Check anotherPolymarket (opens in a new tab)
Wallet 0x6ffb…a834
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x6ffb4354cbe6e0f9989e3b55564ec5fb8646a834
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$1,168,171 staked over 1,002 qualified picks in 50 categories, 18 of 50 below 50.
Best category
NFL
$45,524 staked over 65 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.16 per pick.
See the full NFL boardSecond best
College Football
$22,398 staked over 40 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.14 per pick.
See the full College Football boardThird best
Tennis
$108,802 staked over 54 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.12 per pick.
See the full Tennis boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
You’d be +$1,063.61 tailing 3 NFL picks (3 W · 0 L) at $50 each: +709.1% per pick.
A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified NFL picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.
Record by category50 Categories
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $45,524 | before 49%in play 51%, over 59 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min after the start | 2 h 11to the end, median over 424 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2191% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 42 of 65 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +14.8 | +0.23 | 43c | +167.9% | 68 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $22,398 | before 38%in play 62%, over 39 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 25 min after the start | 2 h 00to the end, median over 272 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2194% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 32 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +9.1 | +0.23 | 40c | +575.9% | 66 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2026, EDT | $108,802 | before 31%in play 69%, over 48 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 21 after the start | 1 h 52to the end, median over 335 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 55% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 36 of 54 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +9.7 | +0.18 | 39c | +1,931.1% | 64 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $40,883 | before 14%in play 86%, over 22 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 36 after the start | 2 h 15to the end, median over 229 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | +0.15out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 65% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 17 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.4 | +0.23 | 40c | +104.3% | 62 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $4,617 | —too few: 6 picks | 3 h 14to the end, median over 112 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.4699% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8 | +0.46 | 37c | +250% | 60 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT | $10,120 | —too few: 6 picks | 4 h 56to the end, median over 129 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 46% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 10 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5 | +0.23 | 44c | +61.4% | 60 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $58,828 | before 63%in play 37%, over 60 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 min before the start | 3 h 14to the end, median over 402 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1097% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 42 of 60 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +6.2 | +0.10 | 41c | +162.8% | 58 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Sep 2, 2026, EDT | $182,357 | before 61%in play 39%, over 119 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min before the start | 2 h 16to the end, median over 443 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 69% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 88 of 119 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | +8.7 | +0.07 | 47c | +40.6% | 57 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Weather Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $8,889 | —too few: 1 pick | 3 h 36to the end, median over 337 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 74% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 12 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.6 | +0.13 | 32c | +43.5% | 56 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Sep 24, 2026, EDT | $2,919 | —too few: 8 picks | 1 h 50to the end, median over 106 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.23102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8 | +0.23 | 27c | +1,693.3% | 56 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Mar 13, 2026, EDT | $1,698 | —too few: 4 picks | 2 h 07to the end, median over 95 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.37113% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 113% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6 | +0.32 | 48c | +764.6% | 56 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $280,995 | —no start of play | 3 h 19to the end, median over 308 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 72 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 56% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 122 of 131 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 131 | 26.7%35 W · 96 L | +7.0 | +0.05 | 21c | +50.5% | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled May 22, 2026, EDT | $36,885 | —no start of play | 2 h 50to the end, median over 379 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 79 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 51% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 29 of 55 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +3.5 | +0.06 | 36c | -21.7% | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Aug 22, 2026, EDT | $10,387 | —too few: 6 picks | 1 h 53to the end, median over 41 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 19% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3 | +0.22 | 28c | +715.1% | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Jun 10, 2026, EDT | $9,460 | before 10%in play 90%, over 29 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 after the start | 2 h 07to the end, median over 66 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 56% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 21 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.3 | +0.08 | 20c | +6.2% | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Nov 24, 2025, EST | $211 | —too few: 3 picks | 2 h 55to the end, median over 41 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.39100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2 | +0.39 | 27c | +73.5% | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Mar 29, 2026, EDT | $96,342 | before 48%in play 52%, over 27 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 min after the start | 2 h 20to the end, median over 244 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 42% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 22 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9 | +0.07 | 48c | +3.9% | 54 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled May 12, 2026, EDT | $2,914 | —no start of play | 3 h 09to the end, median over 136 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 17% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1 | +0.27 | 23c | +219.6% | 54 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Sep 7, 2025, EDT | $30 | —too few: 1 pick | 2 h 59to the end, median over 36 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.90100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9 | +0.90 | 10c | +900% | 54 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $68,916 | before 81%in play 19%, over 32 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min before the start | 2 h 53to the end, median over 160 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0586% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 86% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 35 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1 | +0.05 | 32c | -15% | 54 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $2,062 | —too few: 2 picks | 2 h 39to the end, median over 50 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 5% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7 | +0.37 | 63c | +66.5% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT | $9,055 | —no start of play | 2 h 27to the end, median over 125 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 51% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7 | +0.17 | 33c | -24.3% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Apr 21, 2025, EDT | $10 | —too few: 1 pick | 1 h 48to the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.50100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5 | +0.50 | 50c | +99.2% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 23, 2026, EDT | $42,230 | —no start of play | 3 h 10to the end, median over 174 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04125% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 125% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 15 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.7 | +0.03 | 33c | +423.2% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Aug 3, 2026, EDT | $19,080 | —no start of play | 3 h 49to the end, median over 418 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 41% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 24 of 61 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.3 | +0.02 | 31c | -2.4% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Space Inactivelast settled May 21, 2025, EDT | $4,772 | —no start of play | 2 h 09to the end, median over 18 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3 | +0.14 | 36c | -25.9% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 3, 2026, EDT | $242 | —too few: 1 pick | 2 h 22to the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.26100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.26 | 74c | +35.5% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Olympics Inactivelast settled Aug 4, 2024, EDT | $3,399 | —no start of play | 3 h 16to the end, median over 74 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 4% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.26 | 74c | +35.1% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| China Taiwan Inactivelast settled Jun 5, 2025, EDT | $537 | —no start of play | 5 h 11to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.30125% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 125% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2 | +0.24 | 76c | +31.4% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $12,298 | before 81%in play 19%, over 16 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 min before the start | 3 h 22to the end, median over 160 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 14 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3 | +0.02 | 36c | +6.3% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,110 | —no start of play | 2 h 26to the end, median over 118 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 4 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2 | +0.02 | 18c | -28.1% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,782 | —too few: 9 picks | 2 h 58to the end, median over 43 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 6 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1 | +0.02 | 43c | +5.7% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $20 | —no start of play | 13 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0 | -0.02 | 2c | -100% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Venezuela Inactivelast settled Apr 1, 2026, EDT | $54 | —no start of play | 2 h 50to the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1 | -0.03 | 3c | -100% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Earnings Inactivelast settled Jan 26, 2026, EST | $48 | —no start of play | 2 h 04to the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1 | -0.03 | 3c | -100% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled Feb 1, 2026, EST | $162 | —no start of play | 3 h 41to the end, median over 129 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1 | -0.03 | 3c | -100% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Dec 20, 2025, EST | $1,509 | —too few: 1 pick | 3 h 13to the end, median over 47 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1 | -0.03 | 28c | -61.6% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2026, EDT | $8,653 | —no start of play | 3 h 03to the end, median over 140 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 39 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 24 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.4 | -0.01 | 18c | +259.5% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $6,668 | —no start of play | 2 h 21to the end, median over 81 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4 | -0.02 | 30c | -45.1% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Aug 27, 2026, EDT | $62 | —too few: 2 picks | 1 h 57to the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3 | -0.16 | 16c | -100% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tweets Inactivelast settled Feb 19, 2026, EST | $15,594 | —no start of play | 3 h 16to the end, median over 177 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7 | -0.06 | 39c | -53.2% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $1,141 | —too few: 5 picks | 2 h 02to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6 | -0.12 | 32c | -46.4% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Aug 21, 2025, EDT | $1,248 | —too few: 1 pick | 2 h 04to the end, median over 43 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.52no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5 | -0.52 | 52c | -100% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commodities Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $6,752 | —no start of play | 12 h 34to the end, median over 39 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 20 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.0 | -0.05 | 15c | -72.7% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Jun 26, 2026, EDT | $2,713 | —no start of play | 3 h 19to the end, median over 400 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8 | -0.12 | 40c | -59.3% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Aug 31, 2025, EDT | $679 | —too few: 1 pick | 2 h 10to the end, median over 26 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.68no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7 | -0.68 | 68c | -100% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Mar 14, 2026, EDT | $3,398 | —too few: 2 picks | 2 h 10to the end, median over 69 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0 | -0.12 | 45c | -46.3% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Token Launches Inactivelast settled Feb 7, 2026, EST | $12,686 | —no start of play | 4 h 03to the end, median over 56 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5 | -0.08 | 29c | -59.4% | 46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Aug 30, 2026, EDT | $7,877 | —too few: 6 picks | 2 h 32to the end, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.30no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5 | -0.25 | 58c | -54.8% | 45 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $2,153 | —no start of play | 2 h 51to the end, median over 113 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.3 | -0.13 | 18c | -91.5% | 44 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 33
- What they are worth now
- $24,560bought for $176,548
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 1worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 33, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 1 largest of 1. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Nets · settled | 1,493 | 6c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 1 does: the wallet holds a scored pick on that market, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.