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Wallet 0x56c4…fce5
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x56c47f41533170ff7afd6172e9c3c609ae8afce5
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$100,399 staked over 2,320 qualified picks in 38 categories, 14 of 38 below 50.
Best category
College Football
$1,147 staked over 23 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full College Football boardSecond best
Europa Conference League
$159 staked over 6 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Europa Conference League boardThird best
China Taiwan
$302 staked over 4 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full China Taiwan boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
You’d be +$161.93 tailing 12 College Football picks (8 W · 4 L) at $50 each: +27% per pick.
A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified College Football picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.
Record by category38 Categories
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| College Footballlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $1,147 | before 65%in play 35%, over 23 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 27 before the start | 4 h 27to the end, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.20101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 9 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6 | +0.20 | 41c | +39.8% | 61 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Jul 16, 2026, EDT | $159 | —too few: 6 picks | 3 dto the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.27100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6 | +0.27 | 56c | +48.2% | 56 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| China Taiwan Inactivelast settled May 22, 2026, EDT | $302 | —no start of play | 15 h 15to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.41108% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 108% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5 | +0.38 | 62c | +61.8% | 56 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $407 | —too few: 7 picks | 5 h 05to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.25107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6 | +0.23 | 62c | +37.9% | 56 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Valorant Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $2,816 | before 78%in play 22%, over 74 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 29 before the start | 8 h 01to the end, median over 100 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 42 of 74 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +3.6 | +0.05 | 56c | +13% | 54 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Jul 28, 2026, EDT | $68 | —too few: 2 picks | 5 h 22to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.4795% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0 | +0.49 | 51c | +96.8% | 54 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| AI Inactivelast settled Jul 2, 2026, EDT | $54 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.42100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8 | +0.42 | 58c | +102.8% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| CS2last settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $7,812 | before 64%in play 36%, over 173 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 min before the start | 5 h 16to the end, median over 220 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04113% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 113% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 133 of 173 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +5.3 | +0.03 | 54c | +12.4% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Mar 22, 2026, EDT | $73 | —too few: 3 picks | 5 h 37to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.24101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7 | +0.24 | 43c | +35.9% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Aug 26, 2026, EDT | $1,151 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 18 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08108% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 108% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9 | +0.07 | 54c | +6.1% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2026, EDT | $32,434 | before 52%in play 48%, over 854 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min before the start | 5 h 24to the end, median over 1,241 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 41 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03117% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 117% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 626 of 855 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 855 | 56.8%486 W · 369 L | +18.3 | +0.02 | 55c | +5% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT | $107 | —too few: 4 picks | 8 h 05to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.13105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5 | +0.12 | 63c | +19.2% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Music Inactivelast settled Jun 19, 2026, EDT | $1,246 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 26 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7 | +0.04 | 54c | +9.6% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2026, EDT | $8,216 | before 76%in play 24%, over 238 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 15 before the start | 7 h 39to the end, median over 264 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02122% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 122% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 133 of 238 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 238 | 53.8%128 W · 110 L | +3.5 | +0.01 | 52c | +4.7% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Sep 10, 2026, EDT | $918 | before 76%in play 24%, over 21 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 29 before the start | 7 h 44to the end, median over 26 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03119% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 119% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 16 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.6 | +0.03 | 58c | +4.1% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Aug 24, 2026, EDT | $356 | before 100%in play 0%, over 11 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 03 before the start | 7 h 02to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4 | +0.04 | 51c | +9.6% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $6,127 | before 28%in play 72%, over 94 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 27 min after the start | 2 h 22to the end, median over 113 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02162% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 162% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 78 of 94 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +1.4 | +0.01 | 61c | +3.8% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $8,971 | before 77%in play 23%, over 206 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 