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Wallet 0x8191…8a35
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x819129ecbbebd2bfb718340364c700b2b7978a35
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$283,152 staked over 798 qualified picks in 37 categories, 20 of 37 below 50.
Best category
Other European Leagues
$1,896 staked over 15 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Other European Leagues boardSecond best
WNBA
$4,503 staked over 7 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full WNBA boardThird best
Fifa International
$14,118 staked over 45 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Fifa International boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
You’d be +$346.5 tailing 15 Other European Leagues picks (12 W · 3 L) at $50 each: +46.2% per pick.
A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Other European Leagues picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.
Record by category37 Categories
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $1,896 | before 7%in play 93%, over 15 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 56 min after the start | 4 h 10to the end, median over 36 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2799% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.1 | +0.27 | 53c | +46.2% | 61 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $4,503 | —too few: 6 picks | 4 h 11to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.35102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4 | +0.35 | 51c | +90.9% | 58 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT | $14,118 | before 50%in play 50%, over 36 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min after the start | 6 h 50to the end, median over 138 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 40 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1197% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 30 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.9 | +0.11 | 45c | +5.7% | 58 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $16,433 | before 22%in play 78%, over 37 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 41 after the start | 4 h 07to the end, median over 83 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1198% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 19 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +4.3 | +0.12 | 48c | +19.5% | 58 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $7,559 | before 36%in play 64%, over 42 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 39 min after the start | 4 h 21to the end, median over 108 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0887% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 87% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 26 of 44 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.2 | +0.10 | 43c | +2.6% | 57 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Apr 5, 2026, EDT | $52 | —too few: 2 picks | 4 h 28to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.5199% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0 | +0.51 | 49c | +156.6% | 54 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $35,334 | before 20%in play 80%, over 54 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 02 after the start | 3 h 58to the end, median over 67 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0592% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 48 of 54 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.7 | +0.05 | 56c | +17.3% | 54 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| China Taiwan Inactivelast settled Oct 30, 2025, EDT | $18 | —no start of play | 12 h 49to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.8097% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8 | +0.82 | 18c | +455.6% | 54 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 1, 2026, EDT | $13,278 | before 35%in play 65%, over 54 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min after the start | 4 h 14to the end, median over 99 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0377% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 77% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 39 of 56 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4 | +0.04 | 51c | +37.1% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled May 30, 2026, EDT | $4,805 | before 6%in play 94%, over 18 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 56 min after the start | 4 h 15to the end, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2 | +0.06 | 41c | +23.5% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Sep 3, 2026, EDT | $13,355 | before 10%in play 90%, over 20 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 56 min after the start | 4 h 01to the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 62% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 13 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2 | +0.06 | 39c | +135.9% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled May 25, 2026, EDT | $5,602 | before 9%in play 91%, over 23 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 min after the start | 4 h 25to the end, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 17 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.1 | +0.04 | 33c | +53.2% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $43,908 | before 26%in play 74%, over 85 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min after the start | 4 h 21to the end, median over 163 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 60 of 99 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +2.2 | +0.02 | 47c | -0.6% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $10,998 | before 48%in play 52%, over 29 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 min after the start | 6 h 57to the end, median over 59 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04134% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 134% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 19 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.0 | +0.03 | 45c | +11% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $10,867 | before 21%in play 79%, over 19 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 57 min after the start | 4 h 09to the end, median over 53 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03118% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 118% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 9 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6 | +0.03 | 56c | -10.1% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2026, EDT | $4,451 | —too few: 8 picks | 3 h 04to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02139% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 139% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1 | +0.02 | 48c | +69.8% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled May 18, 2026, EDT | $4,178 | before 53%in play 47%, over 17 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 45 min before the start | 4 h 19to the end, median over 36 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 5 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 47c | -1.4% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Mar 11, 2026, EDT | $1,301 | —too few: 4 picks | 2 h 29to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 50c | -14.7% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| F1 Inactivelast settled Dec 7, 2025, EST | $32 | —no start of play | 7 h 26to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0 | -0.03 | 3c | -100% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| AI Inactivelast settled Dec 31, 2025, EST | $10 | —no start of play | 3 h 07resells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.05 | 5c | -100% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| World Politics Inactivelast settled Feb 23, 2026, EST | $26 | —no start of play | 101 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.09 | 9c | -100% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Olympics Inactivelast settled Feb 14, 2026, EST | $36 | —too few: 1 pick | 5 h 37to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.09 | 9c | -100% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Token Launches Inactivelast settled Oct 30, 2025, EDT | $46 | —no start of play | 3 h 01to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.33no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2 | -0.15 | 15c | -100% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $13,313 | before 28%in play 72%, over 32 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 30 min after the start | 4 h 41to the end, median over 51 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 27 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5 | -0.01 | 44c | -20.4% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $2,223 | before 0%in play 100%, over 11 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 56 min after the start | 3 h 51to the end, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5 | -0.04 | 30c | -1.7% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled Nov 7, 2025, EST | $360 | —too few: 1 pick | 3 h 39to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.33no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4 | -0.36 | 36c | -100% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Middle East Inactivelast settled Oct 13, 2025, EDT | $88 | —no start of play | 3 h 49to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.21no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4 | -0.21 | 21c | -100% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Nov 5, 2025, EST | $245 | —no start of play | 14 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5 | -0.15 | 15c | -100% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| UFC Inactivelast settled Apr 4, 2026, EDT | $459 | —too few: 5 picks | 2 h 46to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.21no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6 | -0.12 | 52c | -49% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $50,881 | before 26%in play 74%, over 120 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 22 after the start | 3 h 18to the end, median over 274 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 27 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 83 of 137 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -3.3 | -0.02 | 44c | -14% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $6,587 | before 12%in play 88%, over 24 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 56 min after the start | 4 h 04to the end, median over 64 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 22 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5 | -0.06 | 43c | -22.5% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Dec 6, 2025, EST | $306 | —too few: 3 picks | 4 h 12to the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9 | -0.23 | 73c | -33% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Cricket Inactivelast settled Apr 14, 2026, EDT | $5,428 | —too few: 5 picks | 5 h 15to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.21no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1 | -0.21 | 41c | -74.4% | 46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Nov 18, 2025, EST | $338 | —no start of play | 12 h 59to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.52no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0 | -0.52 | 52c | -100% | 46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Lol Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $4,757 | before 38%in play 62%, over 13 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min after the start | 3 h 42to the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5 | -0.11 | 47c | -38.7% | 46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 3, 2026, EDT | $2,354 | before 14%in play 86%, over 14 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 59 min after the start | 3 h 12to the end, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.20no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0 | -0.21 | 43c | -63.5% | 41 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Mar 19, 2026, EDT | $3,010 | before 52%in play 48%, over 21 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 0 min before the start | 4 h 11to the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.17no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.0 | -0.19 | 43c | -35.6% | 40 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 25
- What they are worth now
- $23,497bought for $23,389
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 25, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.