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Wallet 0x0a8e…05a4
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x0a8eee5cb1f039540abbbecc03571146048c05a4
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$44,135 staked over 1,376 qualified picks in 47 categories, 24 of 47 below 50.
Best category
La Liga
$472 staked over 14 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full La Liga boardSecond best
Serie A
$193 staked over 8 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full Serie A boardThird best
Us Midterms
$256 staked over 7 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full Us Midterms boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
You’d be +$474.6 tailing 14 La Liga picks (12 W · 2 L) at $50 each: +67.8% per pick.
A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified La Liga picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.
Record by category47 Categories
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| La Ligalast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $472 | before 7%in play 93%, over 14 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 56 min after the start | 1 h 03resells, median over 121 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 81 of them sold before the market settled | +0.27106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.5 | +0.25 | 61c | +67.8% | 60 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $193 | —too few: 8 picks | 1 h 11resells, median over 70 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 46 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3187% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 87% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9 | +0.36 | 52c | +93.5% | 60 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Aug 18, 2026, EDT | $256 | —no start of play | 13 dresells, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled | +0.38107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5 | +0.35 | 51c | +62.4% | 59 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $191 | —too few: 9 picks | 1 h 12resells, median over 61 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2592% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 9 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4 | +0.27 | 51c | +49.6% | 58 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Weather Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $12,387 | before 11%in play 89%, over 388 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 45 after the start | 9 h 36resells, median over 2,824 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1,603 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0598% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 394 of 462 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 462 | 51.3%237 W · 225 L | +23.4 | +0.05 | 46c | +9.6% | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $734 | before 0%in play 100%, over 18 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 48 min after the start | 1 h 33resells, median over 140 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 90 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0780% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 80% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 17 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6 | +0.09 | 63c | +4.3% | 54 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Sep 19, 2026, EDT | $49 | —too few: 3 picks | 44 minto the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3393% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1 | +0.35 | 65c | +80.4% | 54 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Ukraine Inactivelast settled May 9, 2026, EDT | $12 | —no start of play | 15 h 06resells, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | +0.96118% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 118% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8 | +0.81 | 19c | +419.9% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Lollast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $5,595 | before 10%in play 90%, over 145 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 01 after the start | 2 h 23to the end, median over 367 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 182 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04126% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 126% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 141 of 145 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.5 | +0.03 | 59c | +5% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Pokerlast settled Aug 6, 2026, EDT | $22 | —no start of play | 15 dresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.71105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7 | +0.67 | 33c | +206.5% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| WNBAlast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $124 | —too few: 4 picks | 2 h 16to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.21119% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 119% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7 | +0.18 | 57c | +36.9% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Jul 15, 2026, EDT | $104 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.18111% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 111% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7 | +0.16 | 59c | +14.9% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,107 | before 26%in play 74%, over 128 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 27 min after the start | 2 h 31to the end, median over 517 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 208 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04157% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 157% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 118 of 132 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +3.1 | +0.02 | 57c | +2.2% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Token Launches Inactivelast settled May 1, 2026, EDT | $69 | —no start of play | 19 h 35resells, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.47107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.43 | 57c | +76.2% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| China Taiwan Inactivelast settled May 15, 2026, EDT | $140 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 18 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 74% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4 | +0.08 | 52c | -3.5% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Venezuelalast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT | $12 | —no start of play | 16 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.36126% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 126% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.28 | 72c | +39.2% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $1,220 | before 39%in play 61%, over 31 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 19 min after the start | 1 h 25to the end, median over 130 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 38 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 23% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 30 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.6 | +0.02 | 59c | -3.6% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Jul 5, 2026, EDT | $17 | —too few: 1 pick | 14 h 40to the end, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.23103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2 | +0.22 | 78c | +27.8% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Valorantlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $171 | —too few: 6 picks | 4 h 03to the end, median over 51 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06213% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 213% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2 | +0.03 | 64c | -3.7% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Commodities Inactivelast settled Jul 7, 2026, EDT | $98 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 51 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0387% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 87% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1 | +0.03 | 17c | -57.4% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $160 | —too few: 6 picks | 4 h 18to the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04300% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 300% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1 | +0.01 | 56c | +4.5% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $311 | before 9%in play 91%, over 11 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min after the start | 1 h 42resells, median over 117 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 62 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 11 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 45c | +22.8% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $4,085 | before 27%in play 73%, over 89 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 45 min after the start | 1 h 41to the end, median over 415 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 93 of them sold before the market settled | +0.021951% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 1951% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 86 of 89 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 61c | -2.6% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $396 | before 54%in play 46%, over 13 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min before the start | 2 h 27resells, median over 66 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 36 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 54c | -3.3% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $1,706 | before 42%in play 58%, over 38 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min after the start | 2 h 45to the end, median over 376 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 129 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 45 of 52 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 56c | -0.1% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $760 | before 17%in play 83%, over 35 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min after the start | 2 h 02to the end, median over 248 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 50 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 35 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.2 | -0.01 | 55c | -7.1% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Musiclast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT | $80 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 39 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.03 | 78c | -5% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Jan 23, 2026, EST | $131 | —too few: 6 picks | 3 h 25to the end, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2 | -0.03 | 53c | -1.5% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Tweets Inactivelast settled Aug 5, 2026, EDT | $1,049 | —no start of play | 23 h 18resells, median over 135 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 83 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 25 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3 | -0.01 | 42c | -16.2% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Jun 3, 2026, EDT | $78 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.24no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2 | -0.07 | 40c | -25.7% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Golf Inactivelast settled Jul 26, 2026, EDT | $15 | —too few: 1 pick | 2 dresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.27no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3 | -0.27 | 27c | -100% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| NBAlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $767 | before 69%in play 31%, over 32 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 before the start | 3 h 51to the end, median over 95 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 29 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6 | -0.02 | 50c | -6.6% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Jul 16, 2026, EDT | $206 | —too few: 4 picks | 3 h 03resells, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5 | -0.12 | 62c | -22.7% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $138 | —no start of play | 1 h 57to the end, median over 26 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5 | -0.16 | 50c | -56.4% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Australian A League Inactivelast settled May 2, 2026, EDT | $49 | —too few: 1 pick | 13 minresells, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | -0.41no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6 | -0.56 | 56c | -100% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Mlslast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $326 | before 10%in play 90%, over 10 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 21 after the start | 1 h 43to the end, median over 130 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 43 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8 | -0.08 | 58c | -5.7% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $1,734 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 154 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 58 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 24 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.3 | -0.04 | 60c | +0.7% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Us Politicslast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT | $215 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.27no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7 | -0.17 | 42c | -45.7% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Middle East Inactivelast settled Aug 16, 2026, EDT | $1,026 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 142 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 61 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 31 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.8 | -0.05 | 21c | -39.8% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $1,058 | before 26%in play 74%, over 35 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 min after the start | 1 h 43to the end, median over 193 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 86 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 35 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.9 | -0.06 | 51c | +0.7% | 46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $764 | —no start of play | 8 h 19resells, median over 174 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 111 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 22 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8 | -0.07 | 49c | -39.2% | 46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Sep 25, 2026, EDT | $159 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 100 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 31 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2 | -0.14 | 25c | -75.9% | 46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $164 | before 9%in play 91%, over 11 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 2 h 05resells, median over 151 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 85 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4 | -0.12 | 58c | -12.4% | 46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $282 | before 45%in play 55%, over 11 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 2 h 29to the end, median over 61 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6 | -0.15 | 60c | -25.1% | 45 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $643 | before 24%in play 76%, over 25 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min after the start | 2 h 15to the end, median over 116 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 51 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 22 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3 | -0.09 | 53c | -20.1% | 45 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $34 | —too few: 2 picks | 4 h 27to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.73no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4 | -0.71 | 71c | -100% | 44 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $827 | before 5%in play 95%, over 22 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 40 after the start | 2 h 24to the end, median over 209 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 77 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 22 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.5 | -0.16 | 52c | -40% | 42 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 78
- What they are worth now
- $568bought for $652
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 78, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.