29 before the start | 10 h 01to the end, median over 270 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02128% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 128% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 128 of 206 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | +2.6 | +0.01 | 58c | +2.5% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $5,148 | before 100%in play 0%, over 76 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 h 36 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 154 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 68 of 113 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +1.5 | +0.01 | 54c | -5.6% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $2,371 | before 98%in play 2%, over 60 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 49 before the start | 12 h 23to the end, median over 70 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02128% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 128% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 36 of 60 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +0.7 | +0.01 | 55c | +1.3% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Jul 26, 2026, EDT | $6,733 | before 99%in play 1%, over 145 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 45 before the start | 10 h 30to the end, median over 173 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 28 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01131% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 131% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 85 of 147 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +1.3 | +0.01 | 53c | +0.1% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Jun 15, 2026, EDT | $181 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04153% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 153% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1 | +0.02 | 31c | +11.1% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| WNBA Inactivelast settled Jun 18, 2026, EDT | $120 | —too few: 2 picks | 14 h 17to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03119% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 119% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0 | +0.02 | 48c | +2% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Movies Inactivelast settled Jun 15, 2026, EDT | $164 | —no start of play | 21 h 52resells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0 | +0.01 | 49c | -18.2% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $4,678 | before 91%in play 9%, over 34 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 24 before the start | 7 h 58to the end, median over 51 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 34 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 53c | -3.2% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Jun 5, 2026, EDT | $444 | before 21%in play 79%, over 14 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min after the start | 4 h 19to the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1 | -0.01 | 58c | -3.6% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 2, 2026, EDT | $134 | —too few: 5 picks | 4 h 36to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2 | -0.04 | 64c | -9.8% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Jun 10, 2026, EDT | $71 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2 | -0.07 | 40c | -37.1% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled May 15, 2026, EDT | $34 | —no start of play | 2 h 57to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.22no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2 | -0.22 | 22c | -100% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Mls Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT | $612 | before 94%in play 6%, over 16 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 03 before the start | 6 h 43to the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5 | -0.03 | 53c | -13.8% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $192 | —too few: 4 picks | 21 h 43to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7 | -0.18 | 68c | -22.5% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT | $1,021 | —too few: 6 picks | 3 h 37to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9 | -0.14 | 64c | -10.8% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Premier League Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT | $795 | before 86%in play 14%, over 14 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 10 before the start | 3 h 49to the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1 | -0.08 | 51c | -7.7% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Jul 6, 2026, EDT | $236 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2 | -0.13 | 47c | -6.8% | 46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $2,819 | before 100%in play 0%, over 88 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 45 before the start | 11 h 09to the end, median over 89 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 65 of 88 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.3 | -0.05 | 54c | -10.4% | 46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Aug 29, 2026, EDT | $1,929 | before 53%in play 47%, over 30 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min before the start | 7 h 46to the end, median over 38 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.5 | -0.08 | 55c | -17% | 45 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tweets Inactivelast settled May 16, 2026, EDT | $114 | —no start of play | 19 h 21to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.34no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4 | -0.35 | 60c | -63.2% | 45 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| La Liga Inactivelast settled Sep 4, 2026, EDT | $239 | —too few: 8 picks | 3 h 10to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.22no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8 | -0.22 | 47c | -55.5% | 44 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 0
- What they are worth now
- $0bought for $0
- Settled, not yet cashed
- at least 50worth $0
This wallet holds nothing on a market that is still running. Everything below is settled and waiting to be cashed.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of at least 50 (we keep the 50 biggest per wallet, so a wallet at exactly that number is holding more than we counted). These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner (opens in a new tab)backed Natus Vincere · settled | 227 | 74c | $0 | Counted |
| Spread: Eagles (-6.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Eagles · settled | 134.72 | 53c | $0 | Counted |
| UCF vs. Pittsburgh (opens in a new tab)backed UCF · settled | 111.11 | 9c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0x1e3a…61e0backed outcome 1 | 94 | 38c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (opens in a new tab)backed Washington Nationals · settled | 86 | 41c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 4 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 is not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.