14, 2026, EDTWill West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$57-100%-$57
Mar 14, 2026, EDTWill Millwall FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$73+37%+$27
Mar 14, 2026, EDTWill Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$37-100%-$37
Mar 14, 2026, EDTWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$23-100%-$23
Mar 14, 2026, EDTWill Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)31c$31+222.6%+$69
Feb 28, 2026, ESTWill West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-02-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$58+72.4%+$42
Feb 28, 2026, ESTWill Southampton FC win on 2026-02-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$23-100%-$23
Feb 28, 2026, ESTWill Millwall FC win on 2026-02-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$60-100%-$60
Feb 28, 2026, ESTWill Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$46-100%-$46
Feb 21, 2026, ESTWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$363-100%-$362.52
Feb 21, 2026, ESTWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$45+81.8%+$36.91
Feb 21, 2026, ESTWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)21c$176+376.2%+$660.44
Feb 21, 2026, ESTWill Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)30c$30+233.3%+$70
Feb 14, 2026, ESTWill Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$57-100%-$57
Feb 14, 2026, ESTWill Millwall FC win on 2026-02-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$28-100%-$28
Feb 14, 2026, ESTWill Watford FC win on 2026-02-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$60+66.7%+$40
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast settled Apr 23, 2025, EDT$82—no start of play25 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.29no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)20%0 W · 2 L-0.6-0.2929c-100%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Apr 23, 2025, EDTTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$44-100%-$44
May 11, 2024, EDTWill Israel win Eurovision 2024?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$38-100%-$37.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast settled Mar 14, 2026, EDT$32—too few: 1 pick12 h 31to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.63no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.6-0.6363c-100%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Mar 14, 2026, EDTWill Atlanta United FC win on 2026-03-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$32-100%-$31.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast settled Mar 16, 2026, EDT$1,283—no start of play6 h 17to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8-0.1431c-62.5%47
Us Politics Inactivelast settled Nov 14, 2024, EST$1,715—no start of play9 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.39no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)20%0 W · 2 L-0.8-0.3939c-100%47
Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST$2,117before 9%in play 91%, over 11 Olympics picks with a start of play; typically bought 172 h 30 after the start7 h 55to the end, median over 44 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled-0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.9-0.0852c-27%46
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Feb 22, 2026, ESTWinter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NorwayLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$16-100%-$15.66
Feb 21, 2026, ESTWill Marijke Groenewoud (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$23-100%-$22.66
Feb 20, 2026, ESTWill Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$90-100%-$90
Feb 19, 2026, ESTWill Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)71c$16-100%-$15.74
Feb 17, 2026, ESTMen's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CzechiaWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$221+28.2%+$62.46
Feb 15, 2026, ESTWill Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$125+36.8%+$46
Feb 14, 2026, ESTWill Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$30-100%-$29.7
Feb 14, 2026, ESTWill Jenning De Boo (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$27-100%-$27
Feb 13, 2026, ESTWill Vladimir Semirunniy (POL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)21c$76-100%-$76.44
Feb 13, 2026, ESTWill Metodej Jilek (CZE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)33c$84+205.5%+$172.6
Feb 11, 2026, ESTWill Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$66+36.2%+$24.02
Feb 9, 2026, ESTWill Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$11+110.1%+$12.28
Aug 11, 2024, EDTUSA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$221+76%+$168.18
Aug 11, 2024, EDTChina wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$210+66.2%+$139.07
Aug 9, 2024, EDTWill Rai Benjamin (USA) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$76-100%-$76.37
Aug 9, 2024, EDTWill Karsten Warholm (NOR) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$302+40.5%+$122.45
Aug 9, 2024, EDTWill Marileidy Paulino (DOM) win gold in 400m W? on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$83+38.6%+$32.15
Aug 8, 2024, EDTWill Femke Bol (NED) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$26-100%-$26
Aug 8, 2024, EDTWill Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone (USA) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$78-100%-$77.5
Aug 8, 2024, EDTWill Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 200m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$15-100%-$15
Aug 4, 2024, EDTWill Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 100m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$175-100%-$174.8
Aug 4, 2024, EDTWill Kishane Thompson (JAM) win Gold in 100m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$129+41.4%+$53.56
Aug 2, 2024, EDTWill Kaylee McKeown (AUS) win Gold in Women's 200m Backstroke?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$16-100%-$16
All 23 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Nov 28, 2024, EST$721—too few: 4 picks10 h 40to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.33no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)425%1 W · 3 L-1.3-0.3257c-55.4%45
Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 18, 2026, EDT$4,203before 100%in play 0%, over 17 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 41 before the start10 dto the end, median over 50 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 44 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)4438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.2-0.1048c-20.6%43
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 18, 2026, EDTWorld Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Oliseon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OliseLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$53-100%-$53
Jul 18, 2026, EDTWill Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$15-100%-$14.65
Jul 18, 2026, EDTWill Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$82+56.9%+$46.43
Jul 10, 2026, EDTWill Jérémy Doku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$22-100%-$22.31
Jul 9, 2026, EDTWill Brahim Díaz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$117-100%-$117.17
Jul 6, 2026, EDTWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$132-100%-$132
Jul 6, 2026, EDTWill Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$11-100%-$10.5
Jul 5, 2026, EDTWill Igor Thiago score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$70-100%-$70.49
Jul 5, 2026, EDTWill Gabriel Magalhães score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$521+31.6%+$164.64
Jul 4, 2026, EDTWill Alphonso Davies score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$29+37%+$10.8
Jul 2, 2026, EDTWill Luka Modrić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$220+84.2%+$185.64
Jul 2, 2026, EDTWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$43-100%-$42.75
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Sadio Mané score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)35c$66+187.3%+$123.86
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$60+88.7%+$53.58
Jun 30, 2026, EDTWill Memphis Depay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$255-100%-$255.47
Jun 30, 2026, EDTWill Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)69c$213-100%-$212.52
Jun 30, 2026, EDTNetherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MoroccoWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$98+143.9%+$141.6
Jun 29, 2026, EDTWill Takefusa Kubo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$281+107%+$300.85
Jun 28, 2026, EDTWill Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$37+170.3%+$63
Jun 27, 2026, EDTWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$32-100%-$32
Jun 27, 2026, EDTWill Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)21c$21-100%-$21
Jun 27, 2026, EDTWill Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$25+100%+$25
Jun 26, 2026, EDTWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$34-100%-$34
Jun 26, 2026, EDTNorway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$335-100%-$335.02
Jun 26, 2026, EDTWill Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$46-100%-$45.99
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.